NYSE$AFL

Aflac Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Aflac Incorporated reported strong fourth quarter results with net earnings of $1.9 billion and an increase in its first quarter dividend.

Aflac Incorporated delivered solid adjusted earnings for the fourth quarter and the full year, driven by strong sales in Japan and continued focus on profitable growth in the U.S. The company also announced a 16% increase in its first quarter dividend.

  • Total revenues increased 43.1% to $5.4 billion in Q4 2024, compared to $3.8 billion in Q4 2023.
  • Net earnings were $1.9 billion, or $3.42 per diluted share, significantly up from $268 million, or $0.46 per diluted share a year ago.
  • Adjusted earnings increased 18.2% to $865 million, with adjusted earnings per diluted share up 24.8% to $1.56.
  • The company repurchased $750 million in capital, equating to 7.0 million common shares, in the fourth quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.4B

Previous: $3.78B+43.1%
EPS (adj)

$1.56

Previous: $1.25+24.8%
Japan Net Premium Income

$1.65B

No prior period
Japan Net Investment Income

$665M

No prior period
US Net Premium Income

$1.44B

No prior period
US Net Investment Income

$213M

No prior period
Shareholders' Equity

$26.1B

Previous: $22B+18.7%
Shareholders' Equity Per Share

$47.45

Previous: $38.00+24.9%
Adjusted Book Value

$29.1B

Previous: $27.5B+5.7%
Adjusted Book Value Per Share

$52.87

Previous: $47.55+11.2%
Adjusted Book Value Excl. FX

$23.4B

Previous: $23.8B-1.9%
Adjusted Book Value Excl. FX Per Share

$42.46

Previous: $41.15+3.2%
Capital Expenditures

$0.00

No prior period
Net Income

$1.9B

Previous: $268M+609.7%
Operating Income

$2.14B

Previous: $289M+638.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Aflac · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.4B

Q4 2024+43.1%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Aflac · $5.07B total across 3 segments · Q1 2022

  • Aflac Japan Revenue
    $3.4B
  • Aflac U.S. Revenue
    $1.6B
  • Corporate and Other Revenue
    $74M-10.8%

Forward guidance

Aflac is committed to generating profitable growth, maintaining strong capital and cash flows, and continuing its dividend increase record.

Tailwinds

  • Continued focus on generating profitable growth in the U.S. and Japan with new products and distribution strategies.
  • Strong premium persistency in Aflac Japan (93.4%) and Aflac U.S. (79.3%).
  • Continued momentum of Tsumitasu, a new life insurance product in Japan, appealing to younger customers.
  • Prudent approach to expense management and maintaining a strong pretax margin in the U.S. segment.
  • Commitment to prudent liquidity and capital management, with continued strong net investment income and a record of 42 consecutive years of dividend increases.

Headwinds

  • Weaker yen/dollar exchange rate negatively impacted adjusted earnings per share by $0.01.
  • Lower sales of group voluntary benefit products in the U.S. due to focus on profitable growth and softer sales of network dental.
  • Foreign currency fluctuations can significantly affect reported results, especially with the size of Aflac Japan's operations.
  • The company did not provide specific quantitative forward-looking guidance for future periods.
  • Potential impact of general economic conditions and infrequent events on financial performance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

46 / 73 earnings

Positive

+9.4%

Q1 2012

Best reaction

-11.1%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.6%-1.5%-3.3%
Q4 2025+3.4%+2.0%-2.1%
Q3 2025+2.3%+4.4%+0.4%
Q2 2025+3.4%+5.3%+8.1%
Q1 2025-4.7%-2.6%-4.7%
Q4 2024-3.9%-4.0%+1.0%
Q3 2024-4.7%-5.0%+3.6%
Q2 2024+6.6%+1.9%+15.7%
Q1 2024+0.5%+1.3%+7.4%
Q4 2023-11.1%-11.0%-6.2%
Q3 2023+4.6%+4.2%+5.8%
Q2 2023+5.4%+6.2%+3.1%
Q1 2023+5.6%+7.0%-1.9%
Q4 2022-6.3%-5.3%-6.9%
Q3 2022+3.1%+3.7%+11.0%
Q2 2022+2.5%+3.7%+3.7%
Q1 2022-2.5%-5.7%-0.6%
Q4 2021+1.4%+3.8%-4.4%
Q3 2021-3.1%-4.0%-2.7%
Q2 2021+3.4%+1.7%+6.1%
Q1 2021+1.3%+1.8%+5.9%
Q4 2020-1.2%-0.1%+7.9%
Q3 2020-7.1%-7.7%+24.0%
Q2 2020+0.2%-2.4%+1.2%
Q1 2020-1.5%-5.4%-3.5%
Q4 2019+2.4%+1.8%-20.1%
Q3 2019+1.5%+2.1%+2.9%
Q2 2019-0.1%-1.9%-10.3%
Q1 2019+1.3%+3.0%+6.4%
Q4 2018+1.2%+1.8%+3.8%
Q3 2018-4.7%-4.5%+0.5%
Q2 2018+5.8%+6.3%+6.6%
Q1 2018+1.1%+0.9%+0.4%
Q4 2017+1.3%-2.7%-1.2%
Q3 2017-1.1%-0.9%+0.5%
Q2 2017+2.6%+4.6%+4.6%
Q1 2017+0.1%+0.3%+0.1%
Q4 2016-4.5%-2.5%+2.6%
Q3 2016-1.8%-2.0%+2.8%
Q2 2016-1.5%-2.4%-0.8%
Q1 2016+2.1%
Q4 2015-1.2%
Q3 2015+0.7%
Q2 2015+4.9%
Q1 2015-0.2%
Q4 2014+4.3%
Q3 2014+1.9%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014+1.4%
Q4 2013+1.7%
Q3 2013-2.2%
Q2 2013+1.1%
Q1 2013+3.7%
Q4 2012-3.2%
Q3 2012-1.5%
Q4 2011+4.2%
Q2 2012-2.7%
Q1 2012+9.4%
Q3 2011-0.1%
Q2 2011-10.8%
Q1 2011+1.9%
Q4 2010+2.9%
Q3 2010-1.2%
Q2 2010+0.3%
Q1 2009+7.5%
Q1 2010+1.8%
Q4 2007+1.7%
Q4 2009+1.7%
Q3 2009+3.1%
Q3 2008+3.1%
Q2 2008+2.9%
Q4 2008+2.9%
Q2 2009+2.9%

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