NASDAQ$UFCS

United Fire Group Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a net loss of $0.91 per diluted share and a non-GAAP adjusted operating loss of $0.47 per diluted share.

United Fire Group, Inc. reported a consolidated net loss of $23.0 million, or $0.91 per diluted share, and a consolidated adjusted operating loss of $0.47 per diluted share for Q3 2022. The combined ratio was 111.7%, driven by catastrophe losses and unfavorable prior year reserve development.

  • Net premiums earned decreased 0.3% compared to the third quarter of 2021.
  • Net premiums written increased 9.1% compared to the third quarter of 2021.
  • GAAP combined ratio of 111.7% was driven by a catastrophe loss ratio of 11.4% and unfavorable prior year reserve development of 5.9%. The expense ratio was 35.1%.
  • Net investment income of $11.6 million increased 0.3% compared to the third quarter of 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$236M

Previous: $249M-5.2%
EPS (adj)

-$0.47

Previous: -$0.31-51.6%
Combined Ratio

111.7%

Previous: 109.7%+1.8%
Underwriting Expense Ratio

35.1%

No prior period
Net Investment Income

$11.6M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$23M

Previous: -$9.59M-139.6%
Net Income

-$23M

Previous: -$9.59M-139.6%
Operating Income

-$136M

Previous: -$116M-18.0%
Gross Profit

-$103M

Previous: -$77.4M-33.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$53M

Previous: $133M-60.1%
Total Assets

$2.82B

Previous: $3.01B-6.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$828K

Previous: $959K-13.7%

Revenue & EPS history

United Fire Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$236M

Q3 2022-5.2%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

United Fire Group · $217M total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Commercial Lines
    $216M+6.2%
  • Personal Lines
    $538K-56.0%

Forward guidance

UFG has taken steps to improve profitability, diversify growth, enhance underwriting governance and reduce volatility. These corrective actions are largely concluded, and the company is well poised to grow its business responsibly and profitably and will apply the same level of intensity to improving the expense ratio.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

28 / 65 earnings

Positive

+27.4%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-14.6%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.0%+21.7%+13.4%
Q4 2025+7.2%+8.9%+2.0%
Q3 2025+14.7%+17.3%+13.0%
Q1 2025-4.6%-2.4%-0.7%
Q4 2024+2.2%+5.7%+16.2%
Q3 2024+27.4%+25.3%+62.4%
Q2 2024-9.4%-8.1%-1.6%
Q1 2024+1.4%+1.8%-8.8%
Q4 2023+12.0%+9.1%-2.6%
Q3 2023-2.5%-1.2%+5.4%
Q2 2023-3.2%-4.4%-8.5%
Q1 2023-10.1%-10.6%-14.0%
Q4 2022-6.4%+1.0%-7.9%
Q3 2022-4.3%+3.4%+6.9%
Q2 2022-13.8%-9.4%-9.6%
Q1 2022-2.3%-4.7%+4.4%
Q4 2021+26.2%+26.8%+23.7%
Q3 2021-3.9%-2.3%-4.1%
Q2 2021+3.9%+9.5%+3.4%
Q1 2021+7.0%+5.4%+1.3%
Q4 2020-2.6%-4.3%+12.9%
Q3 2020-7.7%+0.7%+12.7%
Q2 2020+4.4%+12.1%-4.7%
Q1 2020-0.9%-1.7%+15.7%
Q4 2019-0.0%-3.4%-31.1%
Q3 2019-4.7%-5.7%-7.6%
Q2 2019-10.2%-11.5%-12.3%
Q1 2019+6.6%+6.2%+9.0%
Q4 2018-8.9%-13.3%-21.3%
Q3 2018-8.3%-9.9%-2.3%
Q2 2018-11.9%-11.5%-9.8%
Q1 2018+3.5%+1.4%+13.7%
Q4 2017+8.0%+10.9%+18.9%
Q3 2017+1.4%+0.1%+0.1%
Q2 2017-1.4%-1.8%-5.6%
Q1 2017-0.9%-1.8%+0.9%
Q4 2016-14.6%-14.3%-10.0%
Q3 2016-3.3%-1.7%+15.2%
Q2 2016-0.3%+1.3%+3.6%
Q1 2016-11.7%
Q4 2015+8.2%
Q3 2015+8.3%
Q2 2015+3.0%
Q1 2015+0.7%
Q4 2014-1.6%
Q3 2014-3.9%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014-2.0%
Q4 2013+9.4%
Q3 2013-9.6%
Q2 2013+4.9%
Q1 2013+2.1%
Q4 2012+0.8%
Q3 2012-5.3%
Q2 2012+14.3%
Q1 2011+0.8%
Q1 2012+1.8%
Q4 2009-0.7%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010+1.8%
Q3 2011+1.8%
Q2 2011-8.7%
Q2 2010-8.7%
Q1 2010-1.6%

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