NASDAQ$UFCS

United Fire Group Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a net income driven by investment gains and higher investment income, offset by increased catastrophe losses and commercial auto losses.

United Fire Group reported a net income of $18.7 million for Q1 2021, a significant improvement compared to a net loss of $72.5 million in the same period last year. This was driven by net realized investment gains and higher net investment income, offset by increased catastrophe losses and severity of commercial auto losses.

  • Net income was $18.7 million ($0.74 per diluted share) for Q1 2021, compared to a net loss of $72.5 million ($2.90 per diluted share) in Q1 2020.
  • Adjusted operating loss was $0.03 per diluted share for Q1 2021, compared to adjusted operating income of $0.05 per diluted share in Q1 2020.
  • Net premiums earned decreased by 3.6% to $259.2 million, primarily due to non-renewal of under-performing commercial auto accounts and exit of the personal lines business.
  • The GAAP combined ratio increased to 107.2% for Q1 2021, compared to 105.2% in Q1 2020, driven by an increase in catastrophe losses and severity of commercial auto losses.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$301M

Previous: $178M+69.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.03

Previous: $0.05-160.0%
Combined Ratio

107.2%

Previous: 105.2%+1.9%
Free Cash Flow

$18.7M

Previous: -$72.5M+125.8%
Net Income

$18.7M

Previous: -$72.5M+125.8%
Operating Income

$19.9M

Previous: -$109M+118.3%
Gross Profit

$41.1M

Previous: -$63.2M+165.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$71.5M

Previous: $121M-40.8%
Total Assets

$3.06B

Previous: $2.95B+3.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.01M

Previous: $1.63M-38.2%

Revenue & EPS history

United Fire Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$301M

Q1 2021+69.1%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

United Fire Group · $259M total across 3 segments · Q1 2021

  • Commercial Lines
    $224M-8.7%
  • Assumed Reinsurance
    $24.9M+336.5%
  • Personal Lines
    $10.4M-41.7%

Forward guidance

An earnings call will be held at 9:00 a.m. Central Time on May 5, 2021, to discuss the Company's first quarter of 2021 results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

28 / 65 earnings

Positive

+27.4%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-14.6%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.0%+21.7%+13.4%
Q4 2025+7.2%+8.9%+2.0%
Q3 2025+14.7%+17.3%+13.0%
Q1 2025-4.6%-2.4%-0.7%
Q4 2024+2.2%+5.7%+16.2%
Q3 2024+27.4%+25.3%+62.4%
Q2 2024-9.4%-8.1%-1.6%
Q1 2024+1.4%+1.8%-8.8%
Q4 2023+12.0%+9.1%-2.6%
Q3 2023-2.5%-1.2%+5.4%
Q2 2023-3.2%-4.4%-8.5%
Q1 2023-10.1%-10.6%-14.0%
Q4 2022-6.4%+1.0%-7.9%
Q3 2022-4.3%+3.4%+6.9%
Q2 2022-13.8%-9.4%-9.6%
Q1 2022-2.3%-4.7%+4.4%
Q4 2021+26.2%+26.8%+23.7%
Q3 2021-3.9%-2.3%-4.1%
Q2 2021+3.9%+9.5%+3.4%
Q1 2021+7.0%+5.4%+1.3%
Q4 2020-2.6%-4.3%+12.9%
Q3 2020-7.7%+0.7%+12.7%
Q2 2020+4.4%+12.1%-4.7%
Q1 2020-0.9%-1.7%+15.7%
Q4 2019-0.0%-3.4%-31.1%
Q3 2019-4.7%-5.7%-7.6%
Q2 2019-10.2%-11.5%-12.3%
Q1 2019+6.6%+6.2%+9.0%
Q4 2018-8.9%-13.3%-21.3%
Q3 2018-8.3%-9.9%-2.3%
Q2 2018-11.9%-11.5%-9.8%
Q1 2018+3.5%+1.4%+13.7%
Q4 2017+8.0%+10.9%+18.9%
Q3 2017+1.4%+0.1%+0.1%
Q2 2017-1.4%-1.8%-5.6%
Q1 2017-0.9%-1.8%+0.9%
Q4 2016-14.6%-14.3%-10.0%
Q3 2016-3.3%-1.7%+15.2%
Q2 2016-0.3%+1.3%+3.6%
Q1 2016-11.7%
Q4 2015+8.2%
Q3 2015+8.3%
Q2 2015+3.0%
Q1 2015+0.7%
Q4 2014-1.6%
Q3 2014-3.9%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014-2.0%
Q4 2013+9.4%
Q3 2013-9.6%
Q2 2013+4.9%
Q1 2013+2.1%
Q4 2012+0.8%
Q3 2012-5.3%
Q2 2012+14.3%
Q1 2011+0.8%
Q1 2012+1.8%
Q4 2009-0.7%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010+1.8%
Q3 2011+1.8%
Q2 2011-8.7%
Q2 2010-8.7%
Q1 2010-1.6%

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