NASDAQ$UFCS

United Fire Group Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported consolidated net income, driven by an increase in net realized investment gains and a decrease in losses and loss settlement expenses, partially offset by decreases in earned premiums and investment income.

United Fire Group, Inc. reported a consolidated net income of $6.0 million, or $0.24 per diluted share, for the second quarter of 2020, compared to a net loss of $4.2 million, or $0.17 per diluted share, for the same period in 2019. The company's results were impacted by historically high quarterly catastrophe losses, which were offset by improving core insurance profitability.

  • Net income totaled $6.0 million ($0.24 per diluted share) for the second quarter of 2020, compared to net loss of $4.2 million ($0.17 per diluted share) in the same period in 2019.
  • Net premiums earned decreased 4.7 percent to $263.6 million in the second quarter of 2020, compared to $276.5 million in the same period in 2019.
  • Net investment income was $12.7 million for the second quarter of 2020 as compared to net investment income of $14.1 million for the same period in 2019.
  • The GAAP combined ratio decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 111.4 percent for the second quarter of 2020, compared to 111.7 percent in the same period in 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$298M

Previous: $304M-2.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.26

Previous: -$0.59+55.9%
Combined Ratio

111.4%

Previous: 111.7%-0.3%
Free Cash Flow

$5.96M

Previous: -$4.2M+242.0%
Net Income

$5.96M

Previous: -$4.2M+242.0%
Operating Income

-$53.4M

Previous: $45M-218.6%
Gross Profit

-$13.5M

Previous: $84.2M-116.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$146M

Previous: $149M-1.7%
Total Assets

$3.03B

Previous: $3B+1.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.29M

Previous: $1.36M-4.7%

Revenue & EPS history

United Fire Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$298M

Q2 2020-2.1%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

United Fire Group · $264M total across 3 segments · Q2 2020

  • Commercial Lines
    $240M
  • Personal Lines
    $17.6M
  • Assumed Reinsurance
    $6.37M

Forward guidance

The company expects the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic to be manageable, but anticipates some additional pressure on premiums in the second half of the year due to a decrease in new business submissions and net endorsement premiums.

Tailwinds

  • The company continues to make progress with improving the profitability in its commercial auto book.
  • The company saw a double digit improvement in its commercial auto loss ratio.
  • The company continued to see a decline in the frequency of commercial auto claims.
  • The company saw a reduction in commercial auto exposure units.
  • The company's core loss ratio improved.

Headwinds

  • The company expects some decrease in new business submissions.
  • The company anticipates some decrease in net endorsement premiums.
  • Some businesses have reduced payrolls.
  • Some businesses have reduced sales.
  • Some businesses have reduced other exposure units.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

28 / 65 earnings

Positive

+27.4%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-14.6%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.0%+21.7%+13.4%
Q4 2025+7.2%+8.9%+2.0%
Q3 2025+14.7%+17.3%+13.0%
Q1 2025-4.6%-2.4%-0.7%
Q4 2024+2.2%+5.7%+16.2%
Q3 2024+27.4%+25.3%+62.4%
Q2 2024-9.4%-8.1%-1.6%
Q1 2024+1.4%+1.8%-8.8%
Q4 2023+12.0%+9.1%-2.6%
Q3 2023-2.5%-1.2%+5.4%
Q2 2023-3.2%-4.4%-8.5%
Q1 2023-10.1%-10.6%-14.0%
Q4 2022-6.4%+1.0%-7.9%
Q3 2022-4.3%+3.4%+6.9%
Q2 2022-13.8%-9.4%-9.6%
Q1 2022-2.3%-4.7%+4.4%
Q4 2021+26.2%+26.8%+23.7%
Q3 2021-3.9%-2.3%-4.1%
Q2 2021+3.9%+9.5%+3.4%
Q1 2021+7.0%+5.4%+1.3%
Q4 2020-2.6%-4.3%+12.9%
Q3 2020-7.7%+0.7%+12.7%
Q2 2020+4.4%+12.1%-4.7%
Q1 2020-0.9%-1.7%+15.7%
Q4 2019-0.0%-3.4%-31.1%
Q3 2019-4.7%-5.7%-7.6%
Q2 2019-10.2%-11.5%-12.3%
Q1 2019+6.6%+6.2%+9.0%
Q4 2018-8.9%-13.3%-21.3%
Q3 2018-8.3%-9.9%-2.3%
Q2 2018-11.9%-11.5%-9.8%
Q1 2018+3.5%+1.4%+13.7%
Q4 2017+8.0%+10.9%+18.9%
Q3 2017+1.4%+0.1%+0.1%
Q2 2017-1.4%-1.8%-5.6%
Q1 2017-0.9%-1.8%+0.9%
Q4 2016-14.6%-14.3%-10.0%
Q3 2016-3.3%-1.7%+15.2%
Q2 2016-0.3%+1.3%+3.6%
Q1 2016-11.7%
Q4 2015+8.2%
Q3 2015+8.3%
Q2 2015+3.0%
Q1 2015+0.7%
Q4 2014-1.6%
Q3 2014-3.9%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014-2.0%
Q4 2013+9.4%
Q3 2013-9.6%
Q2 2013+4.9%
Q1 2013+2.1%
Q4 2012+0.8%
Q3 2012-5.3%
Q2 2012+14.3%
Q1 2011+0.8%
Q1 2012+1.8%
Q4 2009-0.7%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010+1.8%
Q3 2011+1.8%
Q2 2011-8.7%
Q2 2010-8.7%
Q1 2010-1.6%

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