NASDAQ$RDNW

RideNow Group Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced results for the quarter and full year ended December 31, 2023, and presented Vision 2026 strategic plan.

RumbleOn reported a decrease in revenue for both the fourth quarter and the full year 2023, alongside a decrease in gross profit and adjusted EBITDA. Despite these declines, the company successfully completed a $100 million rights offering and paid down $50 million of debt in the quarter, positioning them favorably for 2024.

  • Total revenue was $311.1 million for the fourth quarter, a 6.2% decrease year-over-year.
  • Total Powersport Vehicle Retail Sales decreased by 5.8% compared to the prior year fourth quarter, totaling 15,596 units.
  • Gross profit for the fourth quarter was $71.2 million, down $21.2 million from the prior year, including a $12.6 million pre-owned inventory adjustment.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $3.1 million for the fourth quarter, compared to $19.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$311M

Previous: $370M-15.8%
EPS (adj)

-$7.81

Previous: -$0.68-1048.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$6.24M

Previous: $1.28M-586.3%
Net Income

-$169M

Previous: -$288M+41.4%
Operating Income

-$69.4M

Previous: -$355M+80.5%
Gross Profit

$71.2M

Previous: $93.1M-23.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.1M

Previous: $2.14M-48.4%

Revenue & EPS history

RumbleON · Revenue · Quarterly

$311M

Q4 2023-15.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 4 of 14 quarters(29%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

RumbleON · $260M total across 1 segment · Q1 2026

  • Powersports Dealership Group
    $260M

Forward guidance

RumbleOn introduced its 3-year operating plan called Vision 2026, expecting to achieve annual revenue in excess of $1.7 billion, annual Adjusted EBITDA of greater than $150 million, and annual Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $90 million or more by calendar year 2026.

Tailwinds

  • Annual revenue in excess of $1.7 billion by 2026.
  • Annual Adjusted EBITDA of greater than $150 million by 2026.
  • Annual Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $90 million or more by 2026.
  • Maintaining a healthy balance sheet within the target ratio of 1.5x to 2.5x net debt/Adjusted EBITDA.
  • Successfully completing a $100 million rights offering during the quarter.

Headwinds

  • The company has decided to stop the practice of giving annual guidance.
  • Prior Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $80 million to $90 million for 2024 is within sight, but the company is withdrawing prior guidance for 2024.
  • Total revenue declined 6.2% in Q4 2023 compared to Q4 2022.
  • Gross profit decreased by $21.2 million compared to the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased from $19.7 million to $3.1 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+2.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

15 / 38 earnings

Positive

+61.0%

Q2 2025

Best reaction

-38.1%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.5%-3.7%-0.9%
Q4 2025-7.3%-9.7%+0.4%
Q3 2025+0.6%+34.1%+62.8%
Q2 2025+61.0%+48.0%+111.0%
Q1 2025-7.7%-3.0%-32.2%
Q4 2024-5.5%-6.8%-34.2%
Q3 2024-9.2%-3.3%+10.7%
Q2 2024-2.5%-5.0%+2.5%
Q1 2024+26.2%+24.5%+13.1%
Q4 2023-25.6%-16.9%-20.4%
Q3 2023-2.8%-11.2%-15.6%
Q2 2023-20.8%-30.3%-39.0%
Q1 2023+21.3%+24.3%+60.8%
Q4 2022-0.3%+1.1%+8.1%
Q3 2022-38.1%-43.9%-53.3%
Q2 2022+21.9%+29.8%+10.5%
Q1 2022-3.1%+14.6%+16.5%
Q4 2021+23.6%+28.5%-19.5%
Q3 2021-11.1%-14.4%-22.7%
Q2 2021-6.4%-11.0%-10.0%
Q1 2021+10.4%+7.3%+2.3%
Q4 2020+35.4%+43.8%-2.1%
Q3 2020-1.2%-11.6%-21.2%
Q2 2020+38.1%+55.9%+49.2%
Q1 2020-4.1%-10.5%+106.0%
Q4 2019+15.5%+10.1%+34.4%
Q3 2019-34.2%-25.5%-64.7%
Q2 2019-3.6%-14.8%-31.2%
Q1 2019+0.0%-4.1%-9.1%
Q4 2018-6.4%-12.3%-8.6%
Q3 2018+3.2%+7.9%-5.7%
Q2 2018-1.3%-3.4%+9.1%
Q1 2018-6.2%-3.5%-10.0%
Q4 2017+5.2%+7.9%+2.7%
Q4 2016+5.2%+7.9%+2.7%
Q3 2017-4.7%-4.7%+2.8%
Q2 2017+0.0%+0.0%+14.3%
Q1 2017+15.0%+15.0%+30.0%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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