NASDAQ$PRPL

Purple Innovation Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Purple Innovation reported record results with a 40% increase in net revenue and a 171% increase in operating income for the fourth quarter of 2020.

Purple Innovation reported a strong fourth quarter, with net revenue increasing by 40% and operating income increasing by 171%. The company's DTC channel saw a 57% increase, driven by strong mattress sales and higher demand for other products. Purple Innovation is optimistic about 2021, estimating full year revenue to be in the range of $840 to $880 million.

  • Net revenue increased by 39.9% to $173.9 million compared to Q4 2019.
  • Operating income increased by 171.1% to $7.5 million compared to Q4 2019.
  • Net loss was $(2.1) million compared to a net loss of $(12.7) million in Q4 2019.
  • Adjusted net income was $5.0 million, or $0.07 per diluted share, compared to $1.2 million, or $0.02 per diluted share in Q4 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$174M

Previous: $124M+39.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.07

Previous: -$0.29+124.1%
Gross Margin

47.2%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$13.7M

Previous: $4.8M+185.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$19.9M

Previous: $2.27M-976.6%
Net Income

-$2.1M

Previous: -$12.7M+83.5%
Operating Income

$7.5M

Previous: $2.8M+167.9%
Gross Profit

$82M

Previous: $59.3M+38.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$123M

Previous: $33.5M+267.2%
Total Assets

$555M

Previous: $148M+275.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$626K

Previous: $323K+93.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Purple · Revenue · Quarterly

$174M

Q4 2020+39.9%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company currently expects full year revenue to be in the range of $840 to $880 million, an increase of 30% to 36% over 2020 results.

Tailwinds

  • Full year revenue to be in the range of $840 to $880 million, an increase of 30% to 36% over 2020 results.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for 2021 is expected to be between $90 million and $100 million.
  • Capital expenditures for 2021 to be in the range of $45 to $50 million.
  • Revenue to be in the range of $160 to $170 million for Q1 2021.
  • Adjusted EBITDA between $11 million and $14 million for Q1 2021.

Headwinds

  • Significant mix-shift back to wholesale expected in Q2 2021.
  • Second quarter adjusted EBITDA margins will be correspondingly lower than last year.
  • Continued investment in the buildout of the new Georgia facility.
  • New e-commerce platform investments.
  • Seasonality and investments in expanding capacity necessary for 2021 targets.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-3.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

16 / 42 earnings

Positive

+19.5%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-38.5%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+0.2%+1.1%
Q1 2026-17.1%-22.5%-36.2%
Q3 2025-10.1%-5.5%-7.2%
Q1 2025+6.6%+26.3%+3.9%
Q4 2024-2.9%-3.9%-20.3%
Q3 2024-9.1%-8.2%+9.3%
Q2 2024-13.6%-16.8%-12.8%
Q1 2024-10.0%-9.4%-31.2%
Q4 2023-15.3%-20.4%-9.2%
Q3 2023-38.5%-33.5%+35.8%
Q2 2023-22.8%-24.4%-27.7%
Q1 2023+15.5%+16.3%+15.9%
Q4 2022-18.5%-21.5%-21.8%
Q3 2022+16.7%+38.9%+38.6%
Q2 2022-7.6%-6.4%-28.7%
Q1 2022-4.9%+28.8%+38.7%
Q4 2021+10.5%+25.7%-2.8%
Q3 2021-23.8%-29.9%-46.0%
Q2 2021+4.0%+4.7%-8.8%
Q1 2021+3.5%-7.0%-18.8%
Q4 2020-13.7%-13.8%-13.1%
Q3 2020-4.7%-0.4%+2.3%
Q2 2020-13.8%-17.2%-5.9%
Q1 2020+6.9%+1.1%+25.3%
Q4 2019-19.6%-37.2%-51.5%
Q3 2019+15.1%+3.0%+5.3%
Q2 2019+19.5%+12.6%+41.8%
Q1 2019+10.3%+13.7%+9.9%
Q4 2018-4.2%-6.1%-10.3%
Q3 2018-7.6%+11.1%+10.9%
Q2 2018-12.9%-11.5%-22.9%
Q1 2018+1.6%+5.6%+19.7%
Q4 2017-1.5%+19.4%+6.8%
Q3 2017+0.1%+0.0%-0.6%
Q2 2017+0.7%+0.6%-0.2%
Q1 2017+0.2%-0.3%-0.5%
Q4 2016-0.5%+0.9%-0.6%
Q3 2016+0.0%+0.0%-1.0%
Q2 2016+0.0%+0.0%+0.2%
Q1 2016+0.2%
Q4 2015+0.0%
Q3 2015+0.0%

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