NASDAQ$PGNY

Progyny Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record quarterly revenue and operating cash flow.

Progyny reported a strong fourth quarter in 2022, with revenue growing 68% over the prior year period and a record $51.5 million in operating cash flow. The company's client base has become more diverse, and they anticipate crossing the $1 billion revenue milestone in 2023.

  • Revenue grew 68% over the prior year period.
  • Gross margin expanded by 110 basis points.
  • Generated a record $51.5 million in operating cash flow.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin on incremental revenue in 2022 exceeded 20%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$214M

Previous: $128M+68.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.03

Previous: $0.15-80.0%
Total Clients

288

Previous: 191+50.8%
ART Cycles

12.2K

No prior period
Utilization Rate - All

0.5%

Previous: 0.5%-1.9%
Utilization Rate - Female

0.5%

Previous: 0.5%+0.0%
Average Members

4.6M

Previous: 2.9M+57.3%
Capital Expenditures

$721K

Previous: $612K+17.8%
Free Cash Flow

$50.8M

Previous: $8.2M+519.2%
Net Income

$3.41M

Previous: $15.1M-77.4%
Operating Income

$3.31M

Previous: -$188K+1858.5%
Gross Profit

$44.5M

Previous: $25.1M+77.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$120M

Previous: $91.4M+31.4%
Total Assets

$543M

Previous: $358M+51.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$29.3M

Previous: $15M+95.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Progyny · Revenue · Quarterly

$214M

Q4 2022+68%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Progyny · $214M total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Fertility Benefit Services
    $143M+60.4%
  • Pharmacy Benefit Services
    $71.2M+85.4%

Forward guidance

The Company is providing the following financial guidance for the full year period ending December 31, 2023 and the three-month period ending March 31, 2023:

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is projected to be $1,000 million to $1,030 million, reflecting growth of 27% to 31%
  • Net income is projected to be $27.0 million to $32.7 million, or $0.26 to $0.32 per diluted share, on the basis of approximately 103 million assumed weighted-average fully diluted-shares outstanding
  • Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be $166.0 million to $174.0 million
  • Revenue is projected to be $245.0 million to $250.0 million, reflecting growth of 42% to 45%
  • Net income is projected to be $6.8 million to $8.6 million, or $0.07 to $0.08 per diluted share, on the basis of approximately 102 million assumed weighted-average fully diluted-shares outstanding

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

11 / 29 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-20.5%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.5%+25.4%+38.2%
Q4 2025-20.5%-20.0%-22.4%
Q3 2025+24.3%+33.6%+33.4%
Q1 2025-9.7%-6.5%-7.2%
Q4 2024-1.5%-5.2%-4.3%
Q3 2024-18.5%-19.3%-12.9%
Q2 2024-17.7%-14.7%-6.4%
Q1 2024-14.4%-14.6%-14.2%
Q4 2023-13.1%-9.7%-4.3%
Q3 2023-4.3%-2.1%+17.8%
Q2 2023+4.9%-2.8%-8.6%
Q1 2023+9.3%+5.9%+16.8%
Q4 2022+22.9%+18.4%+7.7%
Q3 2022-2.6%+2.0%-13.8%
Q2 2022+26.4%+25.5%+15.4%
Q1 2022-7.1%-15.6%-23.1%
Q4 2021+11.5%+13.0%+31.6%
Q3 2021+2.5%+5.8%-22.2%
Q2 2021-12.8%-17.1%+4.3%
Q1 2021-3.2%-8.7%+18.4%
Q4 2020-15.5%-14.9%-14.4%
Q3 2020-0.3%+7.0%+38.7%
Q2 2020+0.4%+8.4%-0.9%
Q1 2019-2.4%+4.8%-13.7%
Q1 2020+21.8%+18.8%+2.1%
Q4 2017-3.7%-6.3%-8.3%
Q4 2019-12.2%-15.5%-39.0%
Q4 2018-0.2%-5.0%-7.0%
Q3 2019+0.5%+0.3%-6.5%
Q2 2019
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018

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