NASDAQ$PGNY

Progyny Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Progyny had a strong fourth quarter, exceeding $100 million in quarterly revenue for the first time and concluding a record year.

Progyny reported a strong fourth quarter with revenue exceeding $100 million for the first time. The company successfully managed the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, achieving record levels of revenue, profitability, and operating cash flow.

  • Revenue was $100.3 million, a 54% increase compared to Q4 2019.
  • Net income was $39.1 million, or $0.39 income per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $11.9 million, an increase of $8.0 million from Q4 2019.
  • The company had 135 clients as of December 31, 2020, compared to 87 clients as of December 31, 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$100M

Previous: $65.1M+54.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.07

Previous: $0.01+600.0%
Total Clients

135

Previous: 87+55.2%
ART Cycles

5.7K

Previous: 3.8K+51.2%
Utilization Rate - All

0.5%

Previous: 0.5%+0.0%
Utilization Rate - Female

0.5%

Previous: 0.4%+2.3%
Average Members

2.3M

Previous: 1.5M+52.2%
Capital Expenditures

$97K

Previous: $2.28M-95.7%
Free Cash Flow

$6.44M

Previous: -$7.77M+182.9%
Net Income

$39.1M

Previous: -$4.4M+988.0%
Operating Income

$1.16M

Previous: $1.14M+1.5%
Gross Profit

$20.7M

Previous: $11.8M+75.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$70.3M

Previous: $80.4M-12.5%
Total Assets

$254M

Previous: $150M+68.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.16M

Previous: $1.85M+124.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Progyny · Revenue · Quarterly

$100M

Q4 2020+54%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 5 of 8 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Progyny · $100M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Fertility Benefit Services
    $74.7M+39.6%
  • Pharmacy Benefit Services
    $25.6M+120.7%

Forward guidance

The company is providing financial guidance for the year ended December 31, 2021, and the three-month period ending March 31, 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is projected to be $520.0 million to $540.0 million, reflecting growth of 51% to 57%.
  • Net income is projected to be $30.1 million to $37.4 million, or $0.29 to $0.36 per diluted share, on the basis of approximately 103 million assumed weighted-average fully diluted-shares outstanding
  • Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be $63.0 million to $68.0 million
  • Revenue is projected to be $117.0 million to $122.0 million, reflecting growth of 44% to 51%
  • Net income is projected to be $7.5 million to $9.4 million, or $0.07 to $0.09 per diluted share, on the basis of approximately 101 million assumed weighted-average fully diluted-shares outstanding

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be $14.0 million to $15.5 million
  • The forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other important factors.
  • The actual future results could differ materially from what is expected.
  • The company assumes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements publicly, or to update the reasons
  • Estimates for stock-based compensation and provision for income taxes include assumptions regarding company share price and the amount and timing of equity exercises, which may differ from actual results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

11 / 29 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-20.5%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.5%+25.4%+38.2%
Q4 2025-20.5%-20.0%-22.4%
Q3 2025+24.3%+33.6%+33.4%
Q1 2025-9.7%-6.5%-7.2%
Q4 2024-1.5%-5.2%-4.3%
Q3 2024-18.5%-19.3%-12.9%
Q2 2024-17.7%-14.7%-6.4%
Q1 2024-14.4%-14.6%-14.2%
Q4 2023-13.1%-9.7%-4.3%
Q3 2023-4.3%-2.1%+17.8%
Q2 2023+4.9%-2.8%-8.6%
Q1 2023+9.3%+5.9%+16.8%
Q4 2022+22.9%+18.4%+7.7%
Q3 2022-2.6%+2.0%-13.8%
Q2 2022+26.4%+25.5%+15.4%
Q1 2022-7.1%-15.6%-23.1%
Q4 2021+11.5%+13.0%+31.6%
Q3 2021+2.5%+5.8%-22.2%
Q2 2021-12.8%-17.1%+4.3%
Q1 2021-3.2%-8.7%+18.4%
Q4 2020-15.5%-14.9%-14.4%
Q3 2020-0.3%+7.0%+38.7%
Q2 2020+0.4%+8.4%-0.9%
Q1 2019-2.4%+4.8%-13.7%
Q1 2020+21.8%+18.8%+2.1%
Q4 2017-3.7%-6.3%-8.3%
Q4 2019-12.2%-15.5%-39.0%
Q4 2018-0.2%-5.0%-7.0%
Q3 2019+0.5%+0.3%-6.5%
Q2 2019
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018

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