NASDAQ$NFLX

Netflix, Inc. · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Netflix's financial objectives for 2023 were achieved, revenue growth accelerated, operating margin grew, and free cash flow increased.

Netflix ended the year with strong growth, achieving key financial objectives set at the start of 2023. Revenue grew by 12%, the operating margin reached 21%, and free cash flow increased to $6.9 billion.

  • Revenue in Q4 grew 12% year over year, or 13% on a foreign exchange (F/X) neutral basis.
  • Paid net additions totaled 13.1M in Q4’23, the largest Q4 ever.
  • Operating income amounted to $1.5B, up from $0.5B in the year ago period, while operating margin improved to 17% vs. 7% in the year ago quarter.
  • EPS for the fourth quarter was $2.11 compared with $0.12 last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$8.83B

Previous: $7.85B+12.5%
EPS (adj)

$2.11

Previous: $0.12+1658.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$81.6M

Previous: $112M-173.2%
Net Income

$938M

Previous: $55.3M+1596.4%
Operating Income

$1.5B

Previous: $550M+172.1%
Gross Profit

$3.53B

Previous: $2.45B+44.0%
R&D Expense

$673M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$82.5M

Previous: $154M-46.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Netflix · Revenue · Quarterly

$8.83B

Q4 2023+12.5%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Netflix · $8.52B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • UCAN
    $3.74B+3.7%
  • EMEA
    $2.69B+13.3%
  • LATAM
    $1.14B+11.6%
  • APAC
    $948M+6.6%

Forward guidance

Netflix anticipates healthy double-digit revenue growth for the full year 2024 on a F/X neutral basis, driven by continued membership growth and improvement in F/X neutral ARM as prices are adjusted.

Tailwinds

  • Healthy double digit revenue growth for the full year 2024 on a F/X neutral basis driven by continued membership growth
  • Improvement in F/X neutral ARM as prices are adjusted
  • Strong growth in the ads business
  • Global ARM to be up year over year on a F/X neutral basis in Q1
  • Increasing full year 2024 operating margin forecast from 22%-23% to 24%

Headwinds

  • Q1’24 revenue growth includes a three percentage point headwind from F/X on a year over year basis
  • Paid net additions to be down sequentially
  • Some lumpiness in year to year FCF progression
  • Not fully hedged, which is why we are still guiding and managing to a F/X neutral operating margin target.
  • Strikes pushing back the launch of some titles

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 73 earnings

Positive

+50.1%

Q4 2012

Best reaction

-33.1%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%-4.6%-7.9%
Q4 2025+2.6%-13.5%-19.2%
Q3 2025-5.1%-11.8%-16.0%
Q2 2025-5.1%-7.6%-2.8%
Q1 2025+1.5%+7.9%+22.5%
Q4 2024+11.2%+13.9%+19.4%
Q3 2024+8.8%+8.9%+17.4%
Q2 2024-2.2%-0.7%+4.1%
Q1 2024-9.6%-5.9%+1.2%
Q4 2023+12.2%+17.4%+21.2%
Q3 2023+12.9%+14.4%+31.0%
Q2 2023-7.9%-9.8%-14.8%
Q1 2023-2.9%-1.4%+11.6%
Q4 2022+5.0%+11.5%+6.6%
Q3 2022+11.1%+18.1%+20.5%
Q2 2022+13.4%+15.5%+28.4%
Q1 2022-33.1%-36.2%-45.7%
Q4 2021-22.9%-29.0%-24.1%
Q3 2021-2.0%+4.2%+6.9%
Q2 2021-3.5%-3.2%+2.1%
Q1 2021-8.2%-8.8%-9.5%
Q4 2020+17.7%+13.5%+10.1%
Q3 2020-7.9%-8.0%-8.7%
Q2 2020-5.8%-6.3%-7.8%
Q1 2020-3.7%-2.9%-0.3%
Q4 2019-4.0%+4.0%+13.6%
Q3 2019+3.2%-2.2%+3.8%
Q2 2019-11.1%-15.1%-17.3%
Q1 2019+1.7%+3.3%+3.0%
Q4 2018-3.5%-7.5%+1.6%
Q3 2018+9.5%-0.1%-12.9%
Q2 2018-4.1%-8.8%-17.5%
Q1 2018+7.8%+5.2%+5.3%
Q4 2017+13.5%+24.6%+27.5%
Q3 2017-0.0%-2.7%-3.7%
Q2 2017+14.0%+17.0%+5.5%
Q1 2017+0.3%-0.0%+7.2%
Q4 2016+4.2%+3.4%+7.0%
Q3 2016+17.1%+25.7%+13.5%
Q2 2016-12.8%-12.7%-2.1%
Q1 2016-15.4%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-7.9%
Q2 2015+15.4%
Q1 2015+17.4%
Q4 2014+21.3%
Q3 2014-19.5%
Q2 2014-2.9%
Q1 2014+7.9%
Q4 2013+18.3%
Q3 2013-3.3%
Q2 2013-5.4%
Q1 2013+32.8%
Q4 2012+50.1%
Q3 2012-9.8%
Q2 2012-24.6%
Q1 2012-17.4%
Q4 2011-5.2%
Q3 2011+6.0%
Q2 2011-0.1%
Q1 2011+1.7%
Q4 2010-6.0%
Q3 2010+7.0%
Q2 2010-2.4%
Q1 2009+1.1%
Q1 2010-0.1%
Q4 2009-3.5%
Q4 2007-3.5%
Q3 2008-1.2%
Q3 2009-1.2%
Q2 2008+3.1%
Q2 2009+3.1%
Q4 2008+3.1%

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