NASDAQ$NFLX

Netflix, Inc. · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Netflix experienced strong growth and profitability, exceeding expectations in Q4 2024.

Netflix's Q4 2024 saw a 16% increase in revenue year-over-year, driven by a record 19 million paid net additions. Operating income rose by 52% year-over-year. The company forecasts continued growth into 2025, with revenue expected to reach $43.5-$44.5 billion and an operating margin of 29%.

  • Revenue increased by 16% year-over-year, driven by 19M paid net adds.
  • Operating income increased by 52% year-over-year.
  • Netflix finished 2024 with 302M memberships.
  • The company forecasts 2025 revenue of $43.5-$44.5B and an operating margin of 29%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$10.2B

Previous: $8.83B+16.0%
EPS (adj)

$4.27

Previous: $2.11+102.4%
Operating Margin

22.2%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$159M

Previous: -$81.6M-94.4%
Net Income

$1.87B

Previous: $938M+99.2%
Operating Income

$2.27B

Previous: $1.5B+51.9%
Gross Profit

$4.48B

Previous: $3.53B+27.1%
R&D Expense

$777M

Previous: $673M+15.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$61.8M

Previous: $82.5M-25.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Netflix · Revenue · Quarterly

$10.2B

Q4 2024+16%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Netflix · $8.52B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • UCAN
    $3.74B+3.7%
  • EMEA
    $2.69B+13.3%
  • LATAM
    $1.14B+11.6%
  • APAC
    $948M+6.6%

Forward guidance

Netflix anticipates revenue between $10.366 and $10.576 billion for Q1 2025, representing an 11.2% year-over-year growth. They are also targeting a 29% operating margin for the full year 2025.

Tailwinds

  • Continued healthy member growth
  • Modest F/X neutral ARM growth
  • Rough doubling of ad revenue
  • Improved business fundamentals
  • Expected carryover benefit of stronger-than-forecasted Q4’24 performance

Headwinds

  • Timing of price changes
  • Seasonality of ads business
  • Strengthening of the US dollar
  • Cash outflows related to the timing of certain direct and indirect tax deposits
  • Material swings in F/X

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 73 earnings

Positive

+50.1%

Q4 2012

Best reaction

-33.1%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%-4.6%-7.9%
Q4 2025+2.6%-13.5%-19.2%
Q3 2025-5.1%-11.8%-16.0%
Q2 2025-5.1%-7.6%-2.8%
Q1 2025+1.5%+7.9%+22.5%
Q4 2024+11.2%+13.9%+19.4%
Q3 2024+8.8%+8.9%+17.4%
Q2 2024-2.2%-0.7%+4.1%
Q1 2024-9.6%-5.9%+1.2%
Q4 2023+12.2%+17.4%+21.2%
Q3 2023+12.9%+14.4%+31.0%
Q2 2023-7.9%-9.8%-14.8%
Q1 2023-2.9%-1.4%+11.6%
Q4 2022+5.0%+11.5%+6.6%
Q3 2022+11.1%+18.1%+20.5%
Q2 2022+13.4%+15.5%+28.4%
Q1 2022-33.1%-36.2%-45.7%
Q4 2021-22.9%-29.0%-24.1%
Q3 2021-2.0%+4.2%+6.9%
Q2 2021-3.5%-3.2%+2.1%
Q1 2021-8.2%-8.8%-9.5%
Q4 2020+17.7%+13.5%+10.1%
Q3 2020-7.9%-8.0%-8.7%
Q2 2020-5.8%-6.3%-7.8%
Q1 2020-3.7%-2.9%-0.3%
Q4 2019-4.0%+4.0%+13.6%
Q3 2019+3.2%-2.2%+3.8%
Q2 2019-11.1%-15.1%-17.3%
Q1 2019+1.7%+3.3%+3.0%
Q4 2018-3.5%-7.5%+1.6%
Q3 2018+9.5%-0.1%-12.9%
Q2 2018-4.1%-8.8%-17.5%
Q1 2018+7.8%+5.2%+5.3%
Q4 2017+13.5%+24.6%+27.5%
Q3 2017-0.0%-2.7%-3.7%
Q2 2017+14.0%+17.0%+5.5%
Q1 2017+0.3%-0.0%+7.2%
Q4 2016+4.2%+3.4%+7.0%
Q3 2016+17.1%+25.7%+13.5%
Q2 2016-12.8%-12.7%-2.1%
Q1 2016-15.4%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-7.9%
Q2 2015+15.4%
Q1 2015+17.4%
Q4 2014+21.3%
Q3 2014-19.5%
Q2 2014-2.9%
Q1 2014+7.9%
Q4 2013+18.3%
Q3 2013-3.3%
Q2 2013-5.4%
Q1 2013+32.8%
Q4 2012+50.1%
Q3 2012-9.8%
Q2 2012-24.6%
Q1 2012-17.4%
Q4 2011-5.2%
Q3 2011+6.0%
Q2 2011-0.1%
Q1 2011+1.7%
Q4 2010-6.0%
Q3 2010+7.0%
Q2 2010-2.4%
Q1 2009+1.1%
Q1 2010-0.1%
Q4 2009-3.5%
Q4 2007-3.5%
Q3 2008-1.2%
Q3 2009-1.2%
Q2 2008+3.1%
Q2 2009+3.1%
Q4 2008+3.1%

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