NASDAQ$NFLX

Netflix, Inc. · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Netflix's Q1 2023 results were in line with expectations, marked by revenue growth, strong content performance, and progress in strategic initiatives.

Netflix's Q1 2023 saw revenue and operating profit align with forecasts. The company delivered a strong content slate and achieved investment grade status. Paid sharing was launched in four countries with promising results, and the ads experience is being upgraded to attract more consumers.

  • Q1 revenue and operating profit were in line with forecast.
  • Content slate in Q1 was strong.
  • Achieved investment grade status with Moody’s recent upgrade.
  • Launched paid sharing in four countries with pleasing results and planning a broad rollout in Q2.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$8.16B

Previous: $7.87B+3.7%
EPS (adj)

$2.88

Previous: $3.53-18.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$62M

Previous: -$121M+48.8%
Free Cash Flow

$1.24B

Previous: $1.48B-15.8%
Net Income

$1.31B

Previous: $1.6B-18.3%
Operating Income

$1.71B

Previous: $1.97B-13.1%
Gross Profit

$3.36B

Previous: $3.58B-6.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$6.71B

Previous: $6.01B+11.7%
Total Assets

$49.5B

Previous: $45.3B+9.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$99.1M

Previous: $119M-16.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Netflix · Revenue · Quarterly

$8.16B

Q1 2023+3.7%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Netflix · $8.13B total across 4 segments · Q1 2023

  • UCAN
    $3.61B+7.7%
  • EMEA
    $2.52B-1.7%
  • LATAM
    $1.07B+7.1%
  • APAC
    $934M+1.9%

Forward guidance

For Q2 2023, Netflix forecasts revenue of $8.2 billion, a 3% year-over-year increase (6% on an F/X neutral basis), and operating income of $1.6 billion. They anticipate constant currency revenue growth to accelerate in the second half of 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue of $8.2B, up 3% year over year, or 6% growth on an F/X neutral basis.
  • Paid sharing launches are showing positive results.
  • Opportunities to improve member experience were identified and are being implemented.
  • Constant currency revenue growth is expected to accelerate over the second half of 2023.
  • Targeting a 2023 operating margin of 18%-20%.

Headwinds

  • Rollout of major new initiatives (paid sharing and ads) leads to less-than-normal visibility.
  • Some of the expected membership growth and revenue benefit will fall in Q3 rather than Q2.
  • Operating margin of 19% vs. 20% in Q2 2022.
  • Year over year decline in operating margin is attributable to the appreciation of the US dollar.
  • Competition remains intense.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 73 earnings

Positive

+50.1%

Q4 2012

Best reaction

-33.1%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%-4.6%-7.9%
Q4 2025+2.6%-13.5%-19.2%
Q3 2025-5.1%-11.8%-16.0%
Q2 2025-5.1%-7.6%-2.8%
Q1 2025+1.5%+7.9%+22.5%
Q4 2024+11.2%+13.9%+19.4%
Q3 2024+8.8%+8.9%+17.4%
Q2 2024-2.2%-0.7%+4.1%
Q1 2024-9.6%-5.9%+1.2%
Q4 2023+12.2%+17.4%+21.2%
Q3 2023+12.9%+14.4%+31.0%
Q2 2023-7.9%-9.8%-14.8%
Q1 2023-2.9%-1.4%+11.6%
Q4 2022+5.0%+11.5%+6.6%
Q3 2022+11.1%+18.1%+20.5%
Q2 2022+13.4%+15.5%+28.4%
Q1 2022-33.1%-36.2%-45.7%
Q4 2021-22.9%-29.0%-24.1%
Q3 2021-2.0%+4.2%+6.9%
Q2 2021-3.5%-3.2%+2.1%
Q1 2021-8.2%-8.8%-9.5%
Q4 2020+17.7%+13.5%+10.1%
Q3 2020-7.9%-8.0%-8.7%
Q2 2020-5.8%-6.3%-7.8%
Q1 2020-3.7%-2.9%-0.3%
Q4 2019-4.0%+4.0%+13.6%
Q3 2019+3.2%-2.2%+3.8%
Q2 2019-11.1%-15.1%-17.3%
Q1 2019+1.7%+3.3%+3.0%
Q4 2018-3.5%-7.5%+1.6%
Q3 2018+9.5%-0.1%-12.9%
Q2 2018-4.1%-8.8%-17.5%
Q1 2018+7.8%+5.2%+5.3%
Q4 2017+13.5%+24.6%+27.5%
Q3 2017-0.0%-2.7%-3.7%
Q2 2017+14.0%+17.0%+5.5%
Q1 2017+0.3%-0.0%+7.2%
Q4 2016+4.2%+3.4%+7.0%
Q3 2016+17.1%+25.7%+13.5%
Q2 2016-12.8%-12.7%-2.1%
Q1 2016-15.4%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-7.9%
Q2 2015+15.4%
Q1 2015+17.4%
Q4 2014+21.3%
Q3 2014-19.5%
Q2 2014-2.9%
Q1 2014+7.9%
Q4 2013+18.3%
Q3 2013-3.3%
Q2 2013-5.4%
Q1 2013+32.8%
Q4 2012+50.1%
Q3 2012-9.8%
Q2 2012-24.6%
Q1 2012-17.4%
Q4 2011-5.2%
Q3 2011+6.0%
Q2 2011-0.1%
Q1 2011+1.7%
Q4 2010-6.0%
Q3 2010+7.0%
Q2 2010-2.4%
Q1 2009+1.1%
Q1 2010-0.1%
Q4 2009-3.5%
Q4 2007-3.5%
Q3 2008-1.2%
Q3 2009-1.2%
Q2 2008+3.1%
Q2 2009+3.1%
Q4 2008+3.1%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro