NASDAQ$NFLX

Netflix, Inc. · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Revenue increased, operating income rose, and paid memberships finished ahead of forecast.

Netflix's Q2 2021 earnings showed a 19% increase in revenue year over year, reaching $7.3 billion. Operating income also rose by 36% year over year to $1.8 billion. The company concluded the quarter with over 209 million paid memberships, slightly surpassing their forecast.

  • Revenue increased 19% year over year to $7.3 billion.
  • Operating income rose 36% year over year to $1.8 billion.
  • Finished the quarter with over 209 million paid memberships, slightly ahead of forecast.
  • APAC region represented about two-thirds of global paid net adds in the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$7.34B

Previous: $6.15B+19.4%
EPS (adj)

$2.97

Previous: $1.59+86.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$110M

Previous: -$142M+22.2%
Free Cash Flow

$1.24B

Previous: $578M+114.8%
Net Income

$1.35B

Previous: $720M+87.9%
Operating Income

$1.85B

Previous: $1.36B+36.1%
Gross Profit

$3.32B

Previous: $2.5B+32.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$7.78B

Previous: $7.15B+8.7%
Total Assets

$41B

Previous: $37.2B+10.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$102M

Previous: $104M-2.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Netflix · Revenue · Quarterly

$7.34B

Q2 2021+19.4%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Netflix · $7.3B total across 4 segments · Q2 2021

  • UCAN
    $3.24B+13.9%
  • EMEA
    $2.4B+26.8%
  • LATAM
    $861M+9.7%
  • APAC
    $799M+40.4%

Forward guidance

For Q3'21, Netflix forecasts revenue of $7.477 billion and paid net additions of 3.5 million.

Tailwinds

  • Forecasts paid net additions of 3.5m vs. 2.2m in the prior year period.
  • If forecast is achieved, more than 54m paid net adds will have been added over the past 24 months.
  • ARM will grow roughly 5% year over year on a FX neutral basis in Q3’21.
  • Targeting a 20% operating margin for the full year 2021 vs. 18% in 2020.
  • Optimistic in ability to deliver a strong second half slate.

Headwinds

  • COVID and its variants make predicting the future hard.
  • Some years will be a little under the average annual three percentage point pace increase in operating margin.
  • COVID-related production delays in 2020 have led to a lighter first half of 2021 slate.
  • Pandemic has created unusual choppiness in growth and distorts year-over-year comparisons.
  • Engagement per member household was down vs. unprecedented levels but was still up 17% compared with a more comparable Q2’19.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 73 earnings

Positive

+50.1%

Q4 2012

Best reaction

-33.1%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%-4.6%-7.9%
Q4 2025+2.6%-13.5%-19.2%
Q3 2025-5.1%-11.8%-16.0%
Q2 2025-5.1%-7.6%-2.8%
Q1 2025+1.5%+7.9%+22.5%
Q4 2024+11.2%+13.9%+19.4%
Q3 2024+8.8%+8.9%+17.4%
Q2 2024-2.2%-0.7%+4.1%
Q1 2024-9.6%-5.9%+1.2%
Q4 2023+12.2%+17.4%+21.2%
Q3 2023+12.9%+14.4%+31.0%
Q2 2023-7.9%-9.8%-14.8%
Q1 2023-2.9%-1.4%+11.6%
Q4 2022+5.0%+11.5%+6.6%
Q3 2022+11.1%+18.1%+20.5%
Q2 2022+13.4%+15.5%+28.4%
Q1 2022-33.1%-36.2%-45.7%
Q4 2021-22.9%-29.0%-24.1%
Q3 2021-2.0%+4.2%+6.9%
Q2 2021-3.5%-3.2%+2.1%
Q1 2021-8.2%-8.8%-9.5%
Q4 2020+17.7%+13.5%+10.1%
Q3 2020-7.9%-8.0%-8.7%
Q2 2020-5.8%-6.3%-7.8%
Q1 2020-3.7%-2.9%-0.3%
Q4 2019-4.0%+4.0%+13.6%
Q3 2019+3.2%-2.2%+3.8%
Q2 2019-11.1%-15.1%-17.3%
Q1 2019+1.7%+3.3%+3.0%
Q4 2018-3.5%-7.5%+1.6%
Q3 2018+9.5%-0.1%-12.9%
Q2 2018-4.1%-8.8%-17.5%
Q1 2018+7.8%+5.2%+5.3%
Q4 2017+13.5%+24.6%+27.5%
Q3 2017-0.0%-2.7%-3.7%
Q2 2017+14.0%+17.0%+5.5%
Q1 2017+0.3%-0.0%+7.2%
Q4 2016+4.2%+3.4%+7.0%
Q3 2016+17.1%+25.7%+13.5%
Q2 2016-12.8%-12.7%-2.1%
Q1 2016-15.4%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-7.9%
Q2 2015+15.4%
Q1 2015+17.4%
Q4 2014+21.3%
Q3 2014-19.5%
Q2 2014-2.9%
Q1 2014+7.9%
Q4 2013+18.3%
Q3 2013-3.3%
Q2 2013-5.4%
Q1 2013+32.8%
Q4 2012+50.1%
Q3 2012-9.8%
Q2 2012-24.6%
Q1 2012-17.4%
Q4 2011-5.2%
Q3 2011+6.0%
Q2 2011-0.1%
Q1 2011+1.7%
Q4 2010-6.0%
Q3 2010+7.0%
Q2 2010-2.4%
Q1 2009+1.1%
Q1 2010-0.1%
Q4 2009-3.5%
Q4 2007-3.5%
Q3 2008-1.2%
Q3 2009-1.2%
Q2 2008+3.1%
Q2 2009+3.1%
Q4 2008+3.1%

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