NASDAQ$MRNA

Moderna Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Moderna reported third quarter revenues of $1.9 billion and GAAP net income of $13 million.

Moderna's Q3 2024 financial results showed revenues of $1.9 billion, driven by Spikevax® sales. The company achieved a GAAP net income of $13 million and EPS of $0.03. Cost efficiency was a key focus, contributing to improved financial performance.

  • Reported third quarter revenues of $1.9 billion.
  • Achieved GAAP net income of $13 million and GAAP EPS of $0.03.
  • Year-to-date product sales reached $2.2 billion.
  • Reiterated 2024 expected product sales of $3.0 to $3.5 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.86B

Previous: $1.83B+1.7%
EPS

$0.03

Previous: -$9.53+100.3%
R&D Expense

$1.14B

No prior period
SG&A Expense

$282M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$529M

Previous: -$487M-8.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$516M

Previous: -$4.12B+87.5%
Net Income

$13M

Previous: -$3.63B+100.4%
Operating Income

-$70M

Previous: -$2.01B+96.5%
Gross Profit

$1.35B

Previous: -$410M+428.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.64B

Previous: $2.93B-43.9%
Total Assets

$15.8B

Previous: $19.5B-18.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$112M

Previous: $77M+45.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Moderna · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.86B

Q3 2024+1.7%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Moderna · $1.93B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Net Product Sales
    $1.76B
  • Other Revenue
    $174M

Forward guidance

The Company reiterates its 2024 expected net product sales of $3.0 to $3.5 billion from its respiratory franchise. Cost of sales is now expected to be in the range of 40-45% of product sales for the year (previously 40-50%). Full-year 2024 research and development expenses are now anticipated to be in the range of $4.6 to $4.7 billion (previously $4.8 billion). Selling, general and administrative expenses for 2024 are projected to be approximately $1.2 billion. The Company continues to expect its full-year tax expense to be negligible. Capital expenditures for 2024 are now expected to be approximately $1.2 billion (previously ~$0.9 billion).

Tailwinds

  • Reiterates 2024 expected net product sales of $3.0 to $3.5 billion
  • Cost of sales is now expected to be in the range of 40-45% of product sales for the year
  • Full-year 2024 research and development expenses are now anticipated to be in the range of $4.6 to $4.7 billion
  • Selling, general and administrative expenses for 2024 are projected to be approximately $1.2 billion
  • Year-end cash and investments for 2024 are projected to be approximately $9 billion

Headwinds

  • Remaining focused on a prioritized research and development portfolio
  • Delivering on 10 product approvals over the next three years.
  • Moderna intends to file in 2024 for approval of its next-generation COVID-19 vaccine (mRNA-1283) and RSV vaccine (mRNA-1345) for high-risk adults aged 18-59
  • For its flu/COVID combination vaccine (mRNA-1083), the Company intends to file in 2024, subject to ongoing discussions with the U.S. FDA, and has decided not to use a priority review voucher.
  • The Company expects to start a pivotal study in the first half of 2025.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.2%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

17 / 29 earnings

Positive

+21.0%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-31.5%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%+6.2%+2.7%
Q4 2025+5.3%+16.2%+31.0%
Q3 2025+2.6%+12.1%+17.6%
Q1 2025-5.3%-14.4%-6.9%
Q4 2024+3.4%+12.5%+8.5%
Q3 2024-9.6%-16.1%-14.2%
Q2 2024-27.4%-31.0%-35.1%
Q1 2024+12.1%+8.6%+27.9%
Q4 2023+10.1%+9.8%+20.4%
Q3 2023+1.7%-3.3%+4.8%
Q2 2023-1.8%-9.5%+2.1%
Q1 2023+5.3%+2.8%+0.3%
Q4 2022-12.0%-12.2%-4.6%
Q3 2022+6.6%+10.8%+22.7%
Q2 2022+20.8%+13.8%-13.8%
Q1 2022-3.1%-7.3%-6.4%
Q4 2021+11.5%+10.2%+22.2%
Q3 2021-31.5%-31.5%-11.3%
Q2 2021-1.3%+9.0%-0.6%
Q1 2021+0.2%-2.4%+26.5%
Q4 2020+6.9%+1.4%-7.9%
Q3 2020+2.6%+5.1%+93.2%
Q2 2020-6.0%-8.2%-20.2%
Q1 2020+21.0%+27.4%+18.9%
Q4 2019+10.1%+25.8%+26.5%
Q3 2019+3.6%+3.0%+12.1%
Q2 2019+7.3%+5.9%+29.2%
Q1 2019-5.3%-0.5%-28.6%
Q4 2018-3.6%-4.4%+21.5%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
Q1 2017

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