NASDAQ$MRNA

Moderna Inc · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Moderna reported strong Q1 performance driven by increased product sales, especially of its COVID-19 vaccine, and reiterated its signed advance purchase agreements for 2022.

Moderna reported a strong first quarter with revenues of $6.1 billion, driven by increased product sales of its COVID-19 vaccine. The company's GAAP net income was $3.7 billion, with a diluted EPS of $8.58. Moderna reiterated its 2022 signed advance purchase agreements of approximately $21 billion.

  • Moderna's Q1 2022 revenue reached $6.1 billion, compared to $1.9 billion in Q1 2021.
  • GAAP net income for Q1 2022 was $3.7 billion, a significant increase from $1.2 billion in the same period last year.
  • Diluted EPS for Q1 2022 was $8.58, compared to $2.84 for the same period in 2021.
  • Moderna reiterated its 2022 signed advance purchase agreements of approximately $21 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.07B

Previous: $1.94B+213.2%
EPS (adj)

$8.58

Previous: $2.84+202.1%
R&D Expense

$554M

Previous: $401M+38.2%
SG&A Expense

$268M

Previous: $77M+248.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$132M

Previous: -$35M-277.1%
Free Cash Flow

$3.53B

Previous: $1.19B+197.2%
Net Income

$3.66B

Previous: $1.22B+199.5%
Operating Income

$4.23B

Previous: $1.27B+233.9%
Gross Profit

$5.05B

Previous: $1.74B+189.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.05B

Previous: $5.44B-7.2%
Total Assets

$27.6B

Previous: $12.7B+117.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$44M

Previous: $30M+46.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Moderna · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.07B

Q1 2022+213.2%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Moderna · $1.93B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Net Product Sales
    $1.76B
  • Other Revenue
    $174M

Forward guidance

Moderna anticipates sales to be slightly larger in the second half of 2022 than in the first half. Cost of sales as a percentage of product sales are expected to be in the low-to-mid 20s percentage range. Full year Research & Development (R&D) and Selling, General & Administrative (SG&A) expenses are expected to be approximately $4 billion. The company expects an effective tax rate for the full year in the mid-teen percentage range and capital investments for 2022 in the range of $0.6-$0.8 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Sales slightly larger in the second half of 2022 than in the first half.
  • Share repurchase program for $3 billion in February 2022 to return excess capital to shareholders.

Headwinds

  • Cost of sales as percentage of product sales are expected to be in the low-to-mid 20s percentage range.
  • Full year expenses expected to be approximately $4 billion.
  • Effective tax rate for the full year in the mid-teen percentage range.
  • Capital expenditures: Expect capital investments for 2022 in the range of $0.6-$0.8 billion.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.2%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

17 / 29 earnings

Positive

+21.0%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-31.5%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%+6.2%+2.7%
Q4 2025+5.3%+16.2%+31.0%
Q3 2025+2.6%+12.1%+17.6%
Q1 2025-5.3%-14.4%-6.9%
Q4 2024+3.4%+12.5%+8.5%
Q3 2024-9.6%-16.1%-14.2%
Q2 2024-27.4%-31.0%-35.1%
Q1 2024+12.1%+8.6%+27.9%
Q4 2023+10.1%+9.8%+20.4%
Q3 2023+1.7%-3.3%+4.8%
Q2 2023-1.8%-9.5%+2.1%
Q1 2023+5.3%+2.8%+0.3%
Q4 2022-12.0%-12.2%-4.6%
Q3 2022+6.6%+10.8%+22.7%
Q2 2022+20.8%+13.8%-13.8%
Q1 2022-3.1%-7.3%-6.4%
Q4 2021+11.5%+10.2%+22.2%
Q3 2021-31.5%-31.5%-11.3%
Q2 2021-1.3%+9.0%-0.6%
Q1 2021+0.2%-2.4%+26.5%
Q4 2020+6.9%+1.4%-7.9%
Q3 2020+2.6%+5.1%+93.2%
Q2 2020-6.0%-8.2%-20.2%
Q1 2020+21.0%+27.4%+18.9%
Q4 2019+10.1%+25.8%+26.5%
Q3 2019+3.6%+3.0%+12.1%
Q2 2019+7.3%+5.9%+29.2%
Q1 2019-5.3%-0.5%-28.6%
Q4 2018-3.6%-4.4%+21.5%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
Q1 2017

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