NASDAQ$MRNA
Moderna Inc · Q3 2020 earnings
Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Moderna reported financial results and business updates for Q3 2020.
Moderna's Q3 2020 saw revenue of $157.9 million, primarily driven by increases in grant revenue related to the BARDA agreement for the mRNA-1273 vaccine candidate. The company's net loss was $233.6 million. Moderna received $1.1 billion in customer deposits for the supply of mRNA-1273, recorded as deferred revenue.
- Phase 3 study of COVID-19 vaccine candidate (mRNA-1273) fully enrolled with 30,000 participants.
- Positive interim data from Phase 2 study of CMV vaccine candidate (mRNA-1647) announced; pivotal Phase 3 trial expected to begin in 2021.
- Received $1.1 billion of customer deposits for supply of mRNA-1273 in Q3 2020, recorded as deferred revenue.
- Moderna team continued to execute on plan in the third quarter.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Moderna · Revenue · Quarterly
$158M
Revenue by segment
Moderna · $1.93B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023
- Net Product Sales$1.76B—91.0%
- Other Revenue$174M—9.0%
Forward guidance
Moderna updated its 2020 outlook, expecting positive net cash provided by operating activities and used for purchases of property and equipment to be between $0.1 billion and $0.3 billion, driven by customer deposits of approximately $1.2 billion received year-to-date as of September 30, 2020.
Tailwinds
- Anticipated clinical next steps and catalysts for each of our development programs
- The potential for mRNA-1273 to generate binding and neutralizing antibodies, as well as the safety and tolerability of mRNA-1273
- Expected timing for the Phase 3 pivotal trial of mRNA-1647
- Plans to create a combination vaccine
- Potential for collaborations with strategic partners to produce new therapies
Headwinds
- Preclinical and clinical development is lengthy and uncertain
- No commercial product using mRNA technology has been approved and may never be approved
- mRNA drug development has substantial clinical development and regulatory risks
- Potential adverse impacts due to the global COVID-19 pandemic
- The safety and efficacy of mRNA-1273 has not yet been established
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020
+0.8%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.4%
Avg return
5 days after
+8.2%
Avg return
30 days after
59%
17 / 29 earnings
Positive
+21.0%
Q1 2020
Best reaction
-31.5%
Q3 2021
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +0.0% | +6.2% | +2.7% | |
| Q4 2025 | +5.3% | +16.2% | +31.0% | |
| Q3 2025 | +2.6% | +12.1% | +17.6% | |
| Q1 2025 | -5.3% | -14.4% | -6.9% | |
| Q4 2024 | +3.4% | +12.5% | +8.5% | |
| Q3 2024 | -9.6% | -16.1% | -14.2% | |
| Q2 2024 | -27.4% | -31.0% | -35.1% | |
| Q1 2024 | +12.1% | +8.6% | +27.9% | |
| Q4 2023 | +10.1% | +9.8% | +20.4% | |
| Q3 2023 | +1.7% | -3.3% | +4.8% | |
| Q2 2023 | -1.8% | -9.5% | +2.1% | |
| Q1 2023 | +5.3% | +2.8% | +0.3% | |
| Q4 2022 | -12.0% | -12.2% | -4.6% | |
| Q3 2022 | +6.6% | +10.8% | +22.7% | |
| Q2 2022 | +20.8% | +13.8% | -13.8% | |
| Q1 2022 | -3.1% | -7.3% | -6.4% | |
| Q4 2021 | +11.5% | +10.2% | +22.2% | |
| Q3 2021 | -31.5% | -31.5% | -11.3% | |
| Q2 2021 | -1.3% | +9.0% | -0.6% | |
| Q1 2021 | +0.2% | -2.4% | +26.5% | |
| Q4 2020 | +6.9% | +1.4% | -7.9% | |
| Q3 2020 | +2.6% | +5.1% | +93.2% | |
| Q2 2020 | -6.0% | -8.2% | -20.2% | |
| Q1 2020 | +21.0% | +27.4% | +18.9% | |
| Q4 2019 | +10.1% | +25.8% | +26.5% | |
| Q3 2019 | +3.6% | +3.0% | +12.1% | |
| Q2 2019 | +7.3% | +5.9% | +29.2% | |
| Q1 2019 | -5.3% | -0.5% | -28.6% | |
| Q4 2018 | -3.6% | -4.4% | +21.5% | |
| Q3 2018 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2018 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2018 | — | — | — | |
| Q4 2017 | — | — | — | |
| Q3 2017 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2017 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2017 | — | — | — |
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