NASDAQ$MRNA

Moderna Inc · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Moderna reported a net loss of $1.3 billion and total revenue of $241 million.

Moderna reported second quarter revenues of $241 million, a GAAP net loss of $1.3 billion, and a GAAP EPS of $(3.33). The company updated its 2024 financial framework and revised expectations for product sales to $3.0 to $3.5 billion. Moderna received U.S. FDA approval for its RSV vaccine, mRESVIA, and began shipping in July. Positive Phase 3 data was announced for both a combination vaccine against influenza and COVID-19 and a next-generation COVID-19 vaccine.

  • Second quarter revenues were reported at $241 million.
  • GAAP net loss for the quarter was $1.3 billion, with a GAAP EPS of $(3.33).
  • The 2024 financial framework was updated, with product sales expectations revised to $3.0 to $3.5 billion.
  • U.S. FDA approval was received for the RSV vaccine, mRESVIA, with shipments beginning in July.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$241M

Previous: $344M-29.9%
EPS

-$3.33

Previous: -$3.62+8.0%
R&D Expense

$1.23B

Previous: $1.15B+7.0%
SG&A Expense

$267M

Previous: $332M-19.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$378M

Previous: -$347M-8.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.66B

Previous: -$1.73B+4.1%
Net Income

-$1.28B

Previous: -$1.38B+7.3%
Operating Income

-$1.36B

Previous: -$1.87B+27.0%
Gross Profit

$126M

Previous: -$387M+132.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$112M

Previous: $74M+51.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Moderna · Revenue · Quarterly

$241M

Q2 2024-29.9%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Moderna · $1.93B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Net Product Sales
    $1.76B
  • Other Revenue
    $174M

Forward guidance

Moderna revises its 2024 expected net product sales to $3.0 to $3.5 billion from its respiratory franchise. Cost of sales is expected to be in the range of 40-50% of product sales for the year. Full-year 2024 research and development expenses are anticipated to be approximately $4.5 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Sales split of 40-50% in Q3 with the balance in Q4 2024, subject to the timing of regulatory approvals.
  • mRNA-1345, ACIP issued a recommendation for all unvaccinated people 75 years of age and older and unvaccinated people ages 60-74 who are at increased risk for RSV.
  • EMA adopted a positive opinion recommending marketing authorization in the EU for mRESVIA.
  • Moderna’s seasonal flu vaccine (mRNA-1010) demonstrated consistently acceptable safety and tolerability across three Phase 3 trials.
  • The Company is engaging with regulators and intends to file in 2024.

Headwinds

  • Update in product sales is driven by three primary factors: very low EU sales in 2024.
  • Potential revenue deferrals for certain international sales into 2025.
  • An increasingly competitive environment for respiratory vaccines in the U.S.
  • Cost of sales is expected to be in the range of 40-50% of product sales for the year.
  • Full-year 2024 research and development expenses are anticipated to be approximately $4.5 billion.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.2%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

17 / 29 earnings

Positive

+21.0%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-31.5%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%+6.2%+2.7%
Q4 2025+5.3%+16.2%+31.0%
Q3 2025+2.6%+12.1%+17.6%
Q1 2025-5.3%-14.4%-6.9%
Q4 2024+3.4%+12.5%+8.5%
Q3 2024-9.6%-16.1%-14.2%
Q2 2024-27.4%-31.0%-35.1%
Q1 2024+12.1%+8.6%+27.9%
Q4 2023+10.1%+9.8%+20.4%
Q3 2023+1.7%-3.3%+4.8%
Q2 2023-1.8%-9.5%+2.1%
Q1 2023+5.3%+2.8%+0.3%
Q4 2022-12.0%-12.2%-4.6%
Q3 2022+6.6%+10.8%+22.7%
Q2 2022+20.8%+13.8%-13.8%
Q1 2022-3.1%-7.3%-6.4%
Q4 2021+11.5%+10.2%+22.2%
Q3 2021-31.5%-31.5%-11.3%
Q2 2021-1.3%+9.0%-0.6%
Q1 2021+0.2%-2.4%+26.5%
Q4 2020+6.9%+1.4%-7.9%
Q3 2020+2.6%+5.1%+93.2%
Q2 2020-6.0%-8.2%-20.2%
Q1 2020+21.0%+27.4%+18.9%
Q4 2019+10.1%+25.8%+26.5%
Q3 2019+3.6%+3.0%+12.1%
Q2 2019+7.3%+5.9%+29.2%
Q1 2019-5.3%-0.5%-28.6%
Q4 2018-3.6%-4.4%+21.5%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
Q1 2017

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro