NASDAQ$MRNA

Moderna Inc · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Moderna reported strong Q2 2021 financial results, driven by commercial sales of its COVID-19 vaccine and advancements in its development pipeline.

Moderna reported Q2 2021 total revenue of $4.4 billion, a significant increase from $67 million in the same period of 2020. Net income for the quarter was $2.8 billion, compared to a net loss of $117 million in Q2 2020. The company's COVID-19 vaccine demonstrated durable efficacy of 93% through six months, and booster candidates showed robust antibody responses to variants of concern.

  • Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine showed 93% efficacy through six months.
  • Booster candidates demonstrated robust antibody responses to COVID-19 variants of concern.
  • Dosing started in Phase 1 studies for quadrivalent seasonal flu vaccine candidate and IL-2 mRNA program for autoimmune disorders.
  • Moderna has mRNA candidates in clinical development across five therapeutic areas.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.35B

Previous: $66.4M+6462.1%
EPS (adj)

$6.46

Previous: -$0.31+2183.9%
R&D Expense

$421M

No prior period
SG&A Expense

$121M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$65M

Previous: -$24.9M-161.5%
Free Cash Flow

$2.72B

Previous: -$142M+2017.8%
Net Income

$2.78B

Previous: -$117M+2481.9%
Operating Income

$3.06B

Previous: -$122M+2607.2%
Gross Profit

$3.6B

Previous: $66.4M+5331.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.6B

Previous: $1.76B+218.0%
Total Assets

$16.2B

Previous: $3.49B+363.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$35M

Previous: $24.3M+43.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Moderna · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.35B

Q2 2021+6,462.1%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Moderna · $1.93B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Net Product Sales
    $1.76B
  • Other Revenue
    $174M

Forward guidance

Moderna anticipates $20 billion in product sales for FY 2021 and has signed APAs for approximately $12 billion in product sales for FY 2022, with options for an additional $8 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Advance Purchase Agreements (APAs) signed for anticipated product sales of $20 billion in FY 2021.
  • Dose capacity for COVID-19 vaccine in FY 2021 expected to be between 800 million and 1 billion doses.
  • APAs already signed for product sales of approximately $12 billion in FY 2022, with options of approximately $8 billion.
  • Dose capacity for COVID-19 vaccine in FY 2022 expected to be between 2 billion to 3 billion doses, subject to dose level.
  • Company expects the effective tax rate for 2021 to be approximately 10%.

Headwinds

  • Continue to expect quarter over quarter cost increases in R&D and SG&A expenses during 2021.
  • Cost of sales as percentage of product sales are expected to be between 18-20% for fiscal year 2021.
  • The forward-looking statements in this press release are neither promises nor guarantees, and you should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors
  • The anticipated doses to be delivered under advance purchase agreement in 2021 and 2022 and the associated dollar amounts to be received, which should not be construed as expected 2021 or 2022 revenue
  • Capital Expenditures: Continue to expect $450-550 million of capital investments for 2021 including the planned capacity expansion announced in April 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.2%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

17 / 29 earnings

Positive

+21.0%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-31.5%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%+6.2%+2.7%
Q4 2025+5.3%+16.2%+31.0%
Q3 2025+2.6%+12.1%+17.6%
Q1 2025-5.3%-14.4%-6.9%
Q4 2024+3.4%+12.5%+8.5%
Q3 2024-9.6%-16.1%-14.2%
Q2 2024-27.4%-31.0%-35.1%
Q1 2024+12.1%+8.6%+27.9%
Q4 2023+10.1%+9.8%+20.4%
Q3 2023+1.7%-3.3%+4.8%
Q2 2023-1.8%-9.5%+2.1%
Q1 2023+5.3%+2.8%+0.3%
Q4 2022-12.0%-12.2%-4.6%
Q3 2022+6.6%+10.8%+22.7%
Q2 2022+20.8%+13.8%-13.8%
Q1 2022-3.1%-7.3%-6.4%
Q4 2021+11.5%+10.2%+22.2%
Q3 2021-31.5%-31.5%-11.3%
Q2 2021-1.3%+9.0%-0.6%
Q1 2021+0.2%-2.4%+26.5%
Q4 2020+6.9%+1.4%-7.9%
Q3 2020+2.6%+5.1%+93.2%
Q2 2020-6.0%-8.2%-20.2%
Q1 2020+21.0%+27.4%+18.9%
Q4 2019+10.1%+25.8%+26.5%
Q3 2019+3.6%+3.0%+12.1%
Q2 2019+7.3%+5.9%+29.2%
Q1 2019-5.3%-0.5%-28.6%
Q4 2018-3.6%-4.4%+21.5%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
Q1 2017

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