NASDAQ$GERN

Geron Corp · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024 and recent business highlights.

Geron Corporation reported Q4 2024 financial results, achieving $47.5 million in RYTELO net product revenue and ending the year with a strong cash position. The company expects to reach profitability without additional financing if current sales and operating expense expectations are met. Continued progress in development efforts for relapsed/refractory myelofibrosis could potentially double commercial opportunity.

  • Achieved $47.5 million in RYTELO net product revenue in Q4 2024.
  • Received positive opinion from the European Medicines Agency's Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) recommending approval of RYTELO.
  • Achieved approximately 80% enrollment in the Phase 3 IMpactMF trial.
  • Presented new data at the 66th American Society for Hematology (ASH) Annual Meeting.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$47.5M

Previous: $23K+206587.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.04

Previous: -$0.09+55.6%
R&D Expenses

$23.4M

No prior period
SG&A Expenses

$43.4M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$141K

Previous: $64K+120.3%
Net Income

-$25.4M

Previous: -$52M+51.2%
Operating Income

-$20M

Previous: -$54.3M+63.1%
Gross Profit

$46.8M

Previous: -$218K+21547.2%
R&D Expense

$23.4M

Previous: $32.9M-28.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Geron · Revenue · Quarterly

$47.5M

Q4 2024+206,587%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 14 quarters(43%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Geron · $164K total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Royalties
    $164K

Forward guidance

For fiscal year 2025, Geron expects total operating expenses to be in the range of approximately $270 million to $285 million and expects to reach profitability without additional financing if current internal sales and operating expense expectations are met.

Tailwinds

  • Expects to reach profitability without additional financing if current internal sales and operating expense expectations are met.
  • Existing cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, together with anticipated net revenues from U.S. sales of RYTELO, will be sufficient to fund projected operating requirements for the foreseeable future.
  • Continued execution on U.S. commercial launch of RYTELO.
  • Received positive opinion from the European Medicines Agency's Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) recommending approval of RYTELO.
  • Phase 3 IMpactMF trial evaluating imetelstat in patients with relapsed/refractory myelofibrosis (R/R MF) is ongoing.

Headwinds

  • Total operating expenses for fiscal year 2025 are expected to be in the range of approximately $270 million to $285 million.
  • The interim analysis for overall survival in the Phase 3 IMpactMF trial may occur in the second half of 2026.
  • The final analysis for overall survival in the Phase 3 IMpactMF trial may occur in the second half of 2028.
  • Potential delays and other adverse impacts caused by enrollment, clinical, safety, efficacy, technical, scientific, intellectual property, manufacturing and regulatory challenges.
  • Risks related to commercializing RYTELO (imetelstat) for the treatment of certain patients with lower-risk MDS with transfusion dependent anemia.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

27 / 64 earnings

Positive

+35.3%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-32.1%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.2%-15.8%-29.1%
Q4 2025-11.3%-20.5%-28.2%
Q3 2025-4.5%+0.9%+13.9%
Q1 2025-0.8%-3.0%+21.2%
Q4 2024-32.1%-27.8%-30.4%
Q3 2024-0.5%-7.0%-8.0%
Q2 2024+3.1%+0.2%-6.8%
Q1 2024-3.7%-5.1%-13.0%
Q4 2023-3.4%+0.5%+59.4%
Q3 2023+2.6%-1.0%+3.1%
Q2 2023-7.5%-7.5%-22.5%
Q1 2023+9.9%+6.0%+27.7%
Q4 2022-3.4%-10.7%-24.8%
Q3 2022-2.3%+0.9%+7.0%
Q2 2022+8.3%+2.3%+22.1%
Q1 2022+13.8%+11.5%+8.5%
Q4 2021+0.9%-3.7%+46.3%
Q3 2021-9.3%-8.7%-21.5%
Q2 2021+4.9%+4.1%+11.5%
Q1 2021+4.5%+7.5%+12.8%
Q4 2020-6.0%-3.3%-19.1%
Q3 2020-4.8%-0.5%-2.7%
Q2 2020-2.3%-7.0%+6.4%
Q1 2020-1.8%+0.0%+17.7%
Q4 2019-6.8%-7.8%+7.8%
Q3 2019+0.7%+0.0%+2.0%
Q2 2019-3.3%-0.8%+16.7%
Q1 2019-0.6%-3.3%-19.9%
Q4 2018+0.7%+7.7%+27.3%
Q3 2018+9.2%+7.8%+5.2%
Q2 2018+4.5%+4.8%+63.6%
Q1 2018-9.9%-10.9%-2.1%
Q4 2017+24.7%+43.4%+10.6%
Q3 2017-8.9%-8.4%-14.2%
Q2 2017-7.1%-8.4%-5.8%
Q1 2017+0.8%+11.7%+4.7%
Q4 2016+2.3%-0.9%+5.6%
Q3 2016+2.7%+2.2%+8.6%
Q2 2016-0.4%+0.0%+1.1%
Q1 2016-2.2%
Q4 2015-4.2%
Q3 2015+3.4%
Q2 2015-7.8%
Q1 2015+3.1%
Q4 2014-7.0%
Q3 2014+20.2%
Q2 2014-5.3%
Q1 2014-6.4%
Q4 2013+35.3%
Q3 2013+28.2%
Q2 2013+14.6%
Q1 2013-1.8%
Q4 2012-5.1%
Q3 2012-1.5%
Q2 2012+3.8%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-15.6%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+1.7%
Q3 2010-4.5%
Q2 2010+26.4%
Q1 2010+3.2%

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