NASDAQ$GERN

Geron Corp · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Geron reported fourth quarter and full year 2021 financial results, highlighting progress in imetelstat development and upcoming milestones.

Geron Corporation reported a net loss of $32.0 million for the fourth quarter of 2021, compared to a net loss of $23.8 million for the same period in 2020. The company ended the year with $212.7 million in cash and marketable securities, expected to fund operations through Q1 2023. Key milestones include anticipated top-line results from the IMerge Phase 3 trial in early January 2023 and a planned interim analysis from the IMpactMF trial in 2024.

  • Net loss for Q4 2021 was $32.0 million, or $0.10 per share, compared to $23.8 million, or $0.07 per share, for Q4 2020.
  • Revenues for Q4 2021 were $1.0 million compared to $50,000 for the same period in 2020.
  • The company ended 2021 with $212.7 million in cash and marketable securities.
  • Top-line results from IMerge Phase 3 trial in lower risk MDS are expected in early January 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.04M

Previous: $50K+1980.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.10

Previous: -$0.07-42.9%
Capital Expenditures

$103K

Previous: $11K+836.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$22.3M

Previous: -$12.6M-76.4%
Net Income

-$32M

Previous: -$23.8M-34.5%
Operating Income

-$32M

Previous: -$23.3M-37.3%
Gross Profit

$814K

Previous: -$14.7M+105.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$35.2M

Previous: $10.3M+242.5%
Total Assets

$226M

Previous: $271M-16.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.31M

Previous: $1.85M+24.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Geron · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.04M

Q4 2021+1,980%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Geron · $164K total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Royalties
    $164K

Forward guidance

Geron expects total operating expenses for fiscal year 2022 to be in the range of $155 million to $165 million (GAAP) and $140 million to $150 million (non-GAAP).

Tailwinds

  • Preparatory activities for top-line results in lower risk MDS.
  • NDA and commercial readiness activities.
  • Two ongoing Phase 3 clinical trials and new clinical studies expanding the pipeline.
  • Finalizing validation batches of imetelstat at contract manufacturers.
  • Projected increases in headcount.

Headwinds

  • Potential delays and adverse impacts caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and/or the Russia/Ukraine conflict.
  • Enrollment, clinical, safety, efficacy, technical, scientific, intellectual property, manufacturing and regulatory challenges.
  • Whether regulatory authorities permit the further development of imetelstat on a timely basis, or at all, without any clinical holds.
  • Whether imetelstat is demonstrated to be safe and efficacious in IMerge Phase 3 and IMpactMF to enable regulatory approval.
  • Whether any future efficacy or safety results may cause the benefit-risk profile of imetelstat to become unacceptable.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

27 / 64 earnings

Positive

+35.3%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-32.1%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.2%-15.8%-29.1%
Q4 2025-11.3%-20.5%-28.2%
Q3 2025-4.5%+0.9%+13.9%
Q1 2025-0.8%-3.0%+21.2%
Q4 2024-32.1%-27.8%-30.4%
Q3 2024-0.5%-7.0%-8.0%
Q2 2024+3.1%+0.2%-6.8%
Q1 2024-3.7%-5.1%-13.0%
Q4 2023-3.4%+0.5%+59.4%
Q3 2023+2.6%-1.0%+3.1%
Q2 2023-7.5%-7.5%-22.5%
Q1 2023+9.9%+6.0%+27.7%
Q4 2022-3.4%-10.7%-24.8%
Q3 2022-2.3%+0.9%+7.0%
Q2 2022+8.3%+2.3%+22.1%
Q1 2022+13.8%+11.5%+8.5%
Q4 2021+0.9%-3.7%+46.3%
Q3 2021-9.3%-8.7%-21.5%
Q2 2021+4.9%+4.1%+11.5%
Q1 2021+4.5%+7.5%+12.8%
Q4 2020-6.0%-3.3%-19.1%
Q3 2020-4.8%-0.5%-2.7%
Q2 2020-2.3%-7.0%+6.4%
Q1 2020-1.8%+0.0%+17.7%
Q4 2019-6.8%-7.8%+7.8%
Q3 2019+0.7%+0.0%+2.0%
Q2 2019-3.3%-0.8%+16.7%
Q1 2019-0.6%-3.3%-19.9%
Q4 2018+0.7%+7.7%+27.3%
Q3 2018+9.2%+7.8%+5.2%
Q2 2018+4.5%+4.8%+63.6%
Q1 2018-9.9%-10.9%-2.1%
Q4 2017+24.7%+43.4%+10.6%
Q3 2017-8.9%-8.4%-14.2%
Q2 2017-7.1%-8.4%-5.8%
Q1 2017+0.8%+11.7%+4.7%
Q4 2016+2.3%-0.9%+5.6%
Q3 2016+2.7%+2.2%+8.6%
Q2 2016-0.4%+0.0%+1.1%
Q1 2016-2.2%
Q4 2015-4.2%
Q3 2015+3.4%
Q2 2015-7.8%
Q1 2015+3.1%
Q4 2014-7.0%
Q3 2014+20.2%
Q2 2014-5.3%
Q1 2014-6.4%
Q4 2013+35.3%
Q3 2013+28.2%
Q2 2013+14.6%
Q1 2013-1.8%
Q4 2012-5.1%
Q3 2012-1.5%
Q2 2012+3.8%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-15.6%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+1.7%
Q3 2010-4.5%
Q2 2010+26.4%
Q1 2010+3.2%

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