NASDAQ$GERN

Geron Corp · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported third quarter results and upcoming expected milestones.

Geron Corporation reported a net loss of $41.1 million, or $0.10 per share, for the third quarter of 2022. As of September 30, 2022, the Company had approximately $195 million in cash and marketable securities, which is expected to support operations through the middle of 2024.

  • Top-line results from IMerge Phase 3 trial in lower risk MDS continue to be expected in early January 2023.
  • Current and projected financial resources are expected to support planned milestones and operations through middle of 2024.
  • The company reported a net loss of $41.1 million, or $0.10 per share, compared to $26.7 million, or $0.08 per share, for the comparable 2021 period.
  • Revenues for the three months ended September 30, 2022, were $297,000, compared to $109,000 for the comparable 2021 period.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$297K

Previous: $109K+172.5%
EPS (adj)

-$0.10

Previous: -$0.08-25.0%
R&D Expenses

$24.6M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$291K

Previous: -$104K-179.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$41.3M

Previous: -$26.8M-54.3%
Net Income

-$41.1M

Previous: -$26.7M-53.8%
Operating Income

-$39.9M

Previous: -$25.7M-55.6%
Gross Profit

-$24.3M

Previous: $1.23M-2071.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$61.1M

Previous: $29M+110.4%
Total Assets

$233M

Previous: $229M+1.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.06M

Previous: $2.01M+2.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Geron · Revenue · Quarterly

$297K

Q3 2022+172.5%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 6 of 14 quarters(43%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Geron · $164K total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Royalties
    $164K

Forward guidance

The Company continues to expect total operating expenses in the range of approximately $155 million to $165 million and non-GAAP total operating expenses in the range of approximately $140 million to $150 million for fiscal year 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Preparatory activities for top-line results from the IMerge Phase 3 clinical trial.
  • Readiness for potential regulatory filings and commercialization of imetelstat in lower risk MDS.
  • Continued conduct of IMerge and IMpactMF and commencement of new clinical studies associated with the imetelstat pipeline expansion strategy.
  • Finalizing validation batches of imetelstat at contract manufacturers to enable future production of imetelstat for clinical and commercial purposes.
  • Projected increases in headcount and interest payments on outstanding debt.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

27 / 64 earnings

Positive

+35.3%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-32.1%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.2%-15.8%-29.1%
Q4 2025-11.3%-20.5%-28.2%
Q3 2025-4.5%+0.9%+13.9%
Q1 2025-0.8%-3.0%+21.2%
Q4 2024-32.1%-27.8%-30.4%
Q3 2024-0.5%-7.0%-8.0%
Q2 2024+3.1%+0.2%-6.8%
Q1 2024-3.7%-5.1%-13.0%
Q4 2023-3.4%+0.5%+59.4%
Q3 2023+2.6%-1.0%+3.1%
Q2 2023-7.5%-7.5%-22.5%
Q1 2023+9.9%+6.0%+27.7%
Q4 2022-3.4%-10.7%-24.8%
Q3 2022-2.3%+0.9%+7.0%
Q2 2022+8.3%+2.3%+22.1%
Q1 2022+13.8%+11.5%+8.5%
Q4 2021+0.9%-3.7%+46.3%
Q3 2021-9.3%-8.7%-21.5%
Q2 2021+4.9%+4.1%+11.5%
Q1 2021+4.5%+7.5%+12.8%
Q4 2020-6.0%-3.3%-19.1%
Q3 2020-4.8%-0.5%-2.7%
Q2 2020-2.3%-7.0%+6.4%
Q1 2020-1.8%+0.0%+17.7%
Q4 2019-6.8%-7.8%+7.8%
Q3 2019+0.7%+0.0%+2.0%
Q2 2019-3.3%-0.8%+16.7%
Q1 2019-0.6%-3.3%-19.9%
Q4 2018+0.7%+7.7%+27.3%
Q3 2018+9.2%+7.8%+5.2%
Q2 2018+4.5%+4.8%+63.6%
Q1 2018-9.9%-10.9%-2.1%
Q4 2017+24.7%+43.4%+10.6%
Q3 2017-8.9%-8.4%-14.2%
Q2 2017-7.1%-8.4%-5.8%
Q1 2017+0.8%+11.7%+4.7%
Q4 2016+2.3%-0.9%+5.6%
Q3 2016+2.7%+2.2%+8.6%
Q2 2016-0.4%+0.0%+1.1%
Q1 2016-2.2%
Q4 2015-4.2%
Q3 2015+3.4%
Q2 2015-7.8%
Q1 2015+3.1%
Q4 2014-7.0%
Q3 2014+20.2%
Q2 2014-5.3%
Q1 2014-6.4%
Q4 2013+35.3%
Q3 2013+28.2%
Q2 2013+14.6%
Q1 2013-1.8%
Q4 2012-5.1%
Q3 2012-1.5%
Q2 2012+3.8%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-15.6%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+1.7%
Q3 2010-4.5%
Q2 2010+26.4%
Q1 2010+3.2%

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