NASDAQ$GERN

Geron Corp · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2020.

Geron Corporation reported a net loss of $15.8 million, or $0.06 per share, for the second quarter of 2020. The company is focusing on the development of Imetelstat and expects to fund its development plans into the second half of 2022.

  • Advanced with a Phase 3 clinical trial in refractory MF after a successful meeting with the FDA.
  • Reported clinically meaningful transfusion independence with longer durability from IMerge Phase 2 trial in lower risk MDS.
  • Raised additional capital expected to sufficiently fund development plans into the second half of 2022.
  • European Commission granted orphan drug designation to Imetelstat for MDS.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$43K

Previous: $101K-57.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.06

Previous: -$0.08+25.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$386K

Previous: -$67K-476.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$16.2M

Previous: -$14.3M-13.3%
Net Income

-$15.8M

Previous: -$14.2M-11.1%
Operating Income

-$16.8M

Previous: -$15.2M-10.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$23.2M

No prior period
Total Assets

$275M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Geron · Revenue · Quarterly

$43K

Q2 2020-57.4%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Geron · $164K total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Royalties
    $164K

Forward guidance

Geron expects to complete patient enrollment in the first quarter of 2021 and have top-line results in the second half of 2022 for IMerge. The company expects to begin patient screening and enrollment in the first quarter of 2021, complete patient enrollment in the second half of 2022, conduct an interim analysis in the first half of 2023 and conduct a final analysis in the first half of 2024 for the planned Phase 3 clinical trial in refractory MF. Geron’s 2020 operating expense range will be $70-75 million.

Tailwinds

  • Patient enrollment for IMerge is expected to be completed by the end of the first quarter of 2021.
  • Top-line results for IMerge are expected in the second half of 2022.
  • Patient screening and enrollment for the Phase 3 clinical trial in refractory MF is expected to begin in the first quarter of 2021.
  • Funds are expected to be sufficient for operations into the second half of 2022.
  • Imetelstat may have disease-modifying activity.

Headwinds

  • Potential delays or interruptions associated with COVID-19 could impact trial timelines.
  • The evolving effects of the COVID-19 pandemic could materially and adversely impact Geron’s business and business prospects.
  • There are risks and uncertainties related to the development and commercialization of Imetelstat.
  • Geron needs to raise substantial capital in order to complete the development and commercialization of Imetelstat.
  • There could be failures or delays in manufacturing sufficient quantities of Imetelstat.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

27 / 64 earnings

Positive

+35.3%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-32.1%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.2%-15.8%-29.1%
Q4 2025-11.3%-20.5%-28.2%
Q3 2025-4.5%+0.9%+13.9%
Q1 2025-0.8%-3.0%+21.2%
Q4 2024-32.1%-27.8%-30.4%
Q3 2024-0.5%-7.0%-8.0%
Q2 2024+3.1%+0.2%-6.8%
Q1 2024-3.7%-5.1%-13.0%
Q4 2023-3.4%+0.5%+59.4%
Q3 2023+2.6%-1.0%+3.1%
Q2 2023-7.5%-7.5%-22.5%
Q1 2023+9.9%+6.0%+27.7%
Q4 2022-3.4%-10.7%-24.8%
Q3 2022-2.3%+0.9%+7.0%
Q2 2022+8.3%+2.3%+22.1%
Q1 2022+13.8%+11.5%+8.5%
Q4 2021+0.9%-3.7%+46.3%
Q3 2021-9.3%-8.7%-21.5%
Q2 2021+4.9%+4.1%+11.5%
Q1 2021+4.5%+7.5%+12.8%
Q4 2020-6.0%-3.3%-19.1%
Q3 2020-4.8%-0.5%-2.7%
Q2 2020-2.3%-7.0%+6.4%
Q1 2020-1.8%+0.0%+17.7%
Q4 2019-6.8%-7.8%+7.8%
Q3 2019+0.7%+0.0%+2.0%
Q2 2019-3.3%-0.8%+16.7%
Q1 2019-0.6%-3.3%-19.9%
Q4 2018+0.7%+7.7%+27.3%
Q3 2018+9.2%+7.8%+5.2%
Q2 2018+4.5%+4.8%+63.6%
Q1 2018-9.9%-10.9%-2.1%
Q4 2017+24.7%+43.4%+10.6%
Q3 2017-8.9%-8.4%-14.2%
Q2 2017-7.1%-8.4%-5.8%
Q1 2017+0.8%+11.7%+4.7%
Q4 2016+2.3%-0.9%+5.6%
Q3 2016+2.7%+2.2%+8.6%
Q2 2016-0.4%+0.0%+1.1%
Q1 2016-2.2%
Q4 2015-4.2%
Q3 2015+3.4%
Q2 2015-7.8%
Q1 2015+3.1%
Q4 2014-7.0%
Q3 2014+20.2%
Q2 2014-5.3%
Q1 2014-6.4%
Q4 2013+35.3%
Q3 2013+28.2%
Q2 2013+14.6%
Q1 2013-1.8%
Q4 2012-5.1%
Q3 2012-1.5%
Q2 2012+3.8%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-15.6%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+1.7%
Q3 2010-4.5%
Q2 2010+26.4%
Q1 2010+3.2%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro