NASDAQ$FTDR

Frontdoor Inc. · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Frontdoor's Q3 2021 earnings were released, showcasing a 7% revenue increase to $471 million and a net income of $76 million.

Frontdoor reported a 7% increase in revenue to $471 million for Q3 2021, driven by growth in renewal and direct-to-consumer channels, offsetting challenges in the real estate channel. The company achieved a gross profit margin of 54% and net income of $76 million, with adjusted EBITDA reaching a record $122 million. A $400 million share repurchase program was launched, with $25 million repurchased in September.

  • Revenue increased by 7% to $471 million, driven by growth in renewal and direct-to-consumer channels.
  • Gross profit margin reached 54%, a 500 basis point increase year-over-year, due to lower service requests and process improvements.
  • Net income increased by 56% to $76 million compared to the prior year period.
  • Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $122 million, a 34% increase over the prior year period.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$471M

Previous: $440M+7.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.91

Previous: $0.59+54.2%
Home Warranties

2.23

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$23M

Previous: -$26M+11.5%
Free Cash Flow

$53M

Previous: $23M+130.4%
Net Income

$76M

Previous: $49M+55.1%
Operating Income

$110M

Previous: $81M+35.8%
Gross Profit

$254M

Previous: $215M+18.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$309M

Previous: $551M-43.9%
Total Assets

$1.16B

Previous: $1.41B-17.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$6M

Previous: $5M+20.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Frontdoor · Revenue · Quarterly

$471M

Q3 2021+7%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Frontdoor · $339M total across 2 segments · Q3 2021

  • Renewals
    $328M+8.3%
  • Non-warranty and other
    $11M+175.0%

Forward guidance

Frontdoor provided an updated full-year 2021 outlook, including a revenue range of $1.59 billion to $1.60 billion and an adjusted EBITDA range of $310 million to $315 million. For the fourth quarter of 2021, the company expects a revenue range of $330 million to $340 million and an adjusted EBITDA range of $40 million to $45 million.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue range updated to $1.59 billion to $1.60 billion for full year 2021
  • Gross margin updated to approximately 50 percent for full year 2021
  • Adjusted EBITDA range updated to $310 million to $315 million for full year 2021
  • Fourth-quarter 2021 revenue expected to be in the range of $330 million to $340 million
  • Fourth-quarter 2021 Adjusted EBITDA expected to be in the range of $40 million to $45 million

Headwinds

  • Challenging market conditions in the real estate channel are expected to continue.
  • Parts availability challenges resulted in higher replacement rates.
  • Unfavorable cost trends across all trades due to industry-wide parts and equipment availability challenges.
  • Higher inflation impacting costs.
  • Customer retention declined from 75 percent in the second quarter of 2021 to 74 percent.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

20 / 34 earnings

Positive

+25.0%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-34.2%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+13.3%+8.8%+2.3%
Q4 2025+16.9%+22.8%-4.7%
Q3 2025-15.8%-24.1%-19.3%
Q2 2025-4.0%-6.2%+8.2%
Q1 2025+25.0%+30.0%+33.8%
Q4 2024-19.2%-26.4%-33.5%
Q3 2024+10.7%+17.9%+19.9%
Q1 2024+12.6%+16.8%+15.0%
Q4 2023-5.1%-6.8%-1.4%
Q3 2023+13.4%+21.2%+19.5%
Q2 2023+5.6%+4.6%-4.8%
Q1 2023+11.7%+15.1%+19.5%
Q4 2022+4.3%+1.6%-1.3%
Q3 2022+12.9%+12.2%+12.8%
Q2 2022-0.9%-5.4%-12.5%
Q1 2022-12.9%-14.3%-21.4%
Q4 2021-6.6%-8.1%-11.9%
Q3 2021-11.8%-6.7%-16.5%
Q2 2021-13.8%-14.7%-14.2%
Q1 2021+2.0%+1.6%+1.0%
Q4 2020-1.3%-3.9%-0.2%
Q3 2020+4.0%+9.0%+9.1%
Q2 2020+7.0%+3.8%+0.1%
Q1 2020+5.5%+6.2%+12.5%
Q4 2019-2.1%+0.9%-20.1%
Q3 2019-5.3%-4.7%-3.9%
Q2 2019+16.5%+14.9%+17.5%
Q1 2018+0.2%-0.7%+4.0%
Q1 2019+11.9%+12.0%+17.6%
Q4 2016+12.7%+13.0%+8.9%
Q2 2018+12.7%+13.0%+8.9%
Q4 2018+13.6%+25.2%+22.2%
Q4 2017-34.2%-36.6%-35.4%
Q3 2018-29.0%-36.4%-36.0%

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