NASDAQ$FTDR

Frontdoor Inc. · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Frontdoor's Q1 2024 performance showed revenue increased by 3% to $378 million, gross profit margin expanded to 51%, and net income reached $34 million.

Frontdoor reported a 3% increase in revenue to $378 million for Q1 2024. The company's gross profit margin expanded to 51%, and net income increased to $34 million. The company is raising full-year 2024 gross profit margin and Adjusted EBITDA outlook.

  • Revenue increased 3% to $378 million, driven by an 11% increase from price that was partly offset by an 8% decline from lower volume.
  • Gross profit margin expanded 510 basis points to 51% due to higher realized price, a transition to higher service fees, and process improvement initiatives, partly offset by inflationary cost pressures.
  • Net income and diluted earnings per share increased to $34 million and $0.43, respectively.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 33% to $71 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$378M

Previous: $367M+3.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.44

Previous: $0.29+51.7%
Home Warranties

1.96

No prior period
Customer Retention Rate

76.3%

Previous: 75.9%+0.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$10M

Previous: -$8M-25.0%
Free Cash Flow

$24M

Previous: $14M+71.4%
Net Income

$34M

Previous: $22M+54.5%
Operating Income

$45M

Previous: $35M+28.6%
Gross Profit

$195M

Previous: $170M+14.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Frontdoor · Revenue · Quarterly

$378M

Q1 2024+3%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Frontdoor · $430M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Renewals
    $406M+14.0%
  • Non-warranty and other
    $24M+84.6%

Forward guidance

Frontdoor provided the following guidance: Maintaining revenue range of $1.81 billion to $1.84 billion. Increasing gross profit margin range to approximately 50.0%. Increasing Adjusted EBITDA range to $360 million to $370 million.

Tailwinds

  • Maintaining revenue range of $1.81 billion to $1.84 billion
  • Increasing gross profit margin range to approximately 50.0%
  • Increasing Adjusted EBITDA range to $360 million to $370 million
  • Second-Quarter 2024 Outlook revenue of $530 million to $540 million, a 2% increase over the prior-year period.
  • Second-Quarter 2024 Outlook Adjusted EBITDA of $130 million to $140 million, a 12% increase over the prior-year period.

Headwinds

  • Approximately 10% decline in direct-to-consumer channel revenue
  • A 15% to 20% decline in real estate channel revenue
  • The number of home warranties is expected to decline 1% to 3%
  • Ongoing inflationary cost pressures from our contractor network, replacement parts and equipment
  • Net cash used for investing activities was $10 million for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and was primarily comprised of capital expenditures related to technology projects.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

20 / 34 earnings

Positive

+25.0%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-34.2%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+13.3%+8.8%+2.3%
Q4 2025+16.9%+22.8%-4.7%
Q3 2025-15.8%-24.1%-19.3%
Q2 2025-4.0%-6.2%+8.2%
Q1 2025+25.0%+30.0%+33.8%
Q4 2024-19.2%-26.4%-33.5%
Q3 2024+10.7%+17.9%+19.9%
Q1 2024+12.6%+16.8%+15.0%
Q4 2023-5.1%-6.8%-1.4%
Q3 2023+13.4%+21.2%+19.5%
Q2 2023+5.6%+4.6%-4.8%
Q1 2023+11.7%+15.1%+19.5%
Q4 2022+4.3%+1.6%-1.3%
Q3 2022+12.9%+12.2%+12.8%
Q2 2022-0.9%-5.4%-12.5%
Q1 2022-12.9%-14.3%-21.4%
Q4 2021-6.6%-8.1%-11.9%
Q3 2021-11.8%-6.7%-16.5%
Q2 2021-13.8%-14.7%-14.2%
Q1 2021+2.0%+1.6%+1.0%
Q4 2020-1.3%-3.9%-0.2%
Q3 2020+4.0%+9.0%+9.1%
Q2 2020+7.0%+3.8%+0.1%
Q1 2020+5.5%+6.2%+12.5%
Q4 2019-2.1%+0.9%-20.1%
Q3 2019-5.3%-4.7%-3.9%
Q2 2019+16.5%+14.9%+17.5%
Q1 2018+0.2%-0.7%+4.0%
Q1 2019+11.9%+12.0%+17.6%
Q4 2016+12.7%+13.0%+8.9%
Q2 2018+12.7%+13.0%+8.9%
Q4 2018+13.6%+25.2%+22.2%
Q4 2017-34.2%-36.6%-35.4%
Q3 2018-29.0%-36.4%-36.0%

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