NASDAQ$FTDR

Frontdoor Inc. · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Frontdoor's financial performance was impacted by claims cost inflation and a challenging real estate market.

Frontdoor reported a 5% increase in revenue to $487 million in Q2 2022. Net income was $33 million, and Adjusted EBITDA was $77 million. The company's outlook reflects a challenging macroeconomic environment and claims cost inflation.

  • Revenue increased 5% to $487 million, driven by double-digit growth in renewal and direct-to-consumer channels, offset by a 26% decline in real estate channel revenue.
  • Gross profit margin was 43%, reflecting a 23% increase in the cost per service request due to macroeconomic factors and contractor-related inflation.
  • Net income was $33 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $77 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$487M

Previous: $462M+5.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.53

Previous: $0.76-30.3%
Home Warranties

2.2M

Previous: 2.2M-3.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$19M

Previous: -$15M-26.7%
Free Cash Flow

$14M

Previous: $25M-44.0%
Net Income

$33M

Previous: $40M-17.5%
Operating Income

$40M

Previous: $98M-59.2%
Gross Profit

$211M

Previous: $242M-12.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$269M

Previous: $323M-16.7%
Total Assets

$1.08B

Previous: $1.14B-5.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$6M

Previous: $7M-14.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Frontdoor · Revenue · Quarterly

$487M

Q2 2022+5.4%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Frontdoor · $365M total across 2 segments · Q2 2022

  • Renewals
    $347M+9.8%
  • Non-warranty and other
    $18M+38.5%

Forward guidance

Frontdoor updated its full-year 2022 outlook, with revenue expected to be in the range of $1.63 billion to $1.65 billion and gross margin in the range of 41% to 42%.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue of $470 million to $480 million, reflecting an increase in direct-to-consumer and renewal revenue versus the prior year period that is partly offset by a decline in the real estate channel revenue.
  • Upper-single digit revenue growth in the direct-to-consumer and renewal channels
  • SG&A range updated to $525 million to $535 million. This is a $30 million reduction from the original 2022 outlook as a result of meaningful cost reductions across the business.
  • Capital expenditures of $35 million to $45 million, primarily consisting of technology investments.
  • Annual effective tax rate of approximately 23 percent.

Headwinds

  • Gross profit margin range updated to 41 percent to 42 percent, driven primarily by the deteriorating macroeconomic conditions and the acceleration of inflationary cost pressures, that is partly offset by higher pricing and process improvement efforts.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $65 million to $75 million, a decline from the prior year period as a result of the accelerating inflationary cost trends and the impact of lower real estate channel revenue.
  • A nearly 30 percent decline in real estate channel revenue
  • The consolidated revenue growth for the home service plan business is anticipated to be in the low single digits.
  • Revenue growth is mostly driven by higher price and product mix while customer growth is expected to decline approximately five percent.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

+1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

20 / 34 earnings

Positive

+25.0%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-34.2%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+13.3%+8.8%+2.3%
Q4 2025+16.9%+22.8%-4.7%
Q3 2025-15.8%-24.1%-19.3%
Q2 2025-4.0%-6.2%+8.2%
Q1 2025+25.0%+30.0%+33.8%
Q4 2024-19.2%-26.4%-33.5%
Q3 2024+10.7%+17.9%+19.9%
Q1 2024+12.6%+16.8%+15.0%
Q4 2023-5.1%-6.8%-1.4%
Q3 2023+13.4%+21.2%+19.5%
Q2 2023+5.6%+4.6%-4.8%
Q1 2023+11.7%+15.1%+19.5%
Q4 2022+4.3%+1.6%-1.3%
Q3 2022+12.9%+12.2%+12.8%
Q2 2022-0.9%-5.4%-12.5%
Q1 2022-12.9%-14.3%-21.4%
Q4 2021-6.6%-8.1%-11.9%
Q3 2021-11.8%-6.7%-16.5%
Q2 2021-13.8%-14.7%-14.2%
Q1 2021+2.0%+1.6%+1.0%
Q4 2020-1.3%-3.9%-0.2%
Q3 2020+4.0%+9.0%+9.1%
Q2 2020+7.0%+3.8%+0.1%
Q1 2020+5.5%+6.2%+12.5%
Q4 2019-2.1%+0.9%-20.1%
Q3 2019-5.3%-4.7%-3.9%
Q2 2019+16.5%+14.9%+17.5%
Q1 2018+0.2%-0.7%+4.0%
Q1 2019+11.9%+12.0%+17.6%
Q4 2016+12.7%+13.0%+8.9%
Q2 2018+12.7%+13.0%+8.9%
Q4 2018+13.6%+25.2%+22.2%
Q4 2017-34.2%-36.6%-35.4%
Q3 2018-29.0%-36.4%-36.0%

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