NASDAQ$FTDR
Frontdoor Inc. · Q2 2023 earnings
Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Frontdoor's Q2 2023 performance was marked by a 7% increase in revenue, a significant expansion in gross profit margin, and a substantial rise in net income and Adjusted EBITDA.
Frontdoor reported a 7% increase in revenue to $523 million, driven by price increases, which were partially offset by a decline in volume. Gross profit margin improved significantly due to higher prices, favorable weather conditions, and process improvements. Net income more than doubled, and Adjusted EBITDA rose by 57%. The company also raised its full-year outlook for revenue and Adjusted EBITDA.
- Revenue increased by 7% to $523 million, driven by a 9% increase from price, partly offset by a 2% decline in volume.
- Gross profit margin increased by 840 basis points to 52% due to higher realized price, favorable weather trends, moderation of inflation, and process improvement initiatives.
- Net income more than doubled to $70 million.
- Adjusted EBITDA increased by 57% to $121 million.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Frontdoor · Revenue · Quarterly
$523M
Revenue by segment
Frontdoor · $422M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023
- Renewals$398M+14.7%94.3%
- Non-warranty and other$24M+33.3%5.7%
Forward guidance
Frontdoor provided the following guidance: Revenue of $500 million to $515 million, a 5% increase over the prior year period, reflecting approximately 15% growth in the renewals channel, partially offset by an approximately mid-20% decline in the first-year real estate channel and approximately a 15% decline in the first year direct to consumer channel. Adjusted EBITDA of $80 million to $90 million, a 7% increase over the prior year period. Increased revenue outlook to $1.73 billion to $1.75 billion, or approximately 5% higher than the prior year. Increased Adjusted EBITDA outlook to $260 million to $280 million.
Tailwinds
- Renewals channel revenue growth increased to the low double-digit range given stronger than expected year-to-date retention.
- Other revenue of approximately $60 million, driven by growth in on-demand services, primarily HVAC upgrade services sold through Frontdoor Pro that is partly offset by lower Streem revenue
- Increased gross profit margin to 45.5% to 47.5%. The increase from the prior outlook is primarily due to favorability in the first half of the year.
- Capital expenditures remains at approximately $35 to $45 million, primarily consisting of technology investments.
- The company is increasing its full year share repurchase target to approximately $100 million.
Headwinds
- Direct-to-Consumer channel revenue decline remains in the low double-digit range as an improvement in volume has been offset by lower price compared to original expectations.
- Real Estate channel revenue decline increased to the mid-20% range due to lower existing home inventory and a stronger seller’s market than originally expected.
- Number of home service plans is expected to decline in the mid to upper single digits.
- Narrowed SG&A outlook to $575 million to $590 million.
- Annual effective tax rate remains at approximately 26%.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023
+1.5%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.6%
Avg return
5 days after
-0.1%
Avg return
30 days after
59%
20 / 34 earnings
Positive
+25.0%
Q1 2025
Best reaction
-34.2%
Q4 2017
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +13.3% | +8.8% | +2.3% | |
| Q4 2025 | +16.9% | +22.8% | -4.7% | |
| Q3 2025 | -15.8% | -24.1% | -19.3% | |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0% | -6.2% | +8.2% | |
| Q1 2025 | +25.0% | +30.0% | +33.8% | |
| Q4 2024 | -19.2% | -26.4% | -33.5% | |
| Q3 2024 | +10.7% | +17.9% | +19.9% | |
| Q1 2024 | +12.6% | +16.8% | +15.0% | |
| Q4 2023 | -5.1% | -6.8% | -1.4% | |
| Q3 2023 | +13.4% | +21.2% | +19.5% | |
| Q2 2023 | +5.6% | +4.6% | -4.8% | |
| Q1 2023 | +11.7% | +15.1% | +19.5% | |
| Q4 2022 | +4.3% | +1.6% | -1.3% | |
| Q3 2022 | +12.9% | +12.2% | +12.8% | |
| Q2 2022 | -0.9% | -5.4% | -12.5% | |
| Q1 2022 | -12.9% | -14.3% | -21.4% | |
| Q4 2021 | -6.6% | -8.1% | -11.9% | |
| Q3 2021 | -11.8% | -6.7% | -16.5% | |
| Q2 2021 | -13.8% | -14.7% | -14.2% | |
| Q1 2021 | +2.0% | +1.6% | +1.0% | |
| Q4 2020 | -1.3% | -3.9% | -0.2% | |
| Q3 2020 | +4.0% | +9.0% | +9.1% | |
| Q2 2020 | +7.0% | +3.8% | +0.1% | |
| Q1 2020 | +5.5% | +6.2% | +12.5% | |
| Q4 2019 | -2.1% | +0.9% | -20.1% | |
| Q3 2019 | -5.3% | -4.7% | -3.9% | |
| Q2 2019 | +16.5% | +14.9% | +17.5% | |
| Q1 2018 | +0.2% | -0.7% | +4.0% | |
| Q1 2019 | +11.9% | +12.0% | +17.6% | |
| Q4 2016 | +12.7% | +13.0% | +8.9% | |
| Q2 2018 | +12.7% | +13.0% | +8.9% | |
| Q4 2018 | +13.6% | +25.2% | +22.2% | |
| Q4 2017 | -34.2% | -36.6% | -35.4% | |
| Q3 2018 | -29.0% | -36.4% | -36.0% |
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