NASDAQ$FOXF

Fox Factory Holding Corp. · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Fox Factory Holding Corp. reported its financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter ended January 3, 2025, with net sales of $353 million and breakeven earnings per diluted share.

Fox Factory Holding Corp. delivered on its financial commitments for Q4 2024, with net sales of $352.8 million, an increase of 6.1% year-over-year. The company achieved a gross margin of 28.9% and adjusted gross margin of 29.2%. Earnings per diluted share were breakeven, while adjusted earnings per diluted share were $0.31. Working capital improvements led to a $63 million debt paydown.

  • Net sales for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024 were $353 million, up $20 million over the prior year.
  • Gross margin achieved 28.9%, an increase of 120 basis points over the prior year.
  • Adjusted earnings per diluted share was $0.31.
  • Working capital improvements generated $63 million in debt paydown.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$353M

Previous: $332M+6.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.31

Previous: $0.48-35.4%
Gross Margin

28.9%

No prior period
Adjusted Gross Margin

29.2%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$40.4M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

11.5%

No prior period
Adjusted Operating Expense Margin

21.7%

No prior period
Net Income

-$141K

Previous: $4M-103.5%
Operating Income

$11.4M

Previous: $12.3M-7.1%
Gross Profit

$102M

Previous: $86.8M+17.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Fox · Revenue · Quarterly

$353M

Q4 2024+6.1%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 14 quarters(71%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Fox · $331M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Aftermarket Applications Group
    $136M
  • Powered Vehicles Group
    $123M-52.1%
  • Specialty Sports Group
    $72M-52.6%

Forward guidance

For the first quarter of fiscal 2025, Fox Factory Holding Corp. expects net sales between $320 million and $350 million, and adjusted earnings per diluted share between $0.12 and $0.32. For the full fiscal year 2025, net sales are projected to be between $1.385 billion and $1.485 billion, with adjusted earnings per diluted share in the range of $1.60 to $2.60, and a full year adjusted tax rate between 15% and 18%.

Tailwinds

  • Commitment to delivering improvements in both EBITDA margins and free cash flow generation.
  • Focus on operational excellence and network optimization.
  • Strategic initiatives to improve performance are beginning to yield results.
  • Working capital improvements drove debt paydown.
  • Cost reduction initiatives are progressing in line with expectations.

Headwinds

  • End markets remain uneven and challenging to navigate.
  • Expectation that market instability will continue into 2025.
  • Ongoing channel inventory recalibration remains a headwind for bike sales.
  • Lower end consumer demand remains a headwind for bike sales.
  • Lower industry demand in power sports and automotive due to higher interest rates and inventory levels.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

26 / 56 earnings

Positive

+24.2%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-27.0%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.1%-7.5%-4.3%
Q4 2025-8.4%-2.8%-8.2%
Q3 2025+2.6%+4.0%-32.8%
Q1 2025+11.5%+23.3%+24.0%
Q4 2024+8.8%+4.7%-4.8%
Q3 2024-8.2%-7.6%-12.3%
Q2 2024-22.3%-24.9%-24.2%
Q1 2024+12.4%+15.9%+18.3%
Q4 2023-27.0%-22.3%-24.9%
Q3 2023-25.5%-25.8%-21.4%
Q2 2023+2.4%+5.2%+1.2%
Q1 2023-11.7%-13.8%-16.3%
Q4 2022-6.8%-2.3%-2.0%
Q3 2022+11.4%+17.2%+41.4%
Q2 2022+7.8%+6.7%-8.3%
Q1 2022-7.3%-10.1%-4.4%
Q4 2021+5.5%-7.1%-15.5%
Q3 2021+4.0%+6.2%+2.2%
Q2 2021+2.0%+3.2%-2.2%
Q1 2021+6.8%+3.4%+0.2%
Q4 2020-10.3%-9.3%-8.4%
Q3 2020+12.2%+2.1%+18.0%
Q2 2020+14.6%+14.8%-5.2%
Q1 2020+4.2%+11.4%+70.5%
Q3 2019-5.2%-2.1%+2.5%
Q2 2019-6.7%-10.6%-13.0%
Q1 2019-2.9%-1.0%-13.6%
Q4 2018+0.9%+2.6%+10.9%
Q3 2018+22.3%+26.1%+23.3%
Q2 2018+24.2%+25.9%+32.9%
Q1 2018-1.5%-0.3%+13.8%
Q4 2017-6.6%-9.1%-13.2%
Q3 2017-5.5%-5.9%-8.0%
Q2 2017+1.7%+2.0%+4.6%
Q1 2017+6.5%+5.3%+8.1%
Q4 2016+6.9%+6.0%+7.1%
Q3 2016-2.2%+0.5%+22.0%
Q2 2016+7.2%+6.6%+11.8%
Q1 2016-0.4%
Q4 2015+13.6%
Q3 2015+2.6%
Q2 2015+6.9%
Q1 2015+3.5%
Q4 2014-0.7%
Q3 2014-9.4%
Q2 2014-1.6%
Q1 2014-0.1%
Q1 2013-0.1%
Q4 2013-0.4%
Q1 2012-0.4%
Q4 2011-0.4%
Q3 2012-3.1%
Q3 2013-3.1%
Q2 2013-2.0%
Q2 2012-2.0%
Q4 2012-2.0%

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