NASDAQ$EXAS

Exact Sciences Corp · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record revenue and anticipated continued growth in 2023.

Exact Sciences reported a 17% increase in total revenue for Q4 2022, reaching $553 million. Screening revenue was $404 million and Precision Oncology revenue was $143 million. The company anticipates revenue of $2,265-$2,315 million and positive adjusted EBITDA for full year 2023.

  • Total fourth quarter revenue was $553 million, an increase of 17% or 28% excluding COVID-19 testing.
  • Screening revenue was $404 million and Precision Oncology revenue was $143 million.
  • Gross margin including amortization of acquired intangible assets was 70 percent, and non-GAAP gross margin excluding amortization of acquired intangible assets was 73 percent.
  • Net loss was $127.7 million, or $0.72 per share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$553M

Previous: $474M+16.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.72

Previous: -$1.28+43.8%
Gross Margin

70.0%

Previous: 70.0%+0.0%
Adjusted Gross Margin

73.0%

Previous: 75.0%-2.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$4.93M

Previous: -$122M+104.0%
Capital Expenditures

$72.9M

Previous: $59.4M+22.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$20.8M

Previous: -$84M+75.2%
Net Income

-$128M

Previous: -$221M+42.1%
Operating Income

-$119M

Previous: -$221M+46.3%
Gross Profit

$385M

Previous: $334M+15.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$242M

Previous: $315M-23.1%
Total Assets

$6.23B

Previous: $6.68B-6.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$45.9M

Previous: $55.9M-17.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Exact Sciences · Revenue · Quarterly

$553M

Q4 2022+16.7%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Exact Sciences · $547M total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Screening
    $404M+45.3%
  • Precision Oncology
    $143M-3.8%

Forward guidance

The company anticipates revenue of $2,265-$2,315 million during 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Screening revenue of $1,660-$1,690 million
  • Precision Oncology revenue of $600-$620 million
  • COVID-19 testing revenue of $5 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.4%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

35 / 64 earnings

Positive

+35.0%

Q2 2016

Best reaction

-27.1%

Q3 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q4 2025+0.0%+0.0%+0.7%
Q3 2025+3.8%-1.2%+51.0%
Q2 2025-8.2%-11.0%+14.7%
Q1 2025+9.1%+13.0%+19.3%
Q4 2024-1.9%-0.6%-9.6%
Q3 2024-23.1%-27.6%-12.0%
Q2 2024+24.3%+19.7%+32.4%
Q1 2024-11.8%-9.5%-30.1%
Q4 2023-5.2%-8.3%-1.0%
Q3 2023+1.4%+5.9%+8.8%
Q2 2023-12.7%-12.6%-14.2%
Q1 2023+14.9%+15.5%+32.2%
Q4 2022+1.9%-5.4%+3.0%
Q3 2022+13.8%+23.9%+40.4%
Q2 2022+0.8%-0.3%-23.2%
Q1 2022-0.2%-12.1%-20.4%
Q4 2021-6.9%+5.7%-9.5%
Q3 2021-3.2%+3.3%-17.3%
Q2 2021-0.0%-3.2%-7.2%
Q1 2021-11.9%-16.8%-14.0%
Q4 2020-9.0%-4.6%-17.4%
Q3 2020+19.7%+16.2%+8.7%
Q2 2020+0.1%-1.8%-22.7%
Q1 2020+6.3%+7.7%+11.3%
Q4 2019-1.1%+1.4%-46.8%
Q3 2019-9.5%-3.1%-12.2%
Q2 2019-0.0%-2.4%+1.9%
Q1 2019-0.9%+6.7%+3.5%
Q4 2018+10.1%+10.7%+6.4%
Q3 2018+15.5%+20.7%+23.3%
Q2 2018-11.7%-12.9%+28.1%
Q1 2018+14.9%+10.5%+14.5%
Q4 2017-9.2%-4.9%-5.4%
Q3 2017+7.5%+10.8%+13.0%
Q2 2017+0.5%+0.1%+4.2%
Q1 2017+26.1%+30.1%+40.0%
Q4 2016+14.0%+7.6%+2.9%
Q3 2016-22.1%-20.5%-19.3%
Q2 2016+35.0%+39.5%+52.9%
Q1 2016-16.9%
Q4 2015-9.5%
Q3 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015-8.9%
Q1 2015+6.2%
Q4 2014-0.8%
Q3 2014+6.1%
Q2 2014+1.1%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2013+10.5%
Q3 2013-1.0%
Q2 2013-8.0%
Q1 2013+2.4%
Q4 2012+2.7%
Q3 2012+5.4%
Q2 2012+5.4%
Q1 2012+1.4%
Q4 2011+4.6%
Q3 2011-4.1%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q4 2010+2.8%
Q3 2010-27.1%
Q2 2010+3.3%
Q1 2010+6.0%

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