NASDAQ$EXAS

Exact Sciences Corp · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record results, raised full-year guidance, and accelerated path to positive free cash flow.

Exact Sciences Corp. announced strong first-quarter results with a 24% increase in total revenue to $602.5 million. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance by $110 million at the midpoint and expects to turn free cash flow positive during 2023, ahead of the previous target of 2024.

  • Total first quarter revenue reached $602 million, a 24% increase year-over-year.
  • Core revenue increased by 33% to $598 million.
  • Full-year 2023 revenue guidance was raised by $110 million at the midpoint.
  • The company anticipates achieving positive free cash flow during 2023, earlier than the previously expected 2024 target.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$602M

Previous: $487M+23.8%
EPS (adj)

-$0.42

Previous: -$1.04+59.6%
Gross Margin

71.0%

Previous: 68.0%+4.4%
Adjusted Gross Margin

74.0%

Previous: 72.0%+2.8%
Adjusted EBITDA

$45.9M

Previous: -$89.8M+151.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$29.4M

Previous: -$33.6M+12.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$67.6M

Previous: -$207M+67.4%
Net Income

-$74.2M

Previous: -$181M+59.0%
Operating Income

-$77.1M

Previous: -$177M+56.4%
Gross Profit

$446M

Previous: $352M+26.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$421M

Previous: $190M+122.0%
Total Assets

$6.3B

Previous: $6.49B-2.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$49.1M

Previous: $52.4M-6.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Exact Sciences · Revenue · Quarterly

$602M

Q1 2023+23.8%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Exact Sciences · $599M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Screening
    $443M+44.6%
  • Precision Oncology
    $155M+1.8%

Forward guidance

The company anticipates revenue of $2.380-$2.420 billion during 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Screening revenue of $1.770-$1.795 billion
  • Precision Oncology revenue of $605-$620 million
  • COVID-19 testing revenue of $5 million
  • Revenue guidance has been raised from the previously expected range of $2.265-$2.315 billion
  • Screening revenue was previously expected to be $1.660-$1.690 billion

Headwinds

  • Precision Oncology revenue was previously expected to be $600-$620 million
  • COVID-19 testing revenue was previously expected to be $5 million
  • Potential effects of changing macroeconomic conditions, including the effects of inflation and interest rate and foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations
  • Uncertainties related to the coronavirus (“COVID-19”) pandemic
  • The possibility that the anticipated benefits from business acquisitions will not be realized in full or at all or may take longer to realize than expected

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.4%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

35 / 64 earnings

Positive

+35.0%

Q2 2016

Best reaction

-27.1%

Q3 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q4 2025+0.0%+0.0%+0.7%
Q3 2025+3.8%-1.2%+51.0%
Q2 2025-8.2%-11.0%+14.7%
Q1 2025+9.1%+13.0%+19.3%
Q4 2024-1.9%-0.6%-9.6%
Q3 2024-23.1%-27.6%-12.0%
Q2 2024+24.3%+19.7%+32.4%
Q1 2024-11.8%-9.5%-30.1%
Q4 2023-5.2%-8.3%-1.0%
Q3 2023+1.4%+5.9%+8.8%
Q2 2023-12.7%-12.6%-14.2%
Q1 2023+14.9%+15.5%+32.2%
Q4 2022+1.9%-5.4%+3.0%
Q3 2022+13.8%+23.9%+40.4%
Q2 2022+0.8%-0.3%-23.2%
Q1 2022-0.2%-12.1%-20.4%
Q4 2021-6.9%+5.7%-9.5%
Q3 2021-3.2%+3.3%-17.3%
Q2 2021-0.0%-3.2%-7.2%
Q1 2021-11.9%-16.8%-14.0%
Q4 2020-9.0%-4.6%-17.4%
Q3 2020+19.7%+16.2%+8.7%
Q2 2020+0.1%-1.8%-22.7%
Q1 2020+6.3%+7.7%+11.3%
Q4 2019-1.1%+1.4%-46.8%
Q3 2019-9.5%-3.1%-12.2%
Q2 2019-0.0%-2.4%+1.9%
Q1 2019-0.9%+6.7%+3.5%
Q4 2018+10.1%+10.7%+6.4%
Q3 2018+15.5%+20.7%+23.3%
Q2 2018-11.7%-12.9%+28.1%
Q1 2018+14.9%+10.5%+14.5%
Q4 2017-9.2%-4.9%-5.4%
Q3 2017+7.5%+10.8%+13.0%
Q2 2017+0.5%+0.1%+4.2%
Q1 2017+26.1%+30.1%+40.0%
Q4 2016+14.0%+7.6%+2.9%
Q3 2016-22.1%-20.5%-19.3%
Q2 2016+35.0%+39.5%+52.9%
Q1 2016-16.9%
Q4 2015-9.5%
Q3 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015-8.9%
Q1 2015+6.2%
Q4 2014-0.8%
Q3 2014+6.1%
Q2 2014+1.1%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2013+10.5%
Q3 2013-1.0%
Q2 2013-8.0%
Q1 2013+2.4%
Q4 2012+2.7%
Q3 2012+5.4%
Q2 2012+5.4%
Q1 2012+1.4%
Q4 2011+4.6%
Q3 2011-4.1%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q4 2010+2.8%
Q3 2010-27.1%
Q2 2010+3.3%
Q1 2010+6.0%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro