NASDAQ$EXAS

Exact Sciences Corp · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record revenue, delivered over a million test results, and raised full-year guidance.

Exact Sciences reported a 20% increase in total revenue to $628.3 million for the third quarter of 2023. The company delivered over 1 million test results and raised its full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance.

  • Total revenue for Q3 2023 was $628 million, a 20% increase (23% on a core revenue basis).
  • More than 1 million test results were delivered, including a record for Cologuard® and Oncotype DX® tests.
  • Full-year 2023 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoints were raised by $28 million and $25 million, respectively.
  • Net income was $0.8 million, or $0.00 per basic and diluted share, compared to a net loss of $148.8 million, or $(0.84) per basic and diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$628M

Previous: $523M+20.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.00

Previous: -$0.84+100.5%
Gross Margin

70.0%

Previous: 68.0%+2.9%
Adjusted Gross Margin

73.0%

Previous: 72.0%+1.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$56.3M

Previous: -$13M+531.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$25.2M

Previous: -$142M+82.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$826K

Previous: -$417M+99.8%
Net Income

$794K

Previous: -$149M+100.5%
Operating Income

$6.85M

Previous: -$138M+105.0%
Gross Profit

$439M

Previous: $375M+17.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$595M

Previous: $235M+152.7%
Total Assets

$6.42B

Previous: $6.31B+1.8%
R&D Expense

$111M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$61.9M

Previous: $49.5M+24.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Exact Sciences · Revenue · Quarterly

$628M

Q3 2023+20.1%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Exact Sciences · $628M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Screening
    $472M+30.8%
  • Precision Oncology
    $156M+3.2%

Forward guidance

The company anticipates revenue of $2.476-$2.486 billion during 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Screening revenue of $1.848-$1.853 billion.
  • Precision Oncology revenue of $622-$627 million.
  • COVID-19 testing revenue of $6 million.
  • Revenue guidance has been raised from the previously expected range of $2.441-$2.466 billion.
  • Screening revenue was previously expected to be $1.820-$1.835 billion.

Headwinds

  • Precision Oncology revenue was previously expected to be $615-$625 million.
  • COVID-19 testing revenue was previously expected to be $6 million.
  • Uncertainties related to the coronavirus (“COVID-19”) pandemic
  • The possibility that the anticipated benefits from our business acquisitions will not be realized in full or at all or may take longer to realize than expected
  • The possibility that costs or difficulties related to the integration of acquired businesses’ operations or the divestiture of business operations will be greater than expected and the possibility that integration or divestiture efforts will disrupt our business and strain management time and resources

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.4%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

35 / 64 earnings

Positive

+35.0%

Q2 2016

Best reaction

-27.1%

Q3 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q4 2025+0.0%+0.0%+0.7%
Q3 2025+3.8%-1.2%+51.0%
Q2 2025-8.2%-11.0%+14.7%
Q1 2025+9.1%+13.0%+19.3%
Q4 2024-1.9%-0.6%-9.6%
Q3 2024-23.1%-27.6%-12.0%
Q2 2024+24.3%+19.7%+32.4%
Q1 2024-11.8%-9.5%-30.1%
Q4 2023-5.2%-8.3%-1.0%
Q3 2023+1.4%+5.9%+8.8%
Q2 2023-12.7%-12.6%-14.2%
Q1 2023+14.9%+15.5%+32.2%
Q4 2022+1.9%-5.4%+3.0%
Q3 2022+13.8%+23.9%+40.4%
Q2 2022+0.8%-0.3%-23.2%
Q1 2022-0.2%-12.1%-20.4%
Q4 2021-6.9%+5.7%-9.5%
Q3 2021-3.2%+3.3%-17.3%
Q2 2021-0.0%-3.2%-7.2%
Q1 2021-11.9%-16.8%-14.0%
Q4 2020-9.0%-4.6%-17.4%
Q3 2020+19.7%+16.2%+8.7%
Q2 2020+0.1%-1.8%-22.7%
Q1 2020+6.3%+7.7%+11.3%
Q4 2019-1.1%+1.4%-46.8%
Q3 2019-9.5%-3.1%-12.2%
Q2 2019-0.0%-2.4%+1.9%
Q1 2019-0.9%+6.7%+3.5%
Q4 2018+10.1%+10.7%+6.4%
Q3 2018+15.5%+20.7%+23.3%
Q2 2018-11.7%-12.9%+28.1%
Q1 2018+14.9%+10.5%+14.5%
Q4 2017-9.2%-4.9%-5.4%
Q3 2017+7.5%+10.8%+13.0%
Q2 2017+0.5%+0.1%+4.2%
Q1 2017+26.1%+30.1%+40.0%
Q4 2016+14.0%+7.6%+2.9%
Q3 2016-22.1%-20.5%-19.3%
Q2 2016+35.0%+39.5%+52.9%
Q1 2016-16.9%
Q4 2015-9.5%
Q3 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015-8.9%
Q1 2015+6.2%
Q4 2014-0.8%
Q3 2014+6.1%
Q2 2014+1.1%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2013+10.5%
Q3 2013-1.0%
Q2 2013-8.0%
Q1 2013+2.4%
Q4 2012+2.7%
Q3 2012+5.4%
Q2 2012+5.4%
Q1 2012+1.4%
Q4 2011+4.6%
Q3 2011-4.1%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q4 2010+2.8%
Q3 2010-27.1%
Q2 2010+3.3%
Q1 2010+6.0%

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