NASDAQ$EXAS

Exact Sciences Corp · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record revenue, raised full-year guidance, and accelerated path to profitability.

Exact Sciences Corp. generated revenue of $523 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2022, compared to $456 million for the same period of 2021. The company raised full-year revenue guidance and lowered operating expense guidance. Adjusted EBITDA profitability is now expected in the third quarter of 2023.

  • Total third quarter revenue, excluding COVID-19 testing, increased 20 percent compared to the third quarter of 2021, with Screening revenue of $361 million and Precision Oncology revenue of $151 million
  • Full-year revenue guidance raised by $33 million and operating expense guidance lowered by $113 million at the midpoints
  • Adjusted EBITDA profitability now expected in the third quarter of 2023, ahead of previous target of 2024
  • Total revenue was $523.1 million, an increase of 15 percent, or 20 percent excluding COVID-19 testing

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$523M

Previous: $456M+14.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.84

Previous: -$0.79-6.3%
Gross Margin

68.0%

Previous: 70.0%-2.9%
Adjusted Gross Margin

72.0%

Previous: 75.0%-4.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

-$13M

Previous: -$16.3M+20.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$142M

Previous: -$76.4M-85.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$417M

Previous: -$154M-170.8%
Net Income

-$149M

Previous: -$167M+10.9%
Operating Income

-$138M

Previous: -$162M+14.8%
Gross Profit

$375M

Previous: $341M+10.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$235M

Previous: $274M-14.1%
Total Assets

$6.31B

Previous: $6.65B-5.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$49.5M

Previous: $63.6M-22.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Exact Sciences · Revenue · Quarterly

$523M

Q3 2022+14.6%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Exact Sciences · $512M total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Screening
    $361M+28.7%
  • Precision Oncology
    $151M+4.1%

Forward guidance

The company anticipates revenue of $2,025-$2,042 million during 2022, assuming Screening revenue of $1,375-$1,382 million, Precision Oncology revenue of $595-$600 million, and COVID-19 testing revenue of $55-$60 million.

Tailwinds

  • Screening revenue of $1,375-$1,382 million
  • Precision Oncology revenue of $595-$600 million
  • COVID-19 testing revenue of $55-$60 million
  • Full-year revenue guidance raised from the previously expected range of $1,980-$2,022 million
  • Screening revenue of $1,350-$1,372 million

Headwinds

  • uncertainties associated with the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, including its possible effects on our operations, including our supply chain and clinical studies, and the demand for our products and services
  • our ability to efficiently and flexibly manage our business amid uncertainties related to COVID-19
  • our ability to meet our payment obligations under our indebtedness
  • our ability to raise additional capital in amounts and on terms satisfactory to us, if at all
  • our ability to successfully and profitably market our products and services

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.4%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

35 / 64 earnings

Positive

+35.0%

Q2 2016

Best reaction

-27.1%

Q3 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q4 2025+0.0%+0.0%+0.7%
Q3 2025+3.8%-1.2%+51.0%
Q2 2025-8.2%-11.0%+14.7%
Q1 2025+9.1%+13.0%+19.3%
Q4 2024-1.9%-0.6%-9.6%
Q3 2024-23.1%-27.6%-12.0%
Q2 2024+24.3%+19.7%+32.4%
Q1 2024-11.8%-9.5%-30.1%
Q4 2023-5.2%-8.3%-1.0%
Q3 2023+1.4%+5.9%+8.8%
Q2 2023-12.7%-12.6%-14.2%
Q1 2023+14.9%+15.5%+32.2%
Q4 2022+1.9%-5.4%+3.0%
Q3 2022+13.8%+23.9%+40.4%
Q2 2022+0.8%-0.3%-23.2%
Q1 2022-0.2%-12.1%-20.4%
Q4 2021-6.9%+5.7%-9.5%
Q3 2021-3.2%+3.3%-17.3%
Q2 2021-0.0%-3.2%-7.2%
Q1 2021-11.9%-16.8%-14.0%
Q4 2020-9.0%-4.6%-17.4%
Q3 2020+19.7%+16.2%+8.7%
Q2 2020+0.1%-1.8%-22.7%
Q1 2020+6.3%+7.7%+11.3%
Q4 2019-1.1%+1.4%-46.8%
Q3 2019-9.5%-3.1%-12.2%
Q2 2019-0.0%-2.4%+1.9%
Q1 2019-0.9%+6.7%+3.5%
Q4 2018+10.1%+10.7%+6.4%
Q3 2018+15.5%+20.7%+23.3%
Q2 2018-11.7%-12.9%+28.1%
Q1 2018+14.9%+10.5%+14.5%
Q4 2017-9.2%-4.9%-5.4%
Q3 2017+7.5%+10.8%+13.0%
Q2 2017+0.5%+0.1%+4.2%
Q1 2017+26.1%+30.1%+40.0%
Q4 2016+14.0%+7.6%+2.9%
Q3 2016-22.1%-20.5%-19.3%
Q2 2016+35.0%+39.5%+52.9%
Q1 2016-16.9%
Q4 2015-9.5%
Q3 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015-8.9%
Q1 2015+6.2%
Q4 2014-0.8%
Q3 2014+6.1%
Q2 2014+1.1%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2013+10.5%
Q3 2013-1.0%
Q2 2013-8.0%
Q1 2013+2.4%
Q4 2012+2.7%
Q3 2012+5.4%
Q2 2012+5.4%
Q1 2012+1.4%
Q4 2011+4.6%
Q3 2011-4.1%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q4 2010+2.8%
Q3 2010-27.1%
Q2 2010+3.3%
Q1 2010+6.0%

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