NASDAQ$ADMA

ADMA Biologics Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ADMA Biologics reported a 90% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4 2022, with a gross profit increase of $11 million compared to Q4 2021. The company's net loss decreased by $4.4 million compared to the same period last year, driven by higher gross profit from ASCENIV sales.

ADMA Biologics announced strong Q4 2022 results, with a 90% increase in total revenues to $50.0 million compared to Q4 2021. Gross profit increased to $14.2 million, driven by ASCENIV sales. The company anticipates full year 2023 total revenues to exceed $210 million and expects first-time positive EBITDA no later than the second half of 2023.

  • Total revenues for Q4 2022 were $50.0 million, a 90% increase year-over-year.
  • Gross profit for Q4 2022 was $14.2 million, compared to $3.5 million in Q4 2021.
  • Net loss for Q4 2022 was $12.2 million, an improvement from the $16.6 million net loss in Q4 2021.
  • ADMA anticipates full year 2023 total revenues to exceed $210 million and expects first-time positive EBITDA no later than the second half of 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$50M

Previous: $26.4M+89.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.06

Previous: -$0.09+33.3%
Capital Expenditures

$3.75M

Previous: $3.68M+2.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$11.1M

Previous: -$37.1M+70.0%
Net Income

-$12.2M

Previous: -$16.6M+26.5%
Operating Income

-$6.06M

Previous: -$13.2M+54.1%
Gross Profit

$14.2M

Previous: $3.51M+303.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$86.5M

Previous: $51.1M+69.4%
Total Assets

$348M

Previous: $276M+26.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.07M

Previous: $1.21M-11.9%

Revenue & EPS history

ADMA Biologics · Revenue · Quarterly

$50M

Q4 2022+89.4%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 14 quarters(86%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

ADMA Biologics anticipates full year 2023 total revenues to exceed $210 million and expects first-time positive EBITDA no later than the second half of 2023.

Tailwinds

  • ADMA has identified several growth opportunities that can potentially increase revenue and improve margins beyond previously provided financial targets.
  • In 2023, ADMA will commence manufacturing of ASCENIV at the 4,400 Liter production scale for the first time in corporate history, which should improve the product’s margin profile and increase plant production capacity.
  • The Company is pursuing new initiatives to capture additional IG production yields, which could meaningfully increase both peak revenues as well as margin potential if successful.
  • Ongoing post-marketing clinical studies may provide for label expansion opportunities for both BIVIGAM and ASCENIV.
  • ADMA remains on track to have all ten BioCenters FDA-licensed by year-end 2023 and forecasts raw material plasma supply self-sufficiency in the same period.

Headwinds

  • The guidance framework considers several macroeconomic uncertainties.
  • ADMA’s estimated fourth quarter 2022 corporate gross margins would have been approximately 200-300 basis points higher if the impact of selling lower margin, 2,200-liter scale BIVIGAM were excluded.
  • At the midpoint, the estimated operating loss for the quarter would have been approximately $4.7 million, which is 64% improved compared to the prior year's fourth quarter when accounting for transient gross margin dynamics amounting to approximately $1.3 million.
  • Forward-looking statements are subject to many risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.
  • There can be no assurance that the forward-looking statements included in this press release will prove to be accurate.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.4%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

20 / 40 earnings

Positive

+39.4%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-17.4%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%-23.1%-22.2%
Q4 2025-3.6%+4.5%-41.0%
Q3 2025-8.4%+4.3%+29.1%
Q1 2025-10.2%-15.8%-12.7%
Q4 2024+7.5%+7.5%+22.9%
Q3 2024+15.0%+10.7%+0.8%
Q2 2024+39.4%+50.8%+42.0%
Q1 2024+28.4%+33.5%+52.6%
Q4 2023-2.9%+3.6%+19.6%
Q3 2023+3.8%+1.4%+0.5%
Q2 2023+4.1%+11.4%-7.2%
Q1 2023+14.1%+20.7%+10.1%
Q4 2022+10.3%+6.6%+18.9%
Q3 2022+20.7%+26.8%+36.0%
Q2 2022+9.9%+18.7%+40.4%
Q1 2022+4.3%+16.1%+20.5%
Q4 2021+11.6%+25.3%+36.3%
Q3 2021+12.0%+9.2%-6.3%
Q2 2021-1.9%-6.5%-22.7%
Q1 2021-6.4%+0.0%+5.2%
Q4 2020-8.6%-13.6%-4.0%
Q3 2020-10.7%-15.0%-6.5%
Q2 2020-15.1%-9.8%-34.1%
Q1 2020-17.4%-15.8%-6.2%
Q4 2019-6.5%-13.4%+18.2%
Q3 2019-12.1%-14.6%-16.0%
Q2 2019+3.9%+15.2%+40.3%
Q1 2019+7.7%-1.0%-21.3%
Q4 2018+0.0%+7.9%+25.4%
Q3 2018-8.7%-11.3%-17.7%
Q2 2018-4.1%-6.5%+0.3%
Q1 2018+5.8%+9.0%-4.0%
Q4 2017-0.3%+10.5%+26.8%
Q3 2017-6.8%-2.0%+35.1%
Q2 2017+1.7%+4.8%+17.9%
Q1 2017+0.7%-8.3%-18.4%
Q4 2016-0.6%-5.0%+0.8%
Q3 2016+17.9%+17.0%-3.3%
Q2 2016+6.4%-9.2%-7.2%
Q4 2014+0.0%
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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