NASDAQ$ADMA

ADMA Biologics Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ADMA Biologics' Q3 2022 results reflected significant revenue growth and gross profit improvement.

ADMA Biologics reported a 99% year-over-year increase in total revenues for Q3 2022, reaching $41.1 million. The company also saw a substantial increase in gross profit, driven by a favorable contribution from ASCENIV. They are raising full-year 2022 revenue guidance to $145 million.

  • Total revenues for Q3 2022 increased by 99% year-over-year to $41.1 million.
  • Gross profit for Q3 2022 grew to $9.7 million, a $9.3 million increase compared to Q3 2021.
  • ASCENIV's prescriber and patient base expanded, driving record utilization.
  • The company is on track to have ten BioCenters FDA-licensed by year-end 2023 and forecasts raw material plasma supply self-sufficiency in the same period.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$41.1M

Previous: $20.7M+98.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.08

Previous: -$0.13+38.5%
Gross Margin

23.5%

Previous: 0.0%+123584.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$10.2M

Previous: -$9.84M-3.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$25.1M

Previous: -$27.5M+9.0%
Net Income

-$14.9M

Previous: -$17.7M+15.9%
Operating Income

-$9.32M

Previous: -$14.4M+35.5%
Gross Profit

$9.66M

Previous: $400K+2314.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$34.9M

Previous: $34.4M+1.4%
Total Assets

$301M

Previous: $239M+25.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.31M

Previous: $688K+90.8%

Revenue & EPS history

ADMA Biologics · Revenue · Quarterly

$41.1M

Q3 2022+98.7%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 14 quarters(86%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

ADMA Biologics anticipates total 2022 revenues will reach approximately $145 million. The Company continues to anticipate generating approximately $250 million or more in revenue in 2024, and approximately $300 million or more thereafter. At these revenue levels, and based upon current assumptions, ADMA continues to forecast achieving corporate gross margins in the range of 40-50% and net income margins in the range of 20-30%.

Tailwinds

  • Raising FY 2022 Total Revenue Guidance to $145 Million From $130 Million Previously
  • Gross Profit Growth and Narrowing Net Losses Expected into 2023
  • ADMA anticipates further margin enhancements as product throughput transitions throughout the first half of 2023 to exclusively the higher margin 4,400-liter scale product.
  • The Company maintains and reiterates its previously provided profitability timeline, which is expected no later than the first quarter of 2024
  • ADMA anticipates its strong plasma supply position will support its upwardly revised production and revenue forecasts.

Headwinds

  • A substantial portion of BIVIGAM revenues during the third quarter consisted of legacy 2,200-liter scale product, which yields a significantly lower margin compared to the current 4,400-liter batch production scale.
  • The residual, lower margin inventory produced at the 2,200-liter scale is anticipated to be fully exhausted over the coming quarters
  • Net loss decreased by approximately $2.8 million compared to the third quarter of 2021, primarily attributed to higher gross profit of $9.3 million, partially offset by a $2.3 million increase in interest expense as a result of additional debt principal as well as rising interest rates.
  • Additional offsets during the third quarter of 2022 included increased plasma center operating expenses of $1.7 million attributed to having nine plasma centers in operation compared to five operating centers during the same period last year, as well as increased general and administrative expenses of $2.2 million resulting from increased headcount, commercialization, and marketing expenditures.
  • However, should current demand trends and margin dynamics sustain, accelerated profitability timelines may be achievable.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.4%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

20 / 40 earnings

Positive

+39.4%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-17.4%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%-23.1%-22.2%
Q4 2025-3.6%+4.5%-41.0%
Q3 2025-8.4%+4.3%+29.1%
Q1 2025-10.2%-15.8%-12.7%
Q4 2024+7.5%+7.5%+22.9%
Q3 2024+15.0%+10.7%+0.8%
Q2 2024+39.4%+50.8%+42.0%
Q1 2024+28.4%+33.5%+52.6%
Q4 2023-2.9%+3.6%+19.6%
Q3 2023+3.8%+1.4%+0.5%
Q2 2023+4.1%+11.4%-7.2%
Q1 2023+14.1%+20.7%+10.1%
Q4 2022+10.3%+6.6%+18.9%
Q3 2022+20.7%+26.8%+36.0%
Q2 2022+9.9%+18.7%+40.4%
Q1 2022+4.3%+16.1%+20.5%
Q4 2021+11.6%+25.3%+36.3%
Q3 2021+12.0%+9.2%-6.3%
Q2 2021-1.9%-6.5%-22.7%
Q1 2021-6.4%+0.0%+5.2%
Q4 2020-8.6%-13.6%-4.0%
Q3 2020-10.7%-15.0%-6.5%
Q2 2020-15.1%-9.8%-34.1%
Q1 2020-17.4%-15.8%-6.2%
Q4 2019-6.5%-13.4%+18.2%
Q3 2019-12.1%-14.6%-16.0%
Q2 2019+3.9%+15.2%+40.3%
Q1 2019+7.7%-1.0%-21.3%
Q4 2018+0.0%+7.9%+25.4%
Q3 2018-8.7%-11.3%-17.7%
Q2 2018-4.1%-6.5%+0.3%
Q1 2018+5.8%+9.0%-4.0%
Q4 2017-0.3%+10.5%+26.8%
Q3 2017-6.8%-2.0%+35.1%
Q2 2017+1.7%+4.8%+17.9%
Q1 2017+0.7%-8.3%-18.4%
Q4 2016-0.6%-5.0%+0.8%
Q3 2016+17.9%+17.0%-3.3%
Q2 2016+6.4%-9.2%-7.2%
Q4 2014+0.0%
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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