NYSE$VTLE

Vital Energy Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Vital Energy reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 financial and operating results, achieving record total and oil production for the quarter and updating its development inventory to over 11 years of oil-weighted locations.

Vital Energy reported a net loss of $359.4 million for Q4 2024, with an Adjusted Net Income of $86.5 million. The company achieved record total production of 147.8 MBOE/d and oil production of 69.8 MBO/d, exceeding guidance. Lease operating expenses were below guidance, and the company successfully integrated Point Energy assets.

  • Successfully integrated Point Energy assets, with acquired production exceeding expectations and operating cost reductions in-line with expectations.
  • Reported a net loss of $359.4 million, Adjusted Net Income of $86.5 million, and cash flows from operating activities of $257.2 million.
  • Generated Consolidated EBITDAX of $383.5 million and Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $110.8 million.
  • Produced Company-record 147.8 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBOE/d) and oil production of 69.8 thousand barrels of oil per day (MBO/d).

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$534M

Previous: $445M+20.2%
EPS (adj)

$2.30

Previous: $2.55-9.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$258M

Previous: -$475M+45.8%
Free Cash Flow

$111M

No prior period
Net Income

-$359M

Previous: $281M-227.7%
Operating Income

-$366M

Previous: $135M-370.4%
Gross Profit

$156M

Previous: $179M-12.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Vital Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$534M

Q4 2024+20.2%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Vital Energy · $435M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Oil Sales
    $375M+20.3%
  • NGL Sales
    $38.3M-35.5%
  • Natural Gas Sales
    $21.2M-71.2%

Forward guidance

Vital Energy's 2025 development plan aims to maximize cash flow for debt repayment, supported by a robust hedge position, with lower capital investment levels and slightly lower oil production compared to earlier projections.

Tailwinds

  • Expected to generate approximately $330 million of Adjusted Free Cash Flow at $70 per barrel WTI.
  • Capital investments are projected to be approximately 3% lower than earlier projections due to efficiencies and lower costs.
  • Company expects to complete approximately the same net lateral feet as in 2024.
  • Average LOE for Q1 and Q2 2025 is expected to be around $9.20 per BOE, with a target to achieve LOE below $9.00 per BOE by the end of 2025.
  • Increased oil-weighted inventory to ~925 locations, with ~400 breaking even below $50 per barrel WTI.

Headwinds

  • Total production is expected to be 134.0 - 140.0 MBOE/d, approximately 3% lower than earlier projections.
  • Oil production is expected to be 62.5 - 66.5 MBO/d, approximately 3% lower than earlier projections.
  • The shortfall in production is related to operational delays and the underperformance of a seven-well development package in Upton County.
  • Some workover expense was deferred from Q4 2024 into Q1 2025, impacting LOE in the near term.
  • Capital investments are planned to be $825 - $925 million, excluding non-budgeted acquisitions and leasehold expenditures.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

26 / 56 earnings

Positive

+12.7%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-23.2%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q3 2025+5.1%+20.9%+26.1%
Q2 2025-9.4%-8.8%-0.4%
Q1 2025+7.6%-3.5%+18.7%
Q4 2024-12.1%-20.2%-36.6%
Q3 2024+12.7%+14.7%+8.3%
Q2 2024+2.8%+2.3%-22.8%
Q1 2024-4.1%-10.1%-17.0%
Q4 2023+5.0%+3.9%+9.5%
Q3 2023+6.3%-3.4%-8.8%
Q2 2023+5.2%+5.4%+11.6%
Q1 2023-0.9%-3.3%+5.4%
Q4 2022-3.2%+6.5%-16.9%
Q3 2022+5.2%+6.1%-3.2%
Q2 2022-23.2%-26.0%-15.2%
Q1 2022-6.9%-19.1%+45.2%
Q4 2021+7.1%+7.5%+8.6%
Q3 2021-4.5%
Q2 2021-12.7%
Q1 2021-12.4%
Q4 2020+5.3%
Q3 2020+3.7%
Q2 2020-1.2%
Q1 2020-2.0%
Q4 2019-0.6%
Q3 2019-1.2%
Q2 2019+3.9%
Q1 2019+10.6%
Q4 2018+6.1%
Q3 2018+7.6%
Q2 2018-6.8%
Q1 2018-17.8%
Q4 2017+10.0%
Q3 2017-10.3%
Q2 2017-1.1%
Q1 2017-6.7%
Q4 2016+1.0%
Q3 2016+9.4%
Q2 2016+11.8%
Q1 2016+7.7%
Q4 2015-6.1%
Q3 2015-5.2%
Q2 2015+2.8%
Q1 2015-6.7%
Q4 2014-8.5%
Q3 2014+4.7%
Q2 2014-6.8%
Q1 2014-3.7%
Q4 2013-4.9%
Q3 2013-11.8%
Q2 2013+6.7%
Q1 2013-4.0%
Q4 2012+7.0%
Q3 2012-2.2%
Q2 2012-2.4%
Q4 2011+2.2%
Q1 2012+2.2%

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