NYSE$VTLE

Vital Energy Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced fourth-quarter and full-year 2020 financial and operating results and provided 2021 capital budget and production expectations.

Laredo Petroleum reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $165.9 million for Q4 2020, which included a non-cash full cost ceiling impairment charge of $109.8 million. Adjusted Net Income was $37.8 million, and Adjusted EBITDA was $120.0 million. The company's total production averaged 82,552 BOE per day, including oil production of 21,929 BOPD.

  • Completed 15 wells in Howard County during the quarter.
  • Accelerated completions activities on the second well package ahead of schedule.
  • First wells in Howard County are expected to reach peak rates during the first quarter of 2021.
  • Drilling and completions operations have resumed and production is returning to pre-storm levels after winter storms impacted Permian Basin operations.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$188M

Previous: $218M-13.8%
EPS (adj)

$3.22

Previous: $3.40-5.3%
Avg Daily Oil Equivalent Sales

82.6K

Previous: 84.0K-1.7%
Avg Daily Oil Sales

21.9K

Previous: 27.3K-19.7%
Net Income

-$166M

Previous: -$242M+31.4%
Operating Income

-$78M

Previous: -$170M+54.2%
Gross Profit

$188M

Previous: $218M-13.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$48.8M

Previous: $40.9M+19.3%
Total Assets

$48.8M

Previous: $2.26B-97.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.11M

Previous: $3.05M-30.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Vital Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$188M

Q4 2020-13.8%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Vital Energy · $134M total across 3 segments · Q4 2020

  • Oil Sales
    $84.5M-53.0%
  • NGL Sales
    $28.5M
  • Natural Gas Sales
    $20.9M

Forward guidance

Laredo expects to invest $360 million in 2021 and anticipates significant improvement in overall capital efficiency with a full year of operations directed to Howard County. Oil production for full-year 2021 is expected to average 27,250 - 29,250 BOPD. Total production is expected to decline to an average of 80,000 - 85,000 BOE per day.

Tailwinds

  • Capital program focused on Howard County development.
  • Maximizing capital efficiency by consistently running one completions crew.
  • Continued improvements in drilled and completed feet per day.
  • Company-owned sand mine driving additional productivity gains.
  • Robust hedging program supporting the 2021 capital plan.

Headwinds

  • Weather impact reducing first-quarter and full-year 2021 production.
  • Increased unit LOE expected in 2021.
  • Total G&A expected to remain flat on a total dollar basis but increase slightly on a unit basis.
  • Potential for higher operating expenses due to ESPs for artificial lift in Howard County.
  • Delay in completing 12 wells in Howard County due to weather delays.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

26 / 56 earnings

Positive

+12.7%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-23.2%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q3 2025+5.1%+20.9%+26.1%
Q2 2025-9.4%-8.8%-0.4%
Q1 2025+7.6%-3.5%+18.7%
Q4 2024-12.1%-20.2%-36.6%
Q3 2024+12.7%+14.7%+8.3%
Q2 2024+2.8%+2.3%-22.8%
Q1 2024-4.1%-10.1%-17.0%
Q4 2023+5.0%+3.9%+9.5%
Q3 2023+6.3%-3.4%-8.8%
Q2 2023+5.2%+5.4%+11.6%
Q1 2023-0.9%-3.3%+5.4%
Q4 2022-3.2%+6.5%-16.9%
Q3 2022+5.2%+6.1%-3.2%
Q2 2022-23.2%-26.0%-15.2%
Q1 2022-6.9%-19.1%+45.2%
Q4 2021+7.1%+7.5%+8.6%
Q3 2021-4.5%
Q2 2021-12.7%
Q1 2021-12.4%
Q4 2020+5.3%
Q3 2020+3.7%
Q2 2020-1.2%
Q1 2020-2.0%
Q4 2019-0.6%
Q3 2019-1.2%
Q2 2019+3.9%
Q1 2019+10.6%
Q4 2018+6.1%
Q3 2018+7.6%
Q2 2018-6.8%
Q1 2018-17.8%
Q4 2017+10.0%
Q3 2017-10.3%
Q2 2017-1.1%
Q1 2017-6.7%
Q4 2016+1.0%
Q3 2016+9.4%
Q2 2016+11.8%
Q1 2016+7.7%
Q4 2015-6.1%
Q3 2015-5.2%
Q2 2015+2.8%
Q1 2015-6.7%
Q4 2014-8.5%
Q3 2014+4.7%
Q2 2014-6.8%
Q1 2014-3.7%
Q4 2013-4.9%
Q3 2013-11.8%
Q2 2013+6.7%
Q1 2013-4.0%
Q4 2012+7.0%
Q3 2012-2.2%
Q2 2012-2.4%
Q4 2011+2.2%
Q1 2012+2.2%

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