NYSE$VTLE

Vital Energy Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Vital Energy's Q4 2023 financial performance was marked by record total and oil production, exceeding guidance, alongside strategic acquisitions and a focus on operational efficiency.

Vital Energy reported a strong fourth quarter in 2023, characterized by record total and oil production that surpassed company guidance. The company's financial results included a net income of $281.4 million and adjusted net income of $76.1 million. Vital Energy also closed three Permian Basin acquisitions and announced a fourth, enhancing its operational scale and inventory.

  • Reported record total and oil production, exceeding guidance.
  • Net income reached $281.4 million, with adjusted net income at $76.1 million.
  • Consolidated EBITDAX was $304.2 million and Adjusted Free Cash Flow was $69.0 million.
  • Closed three Permian Basin acquisitions and announced a fourth to expand holdings.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$445M

Previous: $364M+22.1%
EPS (adj)

$2.55

Previous: $3.49-26.9%
Avg Daily Oil Equivalent Sales

113.7K

Previous: 77.9K+45.9%
Avg Daily Oil Sales

53.1K

Previous: 35.9K+47.9%
Lease Operating Expenses per BOE

$8.33

Previous: $6.53+27.6%
Production and Ad Valorem Taxes per BOE

$2.27

No prior period
Oil Transportation and Marketing Expenses per BOE

$0.85

No prior period
Gas Gathering, Processing and Transportation Expenses per BOE

$0.16

No prior period
G&A Expenses (excl. LTIP & transaction) per BOE

$2.12

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$475M

No prior period
Net Income

$281M

Previous: $118M+138.1%
Operating Income

$135M

Previous: $157M-14.0%
Gross Profit

$179M

Previous: $364M-50.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.59M

Previous: $2.11M+23.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Vital Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$445M

Q4 2023+22.1%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Vital Energy · $435M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Oil Sales
    $375M+20.3%
  • NGL Sales
    $38.3M-35.5%
  • Natural Gas Sales
    $21.2M-71.2%

Forward guidance

Vital Energy's 2024 outlook includes capital investments between $750 to $850 million, expected total production of 116.5 - 121.5 MBOE/d, and oil production of 55.0 - 59.0 MBO/d.

Tailwinds

  • Plans to invest $750 - $850 million in 2024.
  • Aims to increase FY-24 oil production ~10% from 4Q-23 exit.
  • Expects total production of 116.5 - 121.5 MBOE/d for full-year 2024.
  • Expects oil production of 55.0 - 59.0 MBO/d for full-year 2024.
  • Operating four drilling rigs throughout the year and averaging 1.7 completions crews.

Headwinds

  • Capital investments are expected to peak in the first quarter.
  • Net settlements paid for matured oil commodity derivatives are expected to be $(14) million in Q1 2024.
  • Lease operating expenses are expected to be $8.40 per BOE in Q1 2024.
  • Oil transportation and marketing expenses are expected to be $0.90 per BOE in Q1 2024.
  • Gas gathering, processing and transportation expenses are expected to be $0.35 per BOE in Q1 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

26 / 56 earnings

Positive

+12.7%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-23.2%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q3 2025+5.1%+20.9%+26.1%
Q2 2025-9.4%-8.8%-0.4%
Q1 2025+7.6%-3.5%+18.7%
Q4 2024-12.1%-20.2%-36.6%
Q3 2024+12.7%+14.7%+8.3%
Q2 2024+2.8%+2.3%-22.8%
Q1 2024-4.1%-10.1%-17.0%
Q4 2023+5.0%+3.9%+9.5%
Q3 2023+6.3%-3.4%-8.8%
Q2 2023+5.2%+5.4%+11.6%
Q1 2023-0.9%-3.3%+5.4%
Q4 2022-3.2%+6.5%-16.9%
Q3 2022+5.2%+6.1%-3.2%
Q2 2022-23.2%-26.0%-15.2%
Q1 2022-6.9%-19.1%+45.2%
Q4 2021+7.1%+7.5%+8.6%
Q3 2021-4.5%
Q2 2021-12.7%
Q1 2021-12.4%
Q4 2020+5.3%
Q3 2020+3.7%
Q2 2020-1.2%
Q1 2020-2.0%
Q4 2019-0.6%
Q3 2019-1.2%
Q2 2019+3.9%
Q1 2019+10.6%
Q4 2018+6.1%
Q3 2018+7.6%
Q2 2018-6.8%
Q1 2018-17.8%
Q4 2017+10.0%
Q3 2017-10.3%
Q2 2017-1.1%
Q1 2017-6.7%
Q4 2016+1.0%
Q3 2016+9.4%
Q2 2016+11.8%
Q1 2016+7.7%
Q4 2015-6.1%
Q3 2015-5.2%
Q2 2015+2.8%
Q1 2015-6.7%
Q4 2014-8.5%
Q3 2014+4.7%
Q2 2014-6.8%
Q1 2014-3.7%
Q4 2013-4.9%
Q3 2013-11.8%
Q2 2013+6.7%
Q1 2013-4.0%
Q4 2012+7.0%
Q3 2012-2.2%
Q2 2012-2.4%
Q4 2011+2.2%
Q1 2012+2.2%

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