NYSE$VTLE

Vital Energy Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Vital Energy reported first-quarter 2023 financial and operating results, exceeding oil and total production guidance, investing below capital expenditure guidance, achieving 2025 greenhouse gas intensity and methane intensity targets, and closing an accretive acquisition.

Vital Energy reported strong first-quarter 2023 results, exceeding production guidance, investing below capital expenditure guidance, achieving emissions targets, and closing an accretive acquisition. Net income was $113.9 million, and cash flows from operating activities were $116.1 million.

  • Reported 1Q-23 oil and total production exceeded the high-end of Company guidance, producing 38.5 MBO/d and 80.4 MBOE/d.
  • Reported 1Q-23 incurred capital expenditures below the low-end of guidance, investing $188 million, excluding non-budgeted acquisitions and leasehold expenditures.
  • Reported 1Q-23 net income of $113.9 million and cash flows from operating activities of $116.1 million.
  • Generated 1Q-23 Consolidated EBITDAX of $214.2 million and Free Cash Flow of $(3.9) million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$333M

Previous: $532M-37.5%
EPS (adj)

$4.50

Previous: $5.17-13.0%
Avg Daily Oil Equivalent Sales

80.4K

Previous: 85.1K-5.5%
Avg Daily Oil Sales

38.5K

Previous: 40.3K-4.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$165M

Previous: -$151M-9.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$48.9M

Previous: $19.5M-350.7%
Net Income

$114M

Previous: -$86.8M+231.3%
Operating Income

$123M

Previous: $268M-54.3%
Gross Profit

$333M

Previous: $532M-37.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$27.7M

Previous: $65.1M-57.5%
Total Assets

$2.94B

Previous: $2.73B+8.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.57M

Previous: $2.05M+25.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Vital Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$333M

Q1 2023-37.5%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Vital Energy · $318M total across 3 segments · Q1 2023

  • Oil Sales
    $267M-23.2%
  • NGL Sales
    $33M-49.3%
  • Natural Gas Sales
    $18.1M-53.2%

Forward guidance

Vital Energy increased full-year 2023 production guidance and reiterated its full-year 2023 capital investment guidance of $625 - $675 million.

Tailwinds

  • Total production (MBOE/d) is expected to be 85.5 - 88.5 for 2Q-23 and 76.0 - 80.0 for FY-23.
  • Oil production (MBO/d) is expected to be 40.0 - 43.0 for 2Q-23 and 36.3 - 39.3 for FY-23.
  • Incurred capital expenditures, excluding non-budgeted acquisitions ($ MM) are expected to be $155 - $175 for 2Q-23 and $625 - $675 for FY-23.
  • Oil (% of WTI) average sales price realizations (excluding derivatives) is expected to be 101% for 2Q-23.
  • NGL (% of WTI) average sales price realizations (excluding derivatives) is expected to be 18% for 2Q-23.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

26 / 56 earnings

Positive

+12.7%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-23.2%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q3 2025+5.1%+20.9%+26.1%
Q2 2025-9.4%-8.8%-0.4%
Q1 2025+7.6%-3.5%+18.7%
Q4 2024-12.1%-20.2%-36.6%
Q3 2024+12.7%+14.7%+8.3%
Q2 2024+2.8%+2.3%-22.8%
Q1 2024-4.1%-10.1%-17.0%
Q4 2023+5.0%+3.9%+9.5%
Q3 2023+6.3%-3.4%-8.8%
Q2 2023+5.2%+5.4%+11.6%
Q1 2023-0.9%-3.3%+5.4%
Q4 2022-3.2%+6.5%-16.9%
Q3 2022+5.2%+6.1%-3.2%
Q2 2022-23.2%-26.0%-15.2%
Q1 2022-6.9%-19.1%+45.2%
Q4 2021+7.1%+7.5%+8.6%
Q3 2021-4.5%
Q2 2021-12.7%
Q1 2021-12.4%
Q4 2020+5.3%
Q3 2020+3.7%
Q2 2020-1.2%
Q1 2020-2.0%
Q4 2019-0.6%
Q3 2019-1.2%
Q2 2019+3.9%
Q1 2019+10.6%
Q4 2018+6.1%
Q3 2018+7.6%
Q2 2018-6.8%
Q1 2018-17.8%
Q4 2017+10.0%
Q3 2017-10.3%
Q2 2017-1.1%
Q1 2017-6.7%
Q4 2016+1.0%
Q3 2016+9.4%
Q2 2016+11.8%
Q1 2016+7.7%
Q4 2015-6.1%
Q3 2015-5.2%
Q2 2015+2.8%
Q1 2015-6.7%
Q4 2014-8.5%
Q3 2014+4.7%
Q2 2014-6.8%
Q1 2014-3.7%
Q4 2013-4.9%
Q3 2013-11.8%
Q2 2013+6.7%
Q1 2013-4.0%
Q4 2012+7.0%
Q3 2012-2.2%
Q2 2012-2.4%
Q4 2011+2.2%
Q1 2012+2.2%

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