NYSE$TSN

Tyson Foods Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Tyson Foods' Q3 results were impacted by COVID-19 related expenses, but the company delivered strong results led by strength in Beef and Pork segments.

Tyson Foods reported a decrease in sales and earnings per share for the third quarter of 2020, primarily due to COVID-19 related expenses. However, the company saw strong performance in its Beef and Pork segments.

  • GAAP EPS of $1.44, down 22% from prior year; Adjusted EPS of $1.40, down 5% from prior year
  • GAAP operating income of $775 million and Adjusted operating income of $760 million
  • Total Company GAAP operating margin of 7.7% and adjusted operating margin of 7.6%
  • Liquidity of $3.1 billion at June 27, 2020

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$10B

Previous: $10.9B-7.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.40

Previous: $1.47-4.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$907M

Previous: -$971M+6.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$380M

Previous: -$295M-28.8%
Net Income

$527M

Previous: $676M-22.0%
Operating Income

$775M

Previous: $781M-0.8%
Gross Profit

$1.31B

Previous: $1.34B-1.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.37B

Previous: $406M+236.2%
Total Assets

$34.6B

Previous: $33.7B+2.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Tyson Foods · Revenue · Quarterly

$10B

Q3 2020-7.9%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tyson Foods · $10.3B total across 5 segments · Q3 2020

  • Beef
    $3.65B-12.1%
  • Chicken
    $3.11B-6.6%
  • Prepared Foods
    $2.04B-2.6%
  • Pork
    $1.12B-15.7%
  • International
    $402M+12.9%

Forward guidance

For fiscal 2021, USDA indicates domestic protein production (beef, pork, chicken and turkey) should increase approximately 1% from fiscal 2020 levels. We expect net interest expense to approximate $440 million for fiscal 2021.

Tailwinds

  • USDA projects domestic production will increase approximately 3% in fiscal 2021 as compared to a COVID-19 impacted fiscal 2020 for beef.
  • We also expect ample supplies in regions where we operate our plants for beef.
  • USDA projects domestic production will increase approximately 1% in fiscal 2021 as compared to a COVID-19 impacted fiscal 2020 for pork.
  • USDA projects a relatively flat to slightly increased outlook for chicken production in fiscal 2021 as compared to fiscal 2020.
  • We expect improved results from our foreign operations in fiscal 2021.

Headwinds

  • The challenges are anticipated to increase our operating costs and negatively impact our volumes for the remainder of fiscal 2020 and into fiscal 2021.
  • Operationally, we have faced and expect to continue to face capacity utilization slowdowns in production facilities from team member absenteeism and choices we make to ensure team member health and safety.
  • Each of our segments has also experienced a shift in demand from foodservice to retail; however, the volume increases in retail have not been sufficient to offset the losses in foodservice and as a result, we expect decreases in volumes in the last quarter of fiscal 2020 in our Chicken and Prepared Foods segments.
  • Due to the inability to reasonably quantify the total impact of COVID-19 to our operations, we are not currently providing segment adjusted operating margin guidance.
  • We expect net interest expense to approximate $470 million for fiscal 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+15.8%

Q1 2016

Best reaction

-19.6%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+0.2%+7.4%-11.3%
Q1 2026+0.3%-0.1%-3.7%
Q4 2025+2.3%+2.5%+9.5%
Q2 2025-7.6%-9.0%-8.5%
Q1 2025+2.2%+2.6%+7.5%
Q4 2024+7.6%+9.4%+4.1%
Q3 2024+0.5%+0.8%+7.3%
Q2 2024-5.0%-3.8%-9.1%
Q1 2024-1.7%-6.7%-5.3%
Q4 2023+1.7%+3.8%+11.4%
Q3 2023-2.5%-2.2%-8.7%
Q2 2023-19.6%-19.5%-15.4%
Q1 2023-4.1%-5.7%-8.6%
Q4 2022-4.6%-2.8%-4.5%
Q3 2022-8.6%-6.5%-15.5%
Q2 2022+1.4%-0.9%-3.9%
Q1 2022+11.8%+11.0%+2.7%
Q4 2021+2.9%+0.3%+5.8%
Q3 2021+11.9%+15.2%+7.1%
Q2 2021+0.8%+1.9%-1.8%
Q1 2021-5.4%-5.2%+9.0%
Q4 2020+2.3%-2.6%+4.6%
Q3 2020+6.0%+2.2%+3.2%
Q2 2020-5.0%+0.6%+0.1%
Q1 2020-4.5%-3.7%-23.1%
Q4 2019+7.4%+9.2%+5.8%
Q3 2019+6.6%+10.8%+7.9%
Q2 2019+2.3%+6.3%+7.4%
Q1 2019-2.6%+0.8%+3.1%
Q4 2018-4.6%-2.3%-9.0%
Q3 2018+3.7%+4.2%+8.2%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.9%+1.8%
Q1 2018+2.0%+1.8%+3.1%
Q4 2017+2.6%+5.2%+11.5%
Q3 2017+2.7%+3.6%+2.6%
Q2 2017-8.6%-8.0%-4.5%
Q1 2017-1.1%-0.5%-5.3%
Q4 2016-12.5%-11.4%-8.0%
Q3 2016+1.1%+2.3%+2.2%
Q2 2016+3.0%
Q1 2016+15.8%
Q4 2015+12.5%
Q3 2015-6.2%
Q2 2015+0.4%
Q1 2015-1.6%
Q4 2014+4.9%
Q3 2014-0.9%
Q2 2014-10.3%
Q1 2014+4.4%
Q4 2013+7.0%
Q3 2013+7.7%
Q2 2013-1.3%
Q1 2013+3.2%
Q4 2012+13.0%
Q3 2012-4.1%
Q2 2012+6.7%
Q1 2012+2.8%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2011-5.0%
Q1 2011+2.4%
Q4 2010+3.5%
Q3 2010-6.2%
Q2 2010-3.2%
Q1 2009+7.9%

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