NYSE$TSN

Tyson Foods Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Tyson Foods' Q1 2023 performance reflected a mixed outcome, with record sales growth offset by market challenges and operational inefficiencies, leading to a significant decrease in operating income and earnings per share.

Tyson Foods reported a 2.5% increase in sales to $13.26 billion for Q1 2023, but experienced a 68% decrease in operating income to $467 million and a 71% decrease in EPS to $0.88, impacted by market dynamics and operational inefficiencies.

  • Sales increased by 2.5% to $13.26 billion compared to the prior year.
  • GAAP operating income decreased by 68% to $467 million, while adjusted operating income also fell by 68% to $453 million.
  • GAAP EPS decreased by 71% to $0.88, and adjusted EPS decreased by 70% to $0.85.
  • The company repurchased 4.9 million shares for $313 million and maintained liquidity of $2.9 billion at the end of December 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$13.3B

Previous: $12.9B+2.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.85

Previous: $2.87-70.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$589M

Previous: -$408M-44.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$273M

Previous: $713M-138.3%
Net Income

$316M

Previous: $1.12B-71.8%
Operating Income

$467M

Previous: $1.46B-67.9%
Gross Profit

$968M

Previous: $2.02B-52.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$654M

Previous: $2.96B-77.9%
Total Assets

$36.7B

Previous: $36.8B-0.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Tyson Foods · Revenue · Quarterly

$13.3B

Q1 2023+2.5%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tyson Foods · $13.7B total across 5 segments · Q1 2023

  • Beef
    $4.72B-5.6%
  • Chicken
    $4.26B+9.6%
  • Prepared Foods
    $2.54B+8.8%
  • Pork
    $1.53B-6.0%
  • International
    $612M+11.3%

Forward guidance

For fiscal year 2023, Tyson Foods anticipates sales between $55 billion and $57 billion, with capital expenditures around $2.5 billion and net interest expense approximating $330 million. The company expects its adjusted effective tax rate to be around 24%.

Tailwinds

  • USDA projects chicken production will increase approximately 3% in fiscal 2023 as compared to fiscal 2022.
  • We anticipate an adjusted operating margin of 8% to 10% in fiscal 2023 driven by volume growth, productivity and disciplined revenue management.
  • We anticipate improved results from our foreign operations in fiscal 2023.
  • We expect total liquidity, which was approximately $2.9 billion at December 31, 2022, to remain above our minimum liquidity target of $1.0 billion.
  • We believe we will exceed our aggregate $1 billion target in fiscal 2023, a year ahead of our plan.

Headwinds

  • USDA projects domestic production will decrease approximately 5% in fiscal 2023 as compared to fiscal 2022.
  • We anticipate an adjusted operating margin of 2% to 4% in fiscal 2023 as margins are expected to decrease from historically high levels.
  • USDA projects domestic production will be relatively flat in fiscal 2023 as compared to fiscal 2022.
  • We anticipate adjusted operating margin of 0% to 2% in fiscal 2023.
  • We expect net interest expense to approximate $330 million for fiscal 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+15.8%

Q1 2016

Best reaction

-19.6%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+0.2%+7.4%-11.3%
Q1 2026+0.3%-0.1%-3.7%
Q4 2025+2.3%+2.5%+9.5%
Q2 2025-7.6%-9.0%-8.5%
Q1 2025+2.2%+2.6%+7.5%
Q4 2024+7.6%+9.4%+4.1%
Q3 2024+0.5%+0.8%+7.3%
Q2 2024-5.0%-3.8%-9.1%
Q1 2024-1.7%-6.7%-5.3%
Q4 2023+1.7%+3.8%+11.4%
Q3 2023-2.5%-2.2%-8.7%
Q2 2023-19.6%-19.5%-15.4%
Q1 2023-4.1%-5.7%-8.6%
Q4 2022-4.6%-2.8%-4.5%
Q3 2022-8.6%-6.5%-15.5%
Q2 2022+1.4%-0.9%-3.9%
Q1 2022+11.8%+11.0%+2.7%
Q4 2021+2.9%+0.3%+5.8%
Q3 2021+11.9%+15.2%+7.1%
Q2 2021+0.8%+1.9%-1.8%
Q1 2021-5.4%-5.2%+9.0%
Q4 2020+2.3%-2.6%+4.6%
Q3 2020+6.0%+2.2%+3.2%
Q2 2020-5.0%+0.6%+0.1%
Q1 2020-4.5%-3.7%-23.1%
Q4 2019+7.4%+9.2%+5.8%
Q3 2019+6.6%+10.8%+7.9%
Q2 2019+2.3%+6.3%+7.4%
Q1 2019-2.6%+0.8%+3.1%
Q4 2018-4.6%-2.3%-9.0%
Q3 2018+3.7%+4.2%+8.2%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.9%+1.8%
Q1 2018+2.0%+1.8%+3.1%
Q4 2017+2.6%+5.2%+11.5%
Q3 2017+2.7%+3.6%+2.6%
Q2 2017-8.6%-8.0%-4.5%
Q1 2017-1.1%-0.5%-5.3%
Q4 2016-12.5%-11.4%-8.0%
Q3 2016+1.1%+2.3%+2.2%
Q2 2016+3.0%
Q1 2016+15.8%
Q4 2015+12.5%
Q3 2015-6.2%
Q2 2015+0.4%
Q1 2015-1.6%
Q4 2014+4.9%
Q3 2014-0.9%
Q2 2014-10.3%
Q1 2014+4.4%
Q4 2013+7.0%
Q3 2013+7.7%
Q2 2013-1.3%
Q1 2013+3.2%
Q4 2012+13.0%
Q3 2012-4.1%
Q2 2012+6.7%
Q1 2012+2.8%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2011-5.0%
Q1 2011+2.4%
Q4 2010+3.5%
Q3 2010-6.2%
Q2 2010-3.2%
Q1 2009+7.9%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro