NYSE$TSN

Tyson Foods Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Tyson Foods' Q3 2024 earnings showcased operational improvements, driving profitability year-over-year.

Tyson Foods reported a 1.6% increase in sales to $13.353 billion and an adjusted operating income of $491 million for Q3 2024, marking the highest adjusted operating income in the last seven quarters. The company's disciplined actions and focus on fundamentals drove a positive turnaround, with strong free cash flow generation.

  • Sales increased by 1.6% year-over-year, reaching $13.353 billion.
  • GAAP operating income improved significantly, reaching $341 million, a $691 million increase from the previous year.
  • Adjusted operating income surged by 174% year-over-year, totaling $491 million.
  • Adjusted EPS rose to $0.87, a 480% increase compared to the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$13.4B

Previous: $13.1B+1.6%
EPS

$0.54

Previous: $0.15+260.0%
Adj. Operating Margin

3.7%

No prior period
Adj. AOI Beef

-$69M

No prior period
Adj. AOI Pork

$22M

No prior period
Adj. AOI Chicken

$307M

No prior period
Adj. AOI Prepared Foods

$203M

No prior period
Adj. AOI Total

$491M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$884M

Previous: -$1.56B+43.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$693M

Previous: -$1.98B+65.0%
Net Income

$191M

Previous: -$417M+145.8%
Operating Income

$341M

Previous: -$350M+197.4%
Gross Profit

$878M

Previous: $677M+29.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.57B

Previous: $699M+267.5%
Total Assets

$37.7B

Previous: $36.8B+2.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Tyson Foods · Revenue · Quarterly

$13.4B

Q3 2024+1.6%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tyson Foods · $13.8B total across 5 segments · Q4 2023

  • Beef
    $5.03B+3.5%
  • Chicken
    $4.16B-10.0%
  • Prepared Foods
    $2.5B-0.6%
  • Pork
    $1.49B-6.9%
  • International
    $636M-0.3%

Forward guidance

Tyson Foods anticipates relatively flat sales for fiscal year 2024 compared to fiscal year 2023. The company expects capital expenditures between $1.2 billion and $1.3 billion and net interest expense to approximate $395 million. The adjusted effective tax rate is projected to be 23-24%.

Tailwinds

  • USDA projects domestic protein production (beef, pork, chicken and turkey) should increase slightly compared to fiscal 2023 levels.
  • Anticipate adjusted operating income of $100 million to $200 million in fiscal 2024 for Pork.
  • Anticipate adjusted operating income of $850 million to $950 million for fiscal 2024 for Chicken.
  • We anticipate adjusted operating income of $850 million to $950 million in fiscal 2024 for Prepared Foods.
  • We anticipate improved results from our foreign operations in fiscal 2024 on an adjusted basis.

Headwinds

  • USDA projects domestic beef production will decrease approximately 2% in fiscal 2024 as compared to fiscal 2023.
  • We anticipate adjusted operating loss between ($400) million and ($300) million in fiscal 2024 for Beef.
  • USDA projects chicken production will be flat in fiscal 2024 as compared to fiscal 2023.
  • Expect sales to be relatively flat in fiscal 2024 as compared to fiscal 2023.
  • We anticipate using existing liquidity to retire the $1.25 billion senior notes due August 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+15.8%

Q1 2016

Best reaction

-19.6%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+0.2%+7.4%-11.3%
Q1 2026+0.3%-0.1%-3.7%
Q4 2025+2.3%+2.5%+9.5%
Q2 2025-7.6%-9.0%-8.5%
Q1 2025+2.2%+2.6%+7.5%
Q4 2024+7.6%+9.4%+4.1%
Q3 2024+0.5%+0.8%+7.3%
Q2 2024-5.0%-3.8%-9.1%
Q1 2024-1.7%-6.7%-5.3%
Q4 2023+1.7%+3.8%+11.4%
Q3 2023-2.5%-2.2%-8.7%
Q2 2023-19.6%-19.5%-15.4%
Q1 2023-4.1%-5.7%-8.6%
Q4 2022-4.6%-2.8%-4.5%
Q3 2022-8.6%-6.5%-15.5%
Q2 2022+1.4%-0.9%-3.9%
Q1 2022+11.8%+11.0%+2.7%
Q4 2021+2.9%+0.3%+5.8%
Q3 2021+11.9%+15.2%+7.1%
Q2 2021+0.8%+1.9%-1.8%
Q1 2021-5.4%-5.2%+9.0%
Q4 2020+2.3%-2.6%+4.6%
Q3 2020+6.0%+2.2%+3.2%
Q2 2020-5.0%+0.6%+0.1%
Q1 2020-4.5%-3.7%-23.1%
Q4 2019+7.4%+9.2%+5.8%
Q3 2019+6.6%+10.8%+7.9%
Q2 2019+2.3%+6.3%+7.4%
Q1 2019-2.6%+0.8%+3.1%
Q4 2018-4.6%-2.3%-9.0%
Q3 2018+3.7%+4.2%+8.2%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.9%+1.8%
Q1 2018+2.0%+1.8%+3.1%
Q4 2017+2.6%+5.2%+11.5%
Q3 2017+2.7%+3.6%+2.6%
Q2 2017-8.6%-8.0%-4.5%
Q1 2017-1.1%-0.5%-5.3%
Q4 2016-12.5%-11.4%-8.0%
Q3 2016+1.1%+2.3%+2.2%
Q2 2016+3.0%
Q1 2016+15.8%
Q4 2015+12.5%
Q3 2015-6.2%
Q2 2015+0.4%
Q1 2015-1.6%
Q4 2014+4.9%
Q3 2014-0.9%
Q2 2014-10.3%
Q1 2014+4.4%
Q4 2013+7.0%
Q3 2013+7.7%
Q2 2013-1.3%
Q1 2013+3.2%
Q4 2012+13.0%
Q3 2012-4.1%
Q2 2012+6.7%
Q1 2012+2.8%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2011-5.0%
Q1 2011+2.4%
Q4 2010+3.5%
Q3 2010-6.2%
Q2 2010-3.2%
Q1 2009+7.9%

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