NYSE$TSN

Tyson Foods Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported flat sales but experienced challenges in the protein market, with strong performance in branded foods.

Tyson Foods reported flat sales compared to the prior year, but faced challenges in the protein market. The company saw strong performance in its branded foods business and is focused on its growth strategy and meeting customer needs. Adjusted operating income and EPS decreased significantly year-over-year.

  • Sales of $13.133 billion were flat compared to the prior year.
  • GAAP operating loss was $49 million, a decrease of 104% year-over-year; Adjusted operating income was $65 million, a decrease of 94% year-over-year.
  • GAAP EPS was ($0.28), down 112% from prior year; Adjusted EPS was ($0.04), down 102% from prior year.
  • The company had liquidity of $2.2 billion at April 1, 2023, and entered into $1.75 billion of new term loan facilities on May 3, 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$13.1B

Previous: $13.1B+0.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.04

Previous: $2.29-101.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.1B

Previous: -$847M-29.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.19B

Previous: -$18M-6533.3%
Net Income

-$97M

Previous: $829M-111.7%
Operating Income

-$49M

Previous: $1.16B-104.2%
Gross Profit

$527M

Previous: $1.74B-69.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$543M

Previous: $1.15B-52.8%
Total Assets

$36.8B

Previous: $35.9B+2.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Tyson Foods · Revenue · Quarterly

$13.1B

Q2 2023+0.1%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tyson Foods · $13.5B total across 5 segments · Q2 2023

  • Beef
    $4.62B-8.3%
  • Chicken
    $4.43B+8.4%
  • Prepared Foods
    $2.42B+1.2%
  • Pork
    $1.42B-9.2%
  • International
    $634M+12.2%

Forward guidance

For fiscal year 2023, USDA projects a slight increase in domestic protein production. Tyson anticipates sales of $53 billion to $54 billion and capital expenditures of approximately $2.3 billion. Net interest expense is expected to be around $340 million, and the adjusted effective tax rate is projected to be around 22%.

Tailwinds

  • We anticipate an adjusted operating margin of 8% to 10% in fiscal 2023 driven by volume growth, productivity and disciplined revenue management (Prepared Foods).
  • We anticipate improved results from our foreign operations in fiscal 2023 (International/Other).
  • We expect sales to be $53 billion to $54 billion in fiscal 2023.
  • We expect capital expenditures of approximately $2.3 billion for fiscal 2023. Capital expenditures include spending for capacity expansion and utilization, automation to alleviate labor challenges and brand and product innovation.
  • We expect total liquidity, which was approximately $2.2 billion at April 1, 2023, to remain above our minimum liquidity target of $1.0 billion.

Headwinds

  • USDA projects domestic production will decrease approximately 4% in fiscal 2023 as compared to fiscal 2022 (Beef).
  • We anticipate an adjusted operating margin of (1)% to 1% in fiscal 2023 as margins are expected to decrease (Beef).
  • USDA projects domestic production will be relatively flat in fiscal 2023 as compared to fiscal 2022 (Pork).
  • We anticipate adjusted operating margin of (2)% to 0% in fiscal 2023 (Pork).
  • We anticipate an adjusted operating margin of (1)% to 1% for fiscal 2023 (Chicken).

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+15.8%

Q1 2016

Best reaction

-19.6%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+0.2%+7.4%-11.3%
Q1 2026+0.3%-0.1%-3.7%
Q4 2025+2.3%+2.5%+9.5%
Q2 2025-7.6%-9.0%-8.5%
Q1 2025+2.2%+2.6%+7.5%
Q4 2024+7.6%+9.4%+4.1%
Q3 2024+0.5%+0.8%+7.3%
Q2 2024-5.0%-3.8%-9.1%
Q1 2024-1.7%-6.7%-5.3%
Q4 2023+1.7%+3.8%+11.4%
Q3 2023-2.5%-2.2%-8.7%
Q2 2023-19.6%-19.5%-15.4%
Q1 2023-4.1%-5.7%-8.6%
Q4 2022-4.6%-2.8%-4.5%
Q3 2022-8.6%-6.5%-15.5%
Q2 2022+1.4%-0.9%-3.9%
Q1 2022+11.8%+11.0%+2.7%
Q4 2021+2.9%+0.3%+5.8%
Q3 2021+11.9%+15.2%+7.1%
Q2 2021+0.8%+1.9%-1.8%
Q1 2021-5.4%-5.2%+9.0%
Q4 2020+2.3%-2.6%+4.6%
Q3 2020+6.0%+2.2%+3.2%
Q2 2020-5.0%+0.6%+0.1%
Q1 2020-4.5%-3.7%-23.1%
Q4 2019+7.4%+9.2%+5.8%
Q3 2019+6.6%+10.8%+7.9%
Q2 2019+2.3%+6.3%+7.4%
Q1 2019-2.6%+0.8%+3.1%
Q4 2018-4.6%-2.3%-9.0%
Q3 2018+3.7%+4.2%+8.2%
Q2 2018-0.5%+1.9%+1.8%
Q1 2018+2.0%+1.8%+3.1%
Q4 2017+2.6%+5.2%+11.5%
Q3 2017+2.7%+3.6%+2.6%
Q2 2017-8.6%-8.0%-4.5%
Q1 2017-1.1%-0.5%-5.3%
Q4 2016-12.5%-11.4%-8.0%
Q3 2016+1.1%+2.3%+2.2%
Q2 2016+3.0%
Q1 2016+15.8%
Q4 2015+12.5%
Q3 2015-6.2%
Q2 2015+0.4%
Q1 2015-1.6%
Q4 2014+4.9%
Q3 2014-0.9%
Q2 2014-10.3%
Q1 2014+4.4%
Q4 2013+7.0%
Q3 2013+7.7%
Q2 2013-1.3%
Q1 2013+3.2%
Q4 2012+13.0%
Q3 2012-4.1%
Q2 2012+6.7%
Q1 2012+2.8%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2011-5.0%
Q1 2011+2.4%
Q4 2010+3.5%
Q3 2010-6.2%
Q2 2010-3.2%
Q1 2009+7.9%

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