NYSE$TSEOF

Trinseo Plc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Trinseo's fourth quarter earnings were reported, revealing a mixed performance influenced by strategic acquisitions and external economic factors.

Trinseo reported a net income of $1 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $133 million for Q4 2021. The company's results were impacted by higher natural gas prices in Europe and supply chain disruptions, but were supported by stronger margins and pricing actions.

  • Net sales increased by 69% compared to the prior year, driven by higher prices and the addition of acquired businesses.
  • Net income from continuing operations was $1 million, a decrease of $65 million year-over-year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $133 million, a slight increase of $3 million compared to the prior year.
  • Free cash flow was $159 million, including a working capital source of $116 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.3B

Previous: $860M+51.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.83

Previous: $1.84-54.9%
Free Cash Flow

$159M

Previous: $106M+49.7%
Net Income

$1M

Previous: $67M-98.5%
Operating Income

$47.2M

Previous: $111M-57.3%
Gross Profit

$122M

Previous: $150M-18.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$573M

Previous: $589M-2.7%
Total Assets

$4.71B

Previous: $2.85B+65.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.2M

Previous: $2.4M+75.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Trinseo · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.3B

Q4 2021+51%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Trinseo · $583M total across 2 segments · Q4 2021

  • Latex Binders
    $306M+52.9%
  • Engineered Materials
    $277M+366.1%

Forward guidance

Trinseo anticipates first quarter earnings to be similar to the prior year, with full-year 2022 net income from continuing operations expected to be between $294 million and $332 million and Adjusted EBITDA between $700 million and $750 million.

Tailwinds

  • Strong end market demand observed so far.
  • Pricing actions already taken.
  • Decline in natural gas costs.
  • Profitability from recently acquired businesses.
  • Synergies from acquired businesses.

Headwinds

  • No specific negatives were mentioned but, the company cited a number of factors that might cause differences, including the ability to complete the potential sale of our styrenics businesses; our ability to successfully execute our transformation strategy and business strategy; our ability to integrate acquired businesses; global supply chain volatility and increased costs or disruption in the supply of raw materials; increased energy costs or costs for transportation of our products; the nature of investment opportunities presented to the Company from time to time; and those discussed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K, under Part I, Item 1A —"Risk Factors" and elsewhere in our other reports, filings and furnishings made with the

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-5.3%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

25 / 49 earnings

Positive

+16.0%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-34.9%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-16.7%-16.7%-91.7%
Q4 2025+0.0%+0.0%-3.6%
Q3 2025-2.4%-9.5%-47.1%
Q1 2025-34.9%-42.0%-27.7%
Q4 2024+6.9%+18.5%-11.2%
Q3 2024-8.9%-13.4%+5.9%
Q2 2024-3.2%-3.6%+44.2%
Q1 2024+16.0%-7.2%-3.4%
Q4 2023-16.8%-18.0%-10.8%
Q3 2023+2.9%-6.2%+1.0%
Q2 2023-8.4%-18.0%-35.7%
Q1 2023+2.4%-13.9%-17.0%
Q4 2022-12.7%+7.8%-5.6%
Q3 2022+8.5%+20.6%+20.0%
Q2 2022-12.9%-7.5%-26.0%
Q1 2022-5.8%-12.1%-4.4%
Q4 2021+9.0%+9.0%-9.3%
Q3 2021-4.2%-5.2%-11.5%
Q2 2021-7.1%-3.3%-4.1%
Q1 2021+0.3%+0.0%-1.3%
Q4 2020-1.0%+6.2%+25.1%
Q3 2020+15.5%+23.0%+35.4%
Q2 2020-11.6%-12.8%+3.2%
Q1 2020+3.8%+6.9%+38.4%
Q4 2019-3.5%-2.7%-34.2%
Q3 2019+2.8%+4.0%-19.0%
Q2 2019-7.3%-9.1%+10.1%
Q1 2019+7.3%+2.8%-14.9%
Q4 2018+0.6%+4.4%-5.1%
Q3 2018-6.6%-24.7%-22.3%
Q2 2018+2.1%+7.7%+5.7%
Q1 2018+0.7%+1.4%+2.8%
Q4 2017-2.7%+1.0%-6.8%
Q3 2017+1.5%-0.1%-0.2%
Q2 2017-7.7%-9.9%-3.5%
Q1 2017-8.2%-6.7%-2.1%
Q4 2016-0.5%-0.8%-7.8%
Q3 2016-4.3%-5.1%+12.4%
Q2 2016-0.7%+2.1%+16.2%
Q1 2016+3.4%
Q4 2015+6.3%
Q3 2015+3.1%
Q2 2015+7.6%
Q1 2014+2.5%
Q1 2015+7.7%
Q4 2014+1.5%
Q3 2014+1.0%
Q4 2013+2.1%
Q2 2014+2.4%
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q1 2011
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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