NYSE$TSEOF

Trinseo Plc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Trinseo reported a net loss of $87 million and adjusted EBITDA of $66 million for Q3 2024.

Trinseo's Q3 2024 results showed a net loss of $87 million, but an improved adjusted EBITDA of $66 million compared to the previous year. The company's net sales reached $868 million, slightly below the prior year. Restructuring initiatives and moderation of European input costs contributed to profitability improvements.

  • Net loss was $87 million, including $26 million in pre-tax restructuring charges, with an EPS of negative $2.47.
  • Adjusted EBITDA reached $66 million, $25 million higher than the previous year.
  • Free Cash Flow was negative $3 million, showing a sequential improvement of $53 million.
  • Cash at the end of Q3 was $167 million, with $177 million in additional available liquidity.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$868M

Previous: $879M-1.3%
EPS

-$2.47

Previous: -$1.03-139.8%
Adjusted EBITDA

$66.1M

Previous: $41M+61.2%
EBITDA

$36.7M

No prior period
Adjusted Net Loss

-$57.5M

No prior period
Cash Provided by Operations

$8.8M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$12.2M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$87.3M

Previous: -$38.4M-127.3%
Net Income

-$87.3M

Previous: -$38.4M-127.3%
Operating Income

-$12.4M

Previous: -$16.4M+24.4%
Gross Profit

$80.6M

Previous: $31.3M+157.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$165M

Previous: $279M-40.7%
Total Assets

$2.88B

Previous: $3.27B-11.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.4M

Previous: $4.1M-17.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Trinseo · Revenue · Quarterly

$868M

Q3 2024-1.3%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 14 quarters(36%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Trinseo · $408M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Latex Binders
    $222M-34.9%
  • Engineered Materials
    $186M-23.4%

Forward guidance

Trinseo expects sequentially lower Adjusted EBITDA due to year-end seasonality, but still higher than the prior year, and anticipates positive free cash flow in Q4 due to seasonal working capital improvements.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA expected to be higher than the prior year due to restructuring benefits.
  • Free cash flow expected to turn positive due to seasonal working capital improvements.
  • Restructuring actions including consolidation of business management and support-function roles.
  • Decision to exit virgin polycarbonate production at the Stade facility.
  • Expects benefits from restructuring initiatives

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA expected to be sequentially lower due to year-end seasonality.
  • Low demand persists in many end markets.
  • Timing of a broad market improvement is uncertain.
  • Challenging macroeconomic backdrop.
  • Fourth quarter 2024 net loss of $81 million to $71 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-5.3%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

25 / 49 earnings

Positive

+16.0%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-34.9%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-16.7%-16.7%-91.7%
Q4 2025+0.0%+0.0%-3.6%
Q3 2025-2.4%-9.5%-47.1%
Q1 2025-34.9%-42.0%-27.7%
Q4 2024+6.9%+18.5%-11.2%
Q3 2024-8.9%-13.4%+5.9%
Q2 2024-3.2%-3.6%+44.2%
Q1 2024+16.0%-7.2%-3.4%
Q4 2023-16.8%-18.0%-10.8%
Q3 2023+2.9%-6.2%+1.0%
Q2 2023-8.4%-18.0%-35.7%
Q1 2023+2.4%-13.9%-17.0%
Q4 2022-12.7%+7.8%-5.6%
Q3 2022+8.5%+20.6%+20.0%
Q2 2022-12.9%-7.5%-26.0%
Q1 2022-5.8%-12.1%-4.4%
Q4 2021+9.0%+9.0%-9.3%
Q3 2021-4.2%-5.2%-11.5%
Q2 2021-7.1%-3.3%-4.1%
Q1 2021+0.3%+0.0%-1.3%
Q4 2020-1.0%+6.2%+25.1%
Q3 2020+15.5%+23.0%+35.4%
Q2 2020-11.6%-12.8%+3.2%
Q1 2020+3.8%+6.9%+38.4%
Q4 2019-3.5%-2.7%-34.2%
Q3 2019+2.8%+4.0%-19.0%
Q2 2019-7.3%-9.1%+10.1%
Q1 2019+7.3%+2.8%-14.9%
Q4 2018+0.6%+4.4%-5.1%
Q3 2018-6.6%-24.7%-22.3%
Q2 2018+2.1%+7.7%+5.7%
Q1 2018+0.7%+1.4%+2.8%
Q4 2017-2.7%+1.0%-6.8%
Q3 2017+1.5%-0.1%-0.2%
Q2 2017-7.7%-9.9%-3.5%
Q1 2017-8.2%-6.7%-2.1%
Q4 2016-0.5%-0.8%-7.8%
Q3 2016-4.3%-5.1%+12.4%
Q2 2016-0.7%+2.1%+16.2%
Q1 2016+3.4%
Q4 2015+6.3%
Q3 2015+3.1%
Q2 2015+7.6%
Q1 2014+2.5%
Q1 2015+7.7%
Q4 2014+1.5%
Q3 2014+1.0%
Q4 2013+2.1%
Q2 2014+2.4%
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q1 2011
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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