NYSE$TOST

Toast Inc. · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Toast delivered a strong performance, marked by significant growth in ARR, GPV, and locations, alongside achieving profitability and strong cash flow.

Toast reported a strong third quarter with significant growth in key metrics. The company added approximately 7,000 net new locations, grew ARR by 28% to $1.6 billion, and increased GPV by 24% to $41.7 billion. GAAP net income was $56 million, a significant improvement from the previous year's net loss. The company also provided guidance for the fourth quarter and full year, expecting continued growth and profitability.

  • Added approximately 7,000 net new locations in Q3 2024.
  • ARR grew 28% year-over-year to $1.6 billion as of September 30, 2024.
  • GPV increased 24% year-over-year to $41.7 billion.
  • Net income was $56 million and Adjusted EBITDA was $113 million in Q3 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.31B

Previous: $1.03B+26.5%
EPS

$0.07

Previous: -$0.09+177.8%
Gross Payment Volume

$41.7B

Previous: $33.7B+23.7%
Total ARR

$1.55B

Previous: $1.22B+27.6%
Payments ARR

$774M

No prior period
Subscription ARR

$780M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$113M

No prior period
Total Locations

126.8K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$12M

Previous: -$4M-200.0%
Free Cash Flow

$56M

Previous: -$35M+260.0%
Net Income

$56M

Previous: -$31M+280.6%
Operating Income

$34M

Previous: -$59M+157.6%
Gross Profit

$322M

Previous: $226M+42.5%
R&D Expense

$88M

Previous: $87M+1.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$60M

Previous: $71M-15.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Toast · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.31B

Q3 2024+26.5%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Toast · $1.03B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Financial Technology Solutions
    $856M+36.3%
  • Subscription Services
    $131M+45.6%
  • Hardware
    $34M+25.9%
  • Professional Services
    $11M+57.1%

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter ending December 31, 2024, Toast expects Non-GAAP subscription services and financial technology solutions gross profit in the range of $370 million to $380 million (32-35% growth compared to Q4 2023) and Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $90 million to $100 million. For the full year ending December 31, 2024, Toast expects Non-GAAP subscription services and financial technology solutions gross profit in the range of $1,395 million to $1,405 million (32-33% growth compared to 2023, up from 27-29% growth) and Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $352 million to $362 million (up from $285 million to $305 million).

Tailwinds

  • Non-GAAP subscription services and financial technology solutions gross profit growth.
  • Adjusted EBITDA growth.
  • Continued innovation with new product launches.
  • Expansion into new verticals and geographies.
  • Disciplined investments to differentiate the platform.

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty around forecasting adjusting items for GAAP reconciliation.
  • Potential impact of unavailable information on future GAAP financial results.
  • Risks and uncertainties described in Toast’s filings with the SEC.
  • Dependence on customer satisfaction, pricing, and competitive offerings.
  • Potential fluctuations in payments volume due to economic conditions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

13 / 23 earnings

Positive

+18.2%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-25.0%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-14.8%-24.0%-16.2%
Q4 2025+4.6%+5.9%+5.6%
Q3 2025+9.5%+7.1%+0.1%
Q1 2025+11.4%+23.0%+20.1%
Q4 2024+0.7%-9.5%-12.0%
Q3 2024+16.6%+22.7%+20.8%
Q2 2024-5.1%-1.2%+0.8%
Q1 2024+13.8%+13.9%-4.0%
Q4 2023+11.3%+8.1%+16.9%
Q3 2023-12.7%-17.3%-11.7%
Q2 2023+13.8%+18.4%+7.1%
Q1 2023+9.1%+0.7%+13.3%
Q4 2022-25.0%-24.8%-34.1%
Q3 2022+16.1%+15.9%+9.4%
Q2 2021+5.6%+7.4%+18.1%
Q2 2022+6.4%+11.8%+16.1%
Q1 2021-2.7%-7.6%+4.8%
Q1 2022+18.2%+6.5%+18.1%
Q4 2019-0.1%-12.8%+5.9%
Q4 2021-16.2%-23.9%-31.0%
Q3 2021-14.3%-17.5%-36.3%
Q3 2020-14.3%-17.5%-36.3%
Q4 2020-14.3%-17.5%-36.3%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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