NYSE$TOST

Toast Inc. · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Toast's Q4 2023 financial results were announced, revealing substantial growth in key areas.

Toast reported a strong Q4 2023 with a 35% increase in revenue to $1.0 billion, a 32% increase in Gross Payment Volume (GPV) to $33.7 billion, and a 35% increase in ARR to $1.2 billion. The company also saw improvements in profitability, with net loss decreasing to $(36) million and free cash flow increasing to $81 million.

  • ARR increased 35% year-over-year to $1.2 billion.
  • Gross Payment Volume (GPV) increased 32% year-over-year to $33.7 billion.
  • Total revenue grew 35% year-over-year to $1.0 billion.
  • Net loss improved to $(36) million compared to $(99) million in the same quarter last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.04B

Previous: $769M+34.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.07

Previous: -$0.19+63.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$38M

Previous: $3M-1366.7%
Free Cash Flow

$81M

Previous: -$29M+379.3%
Net Income

-$36M

Previous: -$99M+63.6%
Operating Income

-$56M

Previous: -$99M+43.4%
Gross Profit

$226M

Previous: $158M+43.0%
R&D Expense

$93M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$71M

Previous: $61M+16.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Toast · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.04B

Q4 2023+34.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Toast · $1.03B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Financial Technology Solutions
    $856M+36.3%
  • Subscription Services
    $131M+45.6%
  • Hardware
    $34M+25.9%
  • Professional Services
    $11M+57.1%

Forward guidance

For Q1 2024, Toast anticipates non-GAAP subscription services and financial technology solutions gross profit between $275 million and $285 million, with adjusted EBITDA between $15 million and $25 million. For the full year 2024, they expect non-GAAP subscription services and financial technology solutions gross profit between $1.3 billion and $1.32 billion, and adjusted EBITDA between $200 million and $220 million.

Tailwinds

  • Non-GAAP subscription services and financial technology solutions gross profit in the range of $275 million to $285 million (20-24% growth compared to Q1 2023)
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $15 million to $25 million
  • Non-GAAP subscription services and financial technology solutions gross profit in the range of $1,300 million to $1,320 million (23-25% growth compared to 2023)
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $200 million to $220 million
  • Anticipate GAAP Operating Income profit by first half 2025

Headwinds

  • Outlook constitutes forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws and is based on a number of assumptions and subject to a number of risks.
  • A reconciliation of these forward looking Non-GAAP measures to the corresponding GAAP measure is not available without unreasonable effort because of the inherent difficulty of accurately forecasting the occurrence and financial impact of the various adjusting items necessary for such reconciliations that have not yet occurred
  • Company expects to incur restructuring and restructuring-related charges of approximately $45 to $55 million, primarily related to severance and severance-related costs and certain other costs related to facilities.
  • The Company expects to complete the Plan by the end of fiscal year 2024.
  • Toast’s Board of Directors approved a restructuring plan (the “Plan”) designed to promote overall operating expense efficiency, including a reduction in force that is expected to impact approximately 550 employees, as well as certain other actions to reorganize the Company’s facilities and operations.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

13 / 23 earnings

Positive

+18.2%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-25.0%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-14.8%-24.0%-16.2%
Q4 2025+4.6%+5.9%+5.6%
Q3 2025+9.5%+7.1%+0.1%
Q1 2025+11.4%+23.0%+20.1%
Q4 2024+0.7%-9.5%-12.0%
Q3 2024+16.6%+22.7%+20.8%
Q2 2024-5.1%-1.2%+0.8%
Q1 2024+13.8%+13.9%-4.0%
Q4 2023+11.3%+8.1%+16.9%
Q3 2023-12.7%-17.3%-11.7%
Q2 2023+13.8%+18.4%+7.1%
Q1 2023+9.1%+0.7%+13.3%
Q4 2022-25.0%-24.8%-34.1%
Q3 2022+16.1%+15.9%+9.4%
Q2 2021+5.6%+7.4%+18.1%
Q2 2022+6.4%+11.8%+16.1%
Q1 2021-2.7%-7.6%+4.8%
Q1 2022+18.2%+6.5%+18.1%
Q4 2019-0.1%-12.8%+5.9%
Q4 2021-16.2%-23.9%-31.0%
Q3 2021-14.3%-17.5%-36.3%
Q3 2020-14.3%-17.5%-36.3%
Q4 2020-14.3%-17.5%-36.3%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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