NYSE$REPX

Riley Exploration Permian Inc · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong fiscal quarter with continued growth across operating and financial metrics.

Riley Permian reported a strong fiscal quarter with increased total production by 31% and net income of $21.4 million. The company delivered production at the high-end of guidance and improved overall margins. Significant progress was made on the EOR pilot project, with water injection planned for the second quarter and CO2 injection scheduled for later in the summer.

  • Increased total production by 31% to 9.9 MBoe per day (73% oil) compared to the first quarter of 2021.
  • Reported net income of $21.4 million with income from operations of $33.4 million.
  • Generated $27.1 million of Adjusted EBITDAX, $21.7 million of operating cash flows and $13.9 million of Adjusted Net Income.
  • Realized a Cash Margin of $46.09 per Boe before derivative settlements or $28.58 per Boe after derivative settlements.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$57.3M

No prior period
EPS (adj)

$0.71

No prior period
Realized Oil Price

$75.67

No prior period
Oil Production

7.3K

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDAX

$27.1M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$29.1M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$7.73M

No prior period
Net Income

$21.4M

No prior period
Operating Income

$33.4M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$15.9M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$8.32M

No prior period
Total Assets

$396M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$1.02M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Riley Exploration · Revenue · Quarterly

$57.3M

Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 6 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Riley Permian forecasts fiscal second quarter 2022 accrued capital expenditures before acquisitions to total approximately $26 million to $32 million. Riley Permian forecasts fiscal second quarter 2022 oil production to average 7.25 MBbls per day to 7.50 MBbls per day and total equivalent production guidance of 9.4 MBoe per day to 10.0 MBoe per day.

Tailwinds

  • Larger weighting of capital spending during the first half of fiscal 2022.
  • Expect a larger volume of contractual, firm capacity, which should lead to increased sales for gas and NGLs and reduced flaring.
  • Fiscal second quarter 2022 oil production to average 7.25 MBbls per day to 7.50 MBbls per day.
  • Total equivalent production guidance of 9.4 MBoe per day to 10.0 MBoe per day for the fiscal second quarter of 2022.
  • Forecasts second fiscal quarter of 2022 LOE of approximately $6.5 million to $8.0 million and cash G&A expenses of approximately $3.5 million to $4.5 million

Headwinds

  • Primary midstream gas gathering & processing partner is planning a temporary shutdown which will impact sales of natural gas and NGLs.
  • Interim uncertainty as to the exact duration of such shutdown and the impact on Company gas and NGL sales.
  • Accrued capital expenditures before acquisitions to total approximately $26 million to $32 million.
  • Development activity timing differences falling outside of the quarter.
  • Total capital expenditures of $29.1 million for the three months ended December 31, 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+8.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+11.4%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

28 / 64 earnings

Positive

+21.0%

Q1 2019

Best reaction

-18.3%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-9.3%-5.5%-5.8%
Q4 2025+8.7%+8.1%+23.4%
Q3 2025-3.2%+3.7%+9.4%
Q1 2025+6.8%+18.4%+8.9%
Q4 2024+1.6%-2.2%-12.5%
Q3 2024+16.8%+22.9%+16.3%
Q2 2024+5.3%+11.0%+6.1%
Q1 2024+5.4%+0.9%+0.3%
Q4 2023+14.1%+13.7%+17.9%
Q3 2023-18.3%-16.8%-18.9%
Q2 2023-10.2%-6.9%-11.4%
Q1 2023-14.3%-16.6%-3.7%
Q4 2022+0.9%-0.6%+30.0%
Q3 2022+0.9%-3.9%-10.3%
Q2 2022-1.0%+4.9%+25.4%
Q1 2022+7.5%-5.3%+10.5%
Q4 2021+10.5%+3.0%+36.6%
Q3 2021-12.2%-13.2%+6.0%
Q2 2021-0.4%-7.8%+28.4%
Q4 2020+15.2%+28.4%+46.9%
Q3 2020-5.6%+9.8%+37.0%
Q2 2020+1.2%+2.4%+14.3%
Q1 2020-4.2%+12.5%+8.3%
Q4 2017+0.0%+20.0%+17.8%
Q4 2016+0.0%+20.0%+17.8%
Q4 2018+0.0%+20.0%+17.8%
Q4 2019+0.0%+20.0%+17.8%
Q3 2019-10.0%-5.1%-22.0%
Q2 2019-3.2%-2.8%-12.5%
Q1 2019+21.0%+6.8%+3.9%
Q3 2018+9.1%+10.0%-3.0%
Q2 2018+0.8%+4.0%+3.0%
Q1 2018-1.4%-5.6%+11.3%
Q3 2017+3.3%+3.3%+23.0%
Q2 2017+2.6%-3.2%+9.7%
Q1 2017+0.0%+169.2%+74.4%
Q3 2016+11.2%+11.1%+14.3%
Q2 2016+2.6%+2.6%-4.3%
Q1 2016-6.2%
Q4 2015-5.6%
Q3 2015+8.8%
Q2 2015-0.2%
Q1 2015-4.6%
Q4 2014-2.9%
Q3 2014-5.6%
Q2 2014-4.9%
Q4 2013-4.5%
Q1 2014-4.5%
Q3 2013-8.6%
Q2 2013+1.5%
Q1 2013-4.0%
Q4 2012-4.0%
Q3 2012-7.8%
Q2 2012-3.7%
Q1 2012-2.7%
Q4 2009+4.8%
Q4 2011+4.8%
Q3 2011+7.7%
Q4 2010+8.1%
Q2 2011+8.1%
Q1 2011-0.8%
Q3 2010-6.9%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q1 2010+2.1%

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