NYSE$REPX

Riley Exploration Permian Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Riley Exploration Permian reported strong results driven by higher production and improved commodity hedge settlements, while discontinuing the EOR Project.

Riley Exploration Permian reported Q3 2024 financial results, including revenues of $102.3 million, net income of $25.7 million, and adjusted EBITDAX of $71.7 million. The company averaged 23.4 MBoe/d of total equivalent production, with oil production of 15.5 MBbls/d. Riley Permian reduced debt by $35 million and generated $37.8 million in free cash flow.

  • Averaged 23.4 MBoe/d of total equivalent production with oil production of 15.5 MBbls/d.
  • Generated $72.1 million of operating cash flow.
  • Generated Free Cash Flow of $37.8 million.
  • Reduced the principal value of debt outstanding by $35.0 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$102M

Previous: $108M-5.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.49

Previous: $1.58-5.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$96.7M

Previous: -$120M+19.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$71M

Previous: -$112M+36.4%
Net Income

$25.7M

Previous: $8.65M+196.8%
Operating Income

$17.5M

Previous: $58.2M-70.0%
Gross Profit

-$815K

Previous: $6.27M-113.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$13.3M

Previous: $10.4M+28.5%
Total Assets

$998M

Previous: $953M+4.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.72M

Previous: $1.11M+55.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Riley Exploration · Revenue · Quarterly

$102M

Q3 2024-5.5%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Riley Permian provided fourth quarter guidance based on currently scheduled development activity and current market conditions.

Tailwinds

  • Total equivalent production is estimated to be 23.5 - 24.5 MBoe/d.
  • Oil production is estimated to be 15.5 - 16.1 MBbls/d.
  • Drilling and Completions and Capital Workovers expenditures are projected to be $18 - 21 million.
  • Infrastructure and Other expenditures are projected to be $14 - 21 million.
  • Total E&P Capex is projected to be $32 - 42 million.

Headwinds

  • Lease operating expense, including workover expense, is projected to be $8.00 - 9.00 per Boe.
  • Production tax is projected to be 6% - 8% of revenue.
  • Cash G&A is projected to be $2.50 - 3.00 per Boe.
  • Interest expense is projected to be $7.5 - 8.5 million.
  • Income Tax Cash Payment is projected to be $1.5 - 2.5 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+8.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+11.4%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

28 / 64 earnings

Positive

+21.0%

Q1 2019

Best reaction

-18.3%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-9.3%-5.5%-5.8%
Q4 2025+8.7%+8.1%+23.4%
Q3 2025-3.2%+3.7%+9.4%
Q1 2025+6.8%+18.4%+8.9%
Q4 2024+1.6%-2.2%-12.5%
Q3 2024+16.8%+22.9%+16.3%
Q2 2024+5.3%+11.0%+6.1%
Q1 2024+5.4%+0.9%+0.3%
Q4 2023+14.1%+13.7%+17.9%
Q3 2023-18.3%-16.8%-18.9%
Q2 2023-10.2%-6.9%-11.4%
Q1 2023-14.3%-16.6%-3.7%
Q4 2022+0.9%-0.6%+30.0%
Q3 2022+0.9%-3.9%-10.3%
Q2 2022-1.0%+4.9%+25.4%
Q1 2022+7.5%-5.3%+10.5%
Q4 2021+10.5%+3.0%+36.6%
Q3 2021-12.2%-13.2%+6.0%
Q2 2021-0.4%-7.8%+28.4%
Q4 2020+15.2%+28.4%+46.9%
Q3 2020-5.6%+9.8%+37.0%
Q2 2020+1.2%+2.4%+14.3%
Q1 2020-4.2%+12.5%+8.3%
Q4 2017+0.0%+20.0%+17.8%
Q4 2016+0.0%+20.0%+17.8%
Q4 2018+0.0%+20.0%+17.8%
Q4 2019+0.0%+20.0%+17.8%
Q3 2019-10.0%-5.1%-22.0%
Q2 2019-3.2%-2.8%-12.5%
Q1 2019+21.0%+6.8%+3.9%
Q3 2018+9.1%+10.0%-3.0%
Q2 2018+0.8%+4.0%+3.0%
Q1 2018-1.4%-5.6%+11.3%
Q3 2017+3.3%+3.3%+23.0%
Q2 2017+2.6%-3.2%+9.7%
Q1 2017+0.0%+169.2%+74.4%
Q3 2016+11.2%+11.1%+14.3%
Q2 2016+2.6%+2.6%-4.3%
Q1 2016-6.2%
Q4 2015-5.6%
Q3 2015+8.8%
Q2 2015-0.2%
Q1 2015-4.6%
Q4 2014-2.9%
Q3 2014-5.6%
Q2 2014-4.9%
Q4 2013-4.5%
Q1 2014-4.5%
Q3 2013-8.6%
Q2 2013+1.5%
Q1 2013-4.0%
Q4 2012-4.0%
Q3 2012-7.8%
Q2 2012-3.7%
Q1 2012-2.7%
Q4 2009+4.8%
Q4 2011+4.8%
Q3 2011+7.7%
Q4 2010+8.1%
Q2 2011+8.1%
Q1 2011-0.8%
Q3 2010-6.9%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q1 2010+2.1%

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