NYSE$REPX

Riley Exploration Permian Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial and operational results for the fiscal fourth quarter and year ended September 30, 2021.

Riley Permian reported a strong fiscal fourth quarter with a net income of $15.7 million and Adjusted EBITDAX of $24.5 million. The company increased production by 35% to 9.6 MBoe per day and realized a Cash Margin of $39.08 per Boe before derivative settlements.

  • Increased production by 35% to 9.6 MBoe per day compared to the same period in 2020.
  • Reported net income of $15.7 million with income from operations of $26.9 million.
  • Generated $24.5 million of Adjusted EBITDAX and $7.2 million of Free Cash Flow.
  • Realized a Cash Margin of $39.08 per Boe before derivative settlements or $26.41 per Boe after derivative settlements.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$48.6M

Previous: $746K+6416.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.94

Previous: -$69.76+101.3%
Realized Oil Price

$68.95

Previous: $30.89+123.2%
Oil Production

6.9K

Previous: 5.4K+28.5%
Adjusted EBITDAX

$24.5M

Previous: $14.3M+71.9%
Free Cash Flow

$7.24M

No prior period
Net Income

$15.7M

No prior period
Operating Income

$26.9M

Previous: $6.69M+302.1%
Gross Profit

$33.5M

Previous: $10.6M+216.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$17.1M

Previous: $1.56M+993.3%
Total Assets

$388M

Previous: $5.37M+7128.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$751K

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Riley Exploration · Revenue · Quarterly

$48.6M

Q4 2021+6,416.6%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 5 of 5 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Based on current market conditions, the Company forecasts fiscal first quarter 2022 accrued capital expenditures before acquisitions to total approximately $26 million to $32 million. Riley Permian forecasts fiscal first quarter 2022 oil production to average 7.0 MBbls per day to 7.3 MBbls per day, with total equivalent production to average 9.5 MBoe per day to 10.0 MBoe per day.

Tailwinds

  • Forecasts fiscal first quarter 2022 oil production to average 7.0 MBbls per day to 7.3 MBbls per day.
  • Estimates total equivalent production to average 9.5 MBoe per day to 10.0 MBoe per day for the first fiscal quarter of 2022.
  • Projects full-year fiscal 2022 accrued capital expenditures before acquisitions to total approximately $85 million to $95 million.
  • Believes this level of capital investment may correspond to full-year production growth of approximately 11% to 15% over full-year fiscal 2021 production levels.
  • Expects first fiscal quarter of 2022 LOE of approximately $7.25 to $7.75 per Boe and cash G&A expenses of approximately $4.00 to $4.75 per Boe.

Headwinds

  • Forecasts fiscal first quarter 2022 accrued capital expenditures before acquisitions to total approximately $26 million to $32 million.
  • Estimates first fiscal quarter of 2022 LOE of approximately $7.25 to $7.75 per Boe.
  • Projects cash G&A expenses of approximately $4.00 to $4.75 per Boe for the first fiscal quarter of 2022.
  • Full-year fiscal 2022 accrued capital expenditures before acquisitions to total approximately $85 million to $95 million.
  • The forward-looking statements in this press release are made as of the date hereof and are based on information available at that time.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+8.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+11.4%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

28 / 64 earnings

Positive

+21.0%

Q1 2019

Best reaction

-18.3%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-9.3%-5.5%-5.8%
Q4 2025+8.7%+8.1%+23.4%
Q3 2025-3.2%+3.7%+9.4%
Q1 2025+6.8%+18.4%+8.9%
Q4 2024+1.6%-2.2%-12.5%
Q3 2024+16.8%+22.9%+16.3%
Q2 2024+5.3%+11.0%+6.1%
Q1 2024+5.4%+0.9%+0.3%
Q4 2023+14.1%+13.7%+17.9%
Q3 2023-18.3%-16.8%-18.9%
Q2 2023-10.2%-6.9%-11.4%
Q1 2023-14.3%-16.6%-3.7%
Q4 2022+0.9%-0.6%+30.0%
Q3 2022+0.9%-3.9%-10.3%
Q2 2022-1.0%+4.9%+25.4%
Q1 2022+7.5%-5.3%+10.5%
Q4 2021+10.5%+3.0%+36.6%
Q3 2021-12.2%-13.2%+6.0%
Q2 2021-0.4%-7.8%+28.4%
Q4 2020+15.2%+28.4%+46.9%
Q3 2020-5.6%+9.8%+37.0%
Q2 2020+1.2%+2.4%+14.3%
Q1 2020-4.2%+12.5%+8.3%
Q4 2017+0.0%+20.0%+17.8%
Q4 2016+0.0%+20.0%+17.8%
Q4 2018+0.0%+20.0%+17.8%
Q4 2019+0.0%+20.0%+17.8%
Q3 2019-10.0%-5.1%-22.0%
Q2 2019-3.2%-2.8%-12.5%
Q1 2019+21.0%+6.8%+3.9%
Q3 2018+9.1%+10.0%-3.0%
Q2 2018+0.8%+4.0%+3.0%
Q1 2018-1.4%-5.6%+11.3%
Q3 2017+3.3%+3.3%+23.0%
Q2 2017+2.6%-3.2%+9.7%
Q1 2017+0.0%+169.2%+74.4%
Q3 2016+11.2%+11.1%+14.3%
Q2 2016+2.6%+2.6%-4.3%
Q1 2016-6.2%
Q4 2015-5.6%
Q3 2015+8.8%
Q2 2015-0.2%
Q1 2015-4.6%
Q4 2014-2.9%
Q3 2014-5.6%
Q2 2014-4.9%
Q4 2013-4.5%
Q1 2014-4.5%
Q3 2013-8.6%
Q2 2013+1.5%
Q1 2013-4.0%
Q4 2012-4.0%
Q3 2012-7.8%
Q2 2012-3.7%
Q1 2012-2.7%
Q4 2009+4.8%
Q4 2011+4.8%
Q3 2011+7.7%
Q4 2010+8.1%
Q2 2011+8.1%
Q1 2011-0.8%
Q3 2010-6.9%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q1 2010+2.1%

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