NYSE$PLOW
Douglas Dynamics Inc · Q4 2023 earnings
Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Results were lower compared to the previous year, primarily due to the significant impact of lack of snowfall in core markets on Work Truck Attachments results, which was partially offset by both top and bottom-line improvements at Work Truck Solutions.
Douglas Dynamics reported lower fourth quarter and full year 2023 results compared to the previous year, primarily due to the significant impact of lack of snowfall in core markets on Work Truck Attachments results, which was partially offset by both top and bottom-line improvements at Work Truck Solutions. The company's Work Truck Solutions segment demonstrated improved performance, while the Work Truck Attachments segment was hindered by unprecedented weather trends.
- Fourth quarter and Full Year 2023 results were lower compared to the previous year, primarily due to the significant impact of lack of snowfall in core markets on Work Truck Attachments results, which was partially offset by both top and bottom-line improvements at Work Truck Solutions.
- Full year gross margins remained relatively stable, based on price realization and cost control measures implemented throughout the year, plus improvements at Solutions.
- Full year Net Income decreased to $23.7 million in 2023 when compared to full year Net Income of $38.6 million in 2022 due to a lack of snowfall in core markets in both the first and fourth quarters of the year, partially offset by the factors described above favorably impacting gross margin.
- Total backlog at the start of 2024 was approximately $296 million and remains significantly elevated compared to historical averages.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Douglas Dynamics · Revenue · Quarterly
$134M
Revenue by segment
Douglas Dynamics · $126M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023
- Work Truck Attachments$126M+16.5%100.0%
Forward guidance
The projected earnings growth in 2024 includes continued baseline profit improvements, the 2024 Cost Savings Program, and projected higher volumes in Attachments.
Tailwinds
- Net Sales are expected to be between $600 million and $660 million.
- Adjusted EBITDA is predicted to range from $70 million to $100 million.
- Adjusted Earnings Per Share are expected to be in the range of $1.20 per share to $2.10 per share.
- Adjusted Earnings Per Share are expected to grow between 50% and 100% compared to 2023 results, with further improvement as a multi-year return to average demand takes place in Attachments, and a continued focus on baseline profit improvements and margin expansion.
- The effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 24% to 25%.
Headwinds
- Relatively stable economic conditions
- Stable to slightly improving supply of chassis and components
- Core markets will experience below average or better snowfall in the first quarter of 2024, and average snowfall in the fourth quarter of 2024
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023
+1.4%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.3%
Avg return
5 days after
+0.5%
Avg return
30 days after
55%
36 / 65 earnings
Positive
+17.5%
Q2 2016
Best reaction
-16.1%
Q3 2016
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +14.0% | +1.8% | +0.3% | |
| Q4 2025 | +7.0% | +7.7% | -0.4% | |
| Q3 2025 | +0.3% | +3.6% | +8.4% | |
| Q1 2025 | +4.7% | +11.7% | +12.8% | |
| Q4 2024 | +4.3% | +4.8% | -8.1% | |
| Q3 2024 | -10.5% | -10.5% | -0.1% | |
| Q2 2024 | +17.1% | +6.1% | +5.6% | |
| Q1 2024 | +1.2% | +5.2% | +8.3% | |
| Q4 2023 | +7.0% | +2.5% | +1.8% | |
| Q3 2023 | -3.2% | -2.8% | +3.6% | |
| Q2 2023 | +8.1% | +4.5% | -1.5% | |
| Q1 2023 | -7.5% | -5.4% | -3.6% | |
| Q4 2022 | -1.0% | -4.7% | -21.4% | |
| Q3 2022 | +10.4% | +9.9% | +13.8% | |
| Q2 2022 | -0.7% | +4.5% | -8.7% | |
| Q1 2022 | -1.4% | -0.6% | +1.6% | |
| Q4 2021 | -1.7% | -0.4% | -6.9% | |
| Q3 2021 | -3.0% | +3.2% | -7.2% | |
| Q2 2021 | -3.6% | +2.8% | -1.2% | |
| Q1 2021 | +0.1% | -0.2% | -1.9% | |
| Q4 2020 | +4.2% | +1.0% | -6.0% | |
| Q3 2020 | -0.0% | +5.2% | +15.0% | |
| Q2 2020 | +7.4% | +11.6% | +16.9% | |
| Q1 2020 | -7.1% | -7.3% | +7.1% | |
| Q4 2019 | -2.6% | -16.8% | -40.1% | |
| Q3 2019 | +1.5% | +8.3% | +11.5% | |
| Q2 2019 | +8.5% | +10.1% | +4.1% | |
| Q1 2019 | -5.5% | -4.2% | -3.8% | |
| Q4 2018 | +3.2% | +10.1% | -3.2% | |
| Q3 2018 | -11.6% | -13.6% | -19.6% | |
| Q2 2018 | -3.9% | -8.0% | -0.4% | |
| Q1 2018 | +5.8% | +6.4% | +14.2% | |
| Q4 2017 | +16.7% | +13.9% | +13.7% | |
| Q3 2017 | -3.1% | -5.2% | -7.4% | |
| Q2 2017 | +11.5% | +9.6% | +14.4% | |
| Q1 2017 | -5.2% | -8.3% | -4.1% | |
| Q4 2016 | -1.8% | -9.1% | -7.4% | |
| Q3 2016 | -16.1% | -16.1% | +1.1% | |
| Q2 2016 | +17.5% | +18.8% | +19.7% | |
| Q1 2016 | -4.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +4.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +7.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +13.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -4.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -4.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +7.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +3.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -3.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +1.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -1.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -1.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +2.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -5.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +0.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +2.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +2.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -2.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -2.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +5.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | +5.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +5.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +0.4% | — | — |
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