NYSE$PII

Polaris Industries Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Polaris's third quarter results were slightly lower than expectations due to elevated manufacturing costs and a cautious consumer environment.

Polaris Inc. reported a four percent decrease in worldwide sales, totaling $2,249 million for the third quarter of 2023, compared to the same period in 2022. Reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) decreased by 17 percent to $2.62, while adjusted EPS also decreased by 17 percent to $2.71. Despite the sales decline, North American retail sales increased by five percent, and the company gained market share across all business segments.

  • Third quarter sales were $2,249 million, down four percent compared to last year.
  • Third quarter reported diluted earnings per share from continuing operations was $2.62, down 17 percent versus last year; adjusted diluted earnings per share from continuing operations was $2.71, down 17 percent versus last year.
  • Primary sales drivers were lower ship volumes and higher finance interest.
  • Market share gains in Off Road, On Road and Marine segments.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.25B

Previous: $2.34B-3.9%
EPS (adj)

$2.71

Previous: $3.25-16.6%
Gross Profit Margin

22.6%

Previous: 23.9%-5.4%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

12.6%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$312M

Previous: -$194M-61.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$160M

Previous: -$7.3M-2091.8%
Net Income

$152M

Previous: $186M-18.6%
Operating Income

$201M

Previous: $254M-20.9%
Gross Profit

$509M

Previous: $559M-9.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$295M

Previous: $319M-7.4%
Total Assets

$5.73B

Previous: $5.09B+12.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$15.2M

Previous: $18.7M-18.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Polaris · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.25B

Q3 2023-3.9%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Polaris · $2.25B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Off-Road
    $1.84B+5.6%
  • On-Road
    $270M-19.1%
  • Marine
    $134M-48.4%

Forward guidance

The Company updated its 2023 sales outlook to up three percent to five percent versus its previous outlook of up three percent to up six percent versus 2022. The Company now expects adjusted diluted EPS from continuing operations attributed to Polaris Inc. common shareholders to be down eight percent to down four percent versus 2022 versus the prior outlook of down two percent to up three percent.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

28 / 69 earnings

Positive

+15.2%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-15.8%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.8%+8.8%+14.9%
Q4 2025-4.4%-7.6%-7.6%
Q3 2025-5.9%-7.1%-6.7%
Q2 2025-2.7%-6.4%-2.6%
Q1 2025+0.3%+3.2%+18.2%
Q4 2024-5.0%-14.9%-12.5%
Q3 2024-13.1%-11.1%-16.5%
Q2 2024-11.2%+0.7%+0.8%
Q1 2024-3.4%-5.0%-6.8%
Q4 2023-3.0%-2.4%+0.0%
Q3 2023-5.6%-7.3%-2.3%
Q2 2023+2.0%+0.2%-17.5%
Q1 2023-3.1%-0.7%-2.9%
Q4 2022+10.5%+10.8%+8.3%
Q3 2022+5.8%+7.8%+19.4%
Q2 2022-1.5%+3.8%+7.8%
Q1 2022-9.0%-11.1%-1.5%
Q4 2021+1.1%+1.9%+7.3%
Q3 2021-7.1%-9.0%-3.1%
Q2 2021-7.4%-5.7%-11.4%
Q1 2021-4.9%-3.4%-8.8%
Q4 2020-1.8%-2.4%+1.6%
Q3 2020+0.9%-0.8%+4.5%
Q2 2020+8.5%+5.8%+6.3%
Q1 2020+11.2%-2.8%+31.6%
Q4 2019+3.9%+0.9%-8.4%
Q3 2019+11.2%+10.9%+6.5%
Q2 2019+15.0%+13.2%-0.1%
Q1 2019-2.2%-1.5%-12.6%
Q4 2018-0.3%+2.0%+0.5%
Q3 2018-3.3%-5.6%+4.2%
Q2 2018-12.0%-13.5%-9.9%
Q1 2018-13.0%-13.5%-5.8%
Q4 2017-15.8%-17.9%-16.4%
Q3 2017+15.2%+11.2%+15.6%
Q2 2017+2.0%+1.5%-3.4%
Q1 2017+1.5%+2.5%+2.1%
Q4 2016+2.1%-0.9%-1.0%
Q3 2016-6.2%-7.8%+8.7%
Q2 2016+11.2%+11.4%+6.5%
Q1 2016+4.5%
Q4 2015-12.6%
Q3 2015-8.5%
Q2 2015-6.7%
Q1 2015+0.4%
Q4 2014+3.6%
Q3 2014-1.2%
Q2 2014+9.8%
Q1 2014-1.9%
Q4 2013-4.9%
Q3 2013-2.4%
Q2 2013+4.0%
Q1 2013+0.8%
Q4 2012-6.0%
Q3 2012+3.2%
Q2 2012-0.6%
Q1 2012+2.6%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011-0.0%
Q2 2011-12.4%
Q1 2010+0.5%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q4 2010-1.1%
Q4 2008-1.1%
Q3 2010+0.0%
Q3 2009+0.0%
Q2 2010-2.9%
Q2 2009-2.9%
Q4 2009-2.9%

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