NYSE$PII

Polaris Industries Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Polaris' first quarter results were released, revealing a significant increase in sales and earnings, driven by strong retail demand and industry tailwinds.

Polaris Inc. reported a strong first quarter in 2021, with sales up 39% to $1,951 million. Net income was $134 million, or $2.11 per diluted share, compared to a net loss in the same quarter last year. The company benefited from strong retail demand and increased its full-year sales and earnings guidance.

  • Reported and adjusted sales increased by 39% reaching $1,951 million.
  • Reported net income was $2.11 per share, and adjusted net income was $2.30 per share.
  • Gross profit margin increased by 378 basis points due to lower promotional costs.
  • North American retail sales surged by 70%, driven by broad-based strength across all business segments.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.95B

Previous: $1.41B+38.8%
EPS (adj)

$2.30

Previous: $0.22+945.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$45.4M

Previous: -$46.8M+3.0%
Free Cash Flow

$88.7M

Previous: -$52.2M+269.9%
Net Income

$134M

Previous: -$5.4M+2583.3%
Operating Income

$184M

Previous: $5.5M+3249.1%
Gross Profit

$481M

Previous: $293M+64.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$432M

Previous: $424M+1.9%
Total Assets

$4.51B

Previous: $4.76B-5.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.9M

Previous: $11.9M-25.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Polaris · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.95B

Q1 2021+38.8%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Polaris · $2.25B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Off-Road
    $1.84B+5.6%
  • On-Road
    $270M-19.1%
  • Marine
    $134M-48.4%

Forward guidance

Polaris is increasing its full year sales and earnings guidance, expecting adjusted net income to be in the range of $9.00 to $9.25 per diluted share, with sales up 18% to 21%.

Tailwinds

  • Continued strong retail demand is expected.
  • Full year 2021 sales are now expected to be up 18% to 21% over the prior year.
  • Adjusted net income is expected to be in the range of $9.00 to $9.25 per diluted share.
  • Strong performance in the first quarter of 2021.
  • Overall positive outlook for the full year 2021.

Headwinds

  • Supply chain transformation costs.
  • Restructuring and network realignment costs.
  • Class action litigation-related expenses.
  • Unpredictable acquisition integration costs.
  • Difficulties in forecasting certain items required to develop comparable GAAP financial measures.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

28 / 69 earnings

Positive

+15.2%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-15.8%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.8%+8.8%+14.9%
Q4 2025-4.4%-7.6%-7.6%
Q3 2025-5.9%-7.1%-6.7%
Q2 2025-2.7%-6.4%-2.6%
Q1 2025+0.3%+3.2%+18.2%
Q4 2024-5.0%-14.9%-12.5%
Q3 2024-13.1%-11.1%-16.5%
Q2 2024-11.2%+0.7%+0.8%
Q1 2024-3.4%-5.0%-6.8%
Q4 2023-3.0%-2.4%+0.0%
Q3 2023-5.6%-7.3%-2.3%
Q2 2023+2.0%+0.2%-17.5%
Q1 2023-3.1%-0.7%-2.9%
Q4 2022+10.5%+10.8%+8.3%
Q3 2022+5.8%+7.8%+19.4%
Q2 2022-1.5%+3.8%+7.8%
Q1 2022-9.0%-11.1%-1.5%
Q4 2021+1.1%+1.9%+7.3%
Q3 2021-7.1%-9.0%-3.1%
Q2 2021-7.4%-5.7%-11.4%
Q1 2021-4.9%-3.4%-8.8%
Q4 2020-1.8%-2.4%+1.6%
Q3 2020+0.9%-0.8%+4.5%
Q2 2020+8.5%+5.8%+6.3%
Q1 2020+11.2%-2.8%+31.6%
Q4 2019+3.9%+0.9%-8.4%
Q3 2019+11.2%+10.9%+6.5%
Q2 2019+15.0%+13.2%-0.1%
Q1 2019-2.2%-1.5%-12.6%
Q4 2018-0.3%+2.0%+0.5%
Q3 2018-3.3%-5.6%+4.2%
Q2 2018-12.0%-13.5%-9.9%
Q1 2018-13.0%-13.5%-5.8%
Q4 2017-15.8%-17.9%-16.4%
Q3 2017+15.2%+11.2%+15.6%
Q2 2017+2.0%+1.5%-3.4%
Q1 2017+1.5%+2.5%+2.1%
Q4 2016+2.1%-0.9%-1.0%
Q3 2016-6.2%-7.8%+8.7%
Q2 2016+11.2%+11.4%+6.5%
Q1 2016+4.5%
Q4 2015-12.6%
Q3 2015-8.5%
Q2 2015-6.7%
Q1 2015+0.4%
Q4 2014+3.6%
Q3 2014-1.2%
Q2 2014+9.8%
Q1 2014-1.9%
Q4 2013-4.9%
Q3 2013-2.4%
Q2 2013+4.0%
Q1 2013+0.8%
Q4 2012-6.0%
Q3 2012+3.2%
Q2 2012-0.6%
Q1 2012+2.6%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011-0.0%
Q2 2011-12.4%
Q1 2010+0.5%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q4 2010-1.1%
Q4 2008-1.1%
Q3 2010+0.0%
Q3 2009+0.0%
Q2 2010-2.9%
Q2 2009-2.9%
Q4 2009-2.9%

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